February 8, 2024
Top 10 Stock Valley National Bancorp Sell Recommendation
How to read the ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Snapshot: Valley National Bancorp – Top 10 Stock in S&P Mid-Cap Index
Valley National Bancorp is listed as a top 10 stock on February 08, 2024 in the market index S&P MIDCAP because of its high performance in at least one of the Obermatt investment strategies. Only the Obermatt Value Rank exhibits above-average performance, which means that the stock is seen as critical by the professional community and other financial facts are below average, conveying mixed investment signals. Based on the Obermatt 360° View of 15 (15% performer), Obermatt issues an overall sell recommendation for Valley National Bancorp on February 08, 2024.
Snapshot: Obermatt Ranks
| Country | USA |
| Industry | Regional Banks |
| Index | Dividends USA, NASDAQ, D.J. US Banks, S&P MIDCAP |
| Size class | XX-Large |
When Obermatt identifies the Top 10 stocks in a market, it’s based on a certain investment strategy. The best performing stocks usually aren’t the ones that everyone is talking about (those are often "over-priced" and have low Value ranks).
For each investment strategy, we provide you with more detailed analysis and our recommendation. You see the ranks of the top 10 stocks ranked by that particular investment strategy (360° View, Sentiment, Value, Growth, Safety and Combined Financial Performance).
360° View: Obermatt 360° View Valley National Bancorp Sell
| 360 METRICS | February 8, 2024 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 98 |
|
||||||
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 11 |
|
||||||
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 10 |
|
||||||
| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | 28 |
|
||||||
| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | 15 |
|
||||||
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt 360° View of 15 (better than 15% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and financial characteristics for the stock Valley National Bancorp are critical, mostly below average. The 360° View is based on consolidating four consolidated indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for Valley National Bancorp. Only the consolidated Value Rank has an attractive rank of 98, which means that the share price of Valley National Bancorp is on the lower side compared with the typical size in indicators such as revenues, profits, and invested capital. This means that the stock price is lower than for 98% of alternative stocks in the same industry. All other consolidated ranks are below average. The consolidated Growth Rank has a low rank of 11, which means that the company exhibits below-average growth momentum when looking at financial metrics such as revenue, profit, and invested capital growth as well as stock returns. The consolidated Safety Rank has a riskier rank of 10, meaning the company has a riskier financing structure than 90% comparable companies when looking at the amount of its debt, its refinancing requirements, and its ability to service debt. Finally, professionals are more pessimistic about the stock than for 72% of alternative investment opportunities, reflected in the consolidated Sentiment Rank of 28. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated 360° View of 15, Valley National Bancorp is worse than 85% of all alternative stock investment opportunities based on the Obermatt Method. This means that Valley National Bancorp shares are on the riskier side for investors. Only one of the consolidated Obermatt Ranks exhibits above-average performance, namely the Value Rank at a level of 98. All other ranks are below average, so proceed with caution. The company has below-average growth expectations (Growth Rank of 11), a riskier financing structure than the competition (Safety Rank of 10), and the market sentiment in the professional investor community ranking at (Sentiment Rank of 28) is negative. This combination is sensitive to a crisis, because high debt levels (low safety) require growth to finance the debt burden. It’s no wonder that the investor community indicators are skeptical (low sentiment). Good value is sometimes an indication that the company's future is challenging. The below-par growth performance may be the reason for this assessment. We recommend evaluating whether the future of Valley National Bancorp is as challenging as the low price of the stock suggests. Since the professional community is pessimistic, you might need to worry about the future of Valley National Bancorp. Only invest if you have solid reasons to believe that the low growth is temporary and the current market sentiment is an overreaction, possibly due to reputational issues in the past. ...read more
Sentiment Strategy: Professional Market Sentiment for Valley National Bancorp only reserved
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 28 (better than 28% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock Valley National Bancorp is below industry average. The Sentiment Rank is based on consolidating four sentiment indicators, with three out of four metrics below average for Valley National Bancorp. Analyst Opinions are at a rank of 62 (better than 62% of alternative investments), which means that, currently, stock research analysts tend to recommend a stock investment in the company. This is a good sign, were it not for Analyst Opinions Change with a low rank of 2, which means that currently, stock research experts are changing their opinions for the worse. In other words, they are getting more critical of a stock investment in Valley National Bancorp. The Professional Investors rank is also low at 39, meaning that professional investors hold less stock in this company than in 61% of alternative investment opportunities. Pros tend to invest in other companies. Even worse, Market Pulse has a low rank of 36, which means that the current professional news and professional social networks are critical of this company (more negative news than for 64% of competitors). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Sentiment Rank of 28 (less encouraging than 72% compared with investment alternatives), Valley National Bancorp has a reputation among professional investors that is below that of its competitors. There are several negative sentiment signals, with only the Analyst Opinions Rank above average. This could be a stock with a long reputation for being positive but where things are worsening. Most analysts may not see it yet, but some have, and the professionals are already quite pessimistic. Proceed with caution when investing in this stock. ...read more
Value Strategy: Valley National Bancorp Stock Price Value at the top
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 98 (better than 98% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Valley National Bancorp shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators that are all above average for Valley National Bancorp. Price-to-Sales is 82 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 82% of comparable companies, indicating a good value for Valley National Bancorp's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits, more favorable than for 87% of alternatives, and this is also true for the Price-to-Book capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 97. Compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields of Valley National Bancorp are expected to be higher than for 90% of all competitors (a Dividend Yield rank of 90). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 98, is a buy recommendation based on Valley National Bancorp's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since all value metrics are above the industry average, there is no objection to investing in Valley National Bancorp based on its detailed value metrics.
Growth Strategy: Valley National Bancorp Growth Momentum negative
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 11 (better than 11% compared with alternatives), Valley National Bancorp shows one of the most restricted growth dynamics in its industry. There is little momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators below-average for Valley National Bancorp. While Sales Growth ranks at 78, professionals currently expect the company to grow more than 78% of its competitors, while all other growth ranks are below the market median. Profit Growth has a rank of 21, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow its profits less than 79% of its competitors, and Capital Growth has a low rank of 17. Historic stock returns were also below average with a current Stock Returns rank of 13 which means that the stock returns have recently been below 87% of alternative investments. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 11, is a sell recommendation for growth and momentum investors. If revenues are expected to increase, but all other growth indicators are negative, the company may be investing in future growth through means not visible in the balance sheet and thus not reflected in capital growth. The fact that Stock Returns have been below market doesn't mean that much, as it may be due to overly optimistic investor behavior in the past, which has been corrected to a more reasonable level recently. If that were the case, a positive Value Rank would be a reason to invest because the company is still expected to grow, while stock prices are now at a more reasonable level. ...read more
Safety Strategy: Valley National Bancorp Debt Financing Safety risky
| SAFETY METRICS | February 8, 2024 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 13 |
|
||||||
| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 68 |
|
||||||
| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 8 |
|
||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 10 |
|
||||||
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 10 (better than 10% compared with alternatives), the company Valley National Bancorp has much riskier financing practices than comparable other companies, which means that their overall debt burden is significantly above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of Valley National Bancorp is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with just one indicator above average for Valley National Bancorp and the other two below average. Refinancing is at 68, meaning the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 68% of its competitors. But Leverage is high with a rank of 13, meaning the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 87% of its competitors. Liquidity is also on the riskier side with a rank of 8, meaning the company generates less profit to service its debt than 92% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 10 (worse than 90% compared with alternatives), Valley National Bancorp has a financing structure that is significantly riskier than that of its competitors. A good Refinancing Rank means that the problems of the company may not be around the corner. But high Leverage is only good if things go well, and low Liquidity is a signal for caution. The financing signals for Valley National Bancorp are on the riskier side, requiring the company's future to be on the safer side. Investors may want to look at Growth and Sentiment ranks before making an investment decision. ...read more
Combined financial peformance: Valley National Bancorp Below-Average Financial Performance
| COMBINED PERFORMANCE | February 8, 2024 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 98 |
|
||||||
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 11 |
|
||||||
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 8 |
|
||||||
| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 27 |
|
||||||
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 27 (worse than 73% compared with investment alternatives), Valley National Bancorp (Regional Banks, USA) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Valley National Bancorp are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 98 (better than 98% of alternatives) but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 11), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 10), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 27, is a hold recommendation based on Valley National Bancorp's financial characteristics. As the company Valley National Bancorp's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 98) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 11) and risky financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 10), it may be a risky investment, because debt in times of crises can make things worse. The good value, better than 98% of comparable companies, may indicate the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity. ...read more
Obermatt Portfolio Performance
We’re so convinced about our research, that we buy our stock tips.
See the performance of the Obermatt portfolio.