Fact based stock research
Valley National Bancorp (NasdaqGS:VLY)
US9197941076
How to read the ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Valley National Bancorp stock research in summary
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 30 (worse than 70% compared with investment alternatives), Valley National Bancorp (Regional Banks, USA) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Valley National Bancorp are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 98 (better than 98% of alternatives) but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 5), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 21), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 30, is a hold recommendation based on Valley National Bancorp's financial characteristics. As the company Valley National Bancorp's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 98) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 5) and risky financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 21), it may be a risky investment, because debt in times of crises can make things worse. The good value, better than 98% of comparable companies, may indicate the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
Latest Obermatt Ranks
Log in or sign up to see the new 360° View and Sentiment ranks.
360° Viewnew| Country | USA |
| Industry | Regional Banks |
| Index | Dividends USA, NASDAQ, D.J. US Banks, S&P MIDCAP |
| Size class | XX-Large |
This stock has achievements: Top 10 Stock.
21-Mar-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.
Analysts rarely agree on a stock’s future. So, who do you believe? Obermatt translates those collective views into a single Sentiment Rank. That plus the financial ranks give you the ultimate 360° View. Sign up to access them.
It’s easier said than done. When your stock drops, it’s easy to want to sell it and find a better performer. Think twice, or even three times, before trading. Those fees (especially the hidden ones) can eat up your gains.
Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.
Research History: Valley National Bancorp
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 50 |
|
87 |
|
84 |
|
98 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 24 |
|
52 |
|
75 |
|
5 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 45 |
|
19 |
|
37 |
|
21 |
|
| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
58 |
|
49 |
|
new |
|
| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | n/a |
|
61 |
|
76 |
|
new |
|
Combined financial peformance in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 30 (worse than 70% compared with investment alternatives), Valley National Bancorp (Regional Banks, USA) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Valley National Bancorp are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 98 (better than 98% of alternatives) but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 5), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 21), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 30, is a hold recommendation based on Valley National Bancorp's financial characteristics. As the company Valley National Bancorp's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 98) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 5) and risky financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 21), it may be a risky investment, because debt in times of crises can make things worse. The good value, better than 98% of comparable companies, may indicate the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 50 |
|
87 |
|
84 |
|
98 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 24 |
|
52 |
|
75 |
|
5 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 45 |
|
19 |
|
37 |
|
21 |
|
| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 24 |
|
56 |
|
82 |
|
30 |
|
Value Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 98 (better than 98% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Valley National Bancorp shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators that are all above average for Valley National Bancorp. Price-to-Sales is 89 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 89% of comparable companies, indicating a good value for Valley National Bancorp's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits, more favorable than for 89% of alternatives, and this is also true for the Price-to-Book capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 100. Compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields of Valley National Bancorp are expected to be higher than for 94% of all competitors (a Dividend Yield rank of 94). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 98, is a buy recommendation based on Valley National Bancorp's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since all value metrics are above the industry average, there is no objection to investing in Valley National Bancorp based on its detailed value metrics. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more
| VALUE METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | 29 |
|
59 |
|
54 |
|
89 |
|
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | 39 |
|
62 |
|
62 |
|
89 |
|
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | 53 |
|
59 |
|
85 |
|
100 |
|
| DIVIDEND YIELD | ||||||||
| DIVIDEND YIELD | 71 |
|
85 |
|
70 |
|
94 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | 50 |
|
87 |
|
84 |
|
98 |
|
Growth Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 5 (better than 5% compared with alternatives), Valley National Bancorp shows one of the most restricted growth dynamics in its industry. There is little momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators below-average for Valley National Bancorp. While Sales Growth ranks at 78, professionals currently expect the company to grow more than 78% of its competitors, while all other growth ranks are below the market median. Profit Growth has a rank of 19, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow its profits less than 81% of its competitors, and Capital Growth has a low rank of 17. Historic stock returns were also below average with a current Stock Returns rank of 11 which means that the stock returns have recently been below 89% of alternative investments. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 5, is a sell recommendation for growth and momentum investors. If revenues are expected to increase, but all other growth indicators are negative, the company may be investing in future growth through means not visible in the balance sheet and thus not reflected in capital growth. The fact that Stock Returns have been below market doesn't mean that much, as it may be due to overly optimistic investor behavior in the past, which has been corrected to a more reasonable level recently. If that were the case, a positive Value Rank would be a reason to invest because the company is still expected to grow, while stock prices are now at a more reasonable level. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance isn't stellar here. ...read more
| GROWTH METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
| REVENUE GROWTH | 9 |
|
92 |
|
68 |
|
78 |
|
| PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
| PROFIT GROWTH | 9 |
|
23 |
|
43 |
|
19 |
|
| CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
| CAPITAL GROWTH | n/a |
|
34 |
|
92 |
|
17 |
|
| STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
| STOCK RETURNS | 73 |
|
69 |
|
55 |
|
11 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 24 |
|
52 |
|
75 |
|
5 |
|
Safety Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 21 (better than 21% compared with alternatives), the company Valley National Bancorp has much riskier financing practices than comparable other companies, which means that their overall debt burden is significantly above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of Valley National Bancorp is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with just one indicator above average for Valley National Bancorp and the other two below average. Refinancing is at 63, meaning the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 63% of its competitors. But Leverage is high with a rank of 46, meaning the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 54% of its competitors. Liquidity is also on the riskier side with a rank of 5, meaning the company generates less profit to service its debt than 95% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 21 (worse than 79% compared with alternatives), Valley National Bancorp has a financing structure that is significantly riskier than that of its competitors. A good Refinancing Rank means that the problems of the company may not be around the corner. But high Leverage is only good if things go well, and low Liquidity is a signal for caution. The financing signals for Valley National Bancorp are on the riskier side, requiring the company's future to be on the safer side. Investors may want to look at Growth and Sentiment ranks before making an investment decision. In the long-term, investors may have a debt challenge with Valley National Bancorp and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more
| SAFETY METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 18 |
|
32 |
|
52 |
|
46 |
|
| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 71 |
|
52 |
|
74 |
|
63 |
|
| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 53 |
|
24 |
|
5 |
|
5 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 45 |
|
19 |
|
37 |
|
21 |
|
Sentiment Metrics in Detail
| SENTIMENT | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANALYST OPINIONS | ||||||||
| ANALYST OPINIONS | n/a |
|
62 |
|
66 |
|
new |
|
| OPINIONS CHANGE | ||||||||
| OPINIONS CHANGE | n/a |
|
17 |
|
39 |
|
new |
|
| PRO HOLDINGS | ||||||||
| PRO HOLDINGS | n/a |
|
28 |
|
67 |
|
new |
|
| MARKET PULSE | ||||||||
| MARKET PULSE | n/a |
|
80 |
|
27 |
|
new |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
58 |
|
49 |
|
new |
|
Stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for Valley National Bancorp from March 21, 2024.
Obermatt Portfolio Performance
We’re so convinced about our research, that we buy our stock tips.
See the performance of the Obermatt portfolio.