May 18, 2023
Top 10 Stock Tourmaline Oil Buy Recommendation
How to read the ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Snapshot: Tourmaline Oil – Top 10 Stock in Oil & Gas Mining and Production
Tourmaline Oil is listed as a top 10 stock on May 18, 2023 in the market index Oil & Gas because of its high performance in at least one of the Obermatt investment strategies. Two consolidated Obermatt Ranks are above-average. While the company shows high growth, the stock price is high yet professional investor sentiment is low, which may be due to overly optimistic investor behavior, reflected in a low stock price value. Based on the Obermatt 360° View of 57 (high 57% performer), Obermatt assesses an overall buy recommendation for Tourmaline Oil on May 18, 2023.
Snapshot: Obermatt Ranks
| Country | Canada |
| Industry | Oil & Gas Production |
| Index | Oil & Gas, TSX Composite |
| Size class | X-Large |
When Obermatt identifies the Top 10 stocks in a market, it’s based on a certain investment strategy. The best performing stocks usually aren’t the ones that everyone is talking about (those are often "over-priced" and have low Value ranks).
For each investment strategy, we provide you with more detailed analysis and our recommendation. You see the ranks of the top 10 stocks ranked by that particular investment strategy (360° View, Sentiment, Value, Growth, Safety and Combined Financial Performance).
360° View: Obermatt 360° Assessment Tourmaline Oil Buy
| 360 METRICS | May 18, 2023 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 19 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 51 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 97 |
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| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | 47 |
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| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | 57 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt 360° View of 57 (better than 57% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock Tourmaline Oil are above average. The 360° View is based on consolidating four consolidated indicators, with half of the metrics below and half above average for Tourmaline Oil. The consolidated Growth Rank has a good rank of 51, which means that the company experiences above-average growth momentum when looking at financial metrics such as revenue, profit, and invested capital growth as well as stock returns. This means that growth is higher than for 51% of competitors in the same industry. In addition, the consolidated Safety Rank has a safer rank of 97 which means that the company has a financing structure that is safer than 97 comparable companies when looking at the amount of its debt, its refinancing requirements, and its ability to service debt. But the consolidated Value Rank has a less desirable rank of 19 which means that the share price of Tourmaline Oil is on the higher side compared with typical size in indicators such as revenues, profits, and invested capital. This means that the stock price is higher than for 81% of alternative stocks in the same industry. The consolidated Sentiment Rank also has a low rank of 47, which means that professional investors are more pessimistic about the stock than for 53% of alternative investment opportunities. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a 360° View of 57, Tourmaline Oil is better than 57% of all alternative stock investment opportunities based on the Obermatt Method. As only half of the consolidated Obermatt Ranks exhibit excellent performance, the picture is ambiguous. Growth is above-average (Growth Rank of 51), and the company is safely financed (Safety Rank of 97). However, professional market sentiment is critical (Sentiment Rank of 47). The negative market view on Tourmaline Oil may be due to the high stock price (low value). A growth company like this may get too expensive at one point in time. If too many investors are desperate to board the train, they may drive stock prices above reasonable levels. It is typical for growth companies to have low value ratings, because investors are willing to pay more for companies that outperform their competitors. So the question is, how much more do you pay for the stock of Tourmaline Oil compared with alternatives? You can use the following rule of thumb: The value rank shouldn’t be lower than one minus the growth rank. For example, if the growth rank is at 75, and the value rank is at 5, you should tread carefully. If the value rank is at 40, it still might be a good value (even though it is lower than 50). As market sentiment is critical, you should be careful with paying more than market-average for this stock and conduct further research into the company’s future growth potential. ...read more
Sentiment Strategy: Professional Market Sentiment for Tourmaline Oil only reserved
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 47 (better than 47% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock Tourmaline Oil is below industry average. The Sentiment Rank is based on consolidating four sentiment indicators, with three out of four metrics below average for Tourmaline Oil. Analyst Opinions are at a rank of 95 (better than 95% of alternative investments), which means that, currently, stock research analysts tend to recommend a stock investment in the company. This is a good sign, were it not for Analyst Opinions Change with a low rank of 17, which means that currently, stock research experts are changing their opinions for the worse. In other words, they are getting more critical of a stock investment in Tourmaline Oil. The Professional Investors rank is also low at 34, meaning that professional investors hold less stock in this company than in 66% of alternative investment opportunities. Pros tend to invest in other companies. Even worse, Market Pulse has a low rank of 46, which means that the current professional news and professional social networks are critical of this company (more negative news than for 54% of competitors). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 47 (less encouraging than 53% compared with investment alternatives), Tourmaline Oil has a reputation among professional investors that is below that of its competitors. There are several negative sentiment signals, with only the Analyst Opinions Rank above average. This could be a stock with a long reputation for being positive but where things are worsening. Most analysts may not see it yet, but some have, and the professionals are already quite pessimistic. Proceed with caution when investing in this stock. ...read more
Value Strategy: Tourmaline Oil Stock Price Value low
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 19 (worse than 81% compared with alternatives), Tourmaline Oil shares are significantly more expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all four indicators below average for Tourmaline Oil. Price-to-Sales is 18 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is higher than 82% of comparable companies, indicating a low value concerning Tourmaline Oil's sales levels. Price-to-Book Capital (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) also has a low Price-to-Book Rank of 44, which means that both reliable company size indicators, sales, and invested capital cannot explain the high stock price of Tourmaline Oil. In addition, the two profit-related value indicators, Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price-earnings, P/E) with a low rank of 34 and Dividend Yield, which is lower than 59% of comparable companies, also make the stock more expensive compared with investment alternatives. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 19, is a SELL recommendation based on Tourmaline Oil's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. How can market participants pay such a high price for Tourmaline Oil? One reason may be that the company is simply too popular. If enough people want a particular stock, its price can exceed reasonable levels. This is often the case for companies offering new and exciting products and everybody wants a piece of the action. Should you pay a lot for a hot stock such as Tourmaline Oil? It's risky, and even if it continues to grow because of popular demand, it will most likely return to what it's worth. And that return can be sudden and quick, making it impossible for retail investors to exit on time. Sometimes, high prices are deserved. This is the case when it is reasonable for the company to dominate a market with high profit margins. It has happened in the past for many technology companies and indeed for successful pharmaceutical discoveries. Sometimes they last, sometimes, they get eaten alive. Tourmaline Oil may be such a type of stock. That would mean, retail investors should be careful, only considering investing a small part of their wealth in this exciting category and always being ready to lose more than half, if not all of the investment. ...read more
Growth Strategy: Tourmaline Oil Growth Momentum good
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 51 (better than 51% compared with alternatives), Tourmaline Oil shows an above-average growth dynamic in its industry. Investors also speak of positive momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Tourmaline Oil. Capital Growth has a rank of 84, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its invested capital more than 25% of its competitors. Investors welcomed this, visible in the Stock Returns rank of 59 (above 59% of alternative investments). But Sales Growth has only a rank of 30, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow less than 70% of its competitors, and Profit Growth is also low at a rank of 25. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 51, is a BUY recommendation for growth and momentum investors. This is an ambiguous picture. Revenue growth and capital growth are strong, but the growth in profit, which seems good, can also be an indication that growth momentum may be negative. The fact that stock returns have been above average doesn't help much, as stock returns are less reliable in showing a company’s future growth potential. Prices may perform well for the simple reason that investors were too pessimistic in the past and are now correcting their opinions and moving the stock price to a more reasonable level. As the growth picture is mixed for Tourmaline Oil, investors may want to look at value and sentiment indicators for a well-rounded picture of this stock. ...read more
Safety Strategy: Tourmaline Oil Debt Financing Safety very solid
| SAFETY METRICS | May 18, 2023 | |||||||
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| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 94 |
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| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 71 |
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| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 97 |
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| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 97 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 97 (better than 97% compared with alternatives) for 2023, the company Tourmaline Oil has safe financing practices, which means that their overall debt burden is low. This doesn't mean that the business of Tourmaline Oil is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, where all three are above average for Tourmaline Oil. Leverage is at 94, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 94% of its competitors. Refinancing is at a rank of 71, meaning that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 71% of its competitors. Finally, Liquidity is also good at a rank of 97, which means that the company generates more profit to service its debt than 97% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 97 (better than 97% compared with alternatives), Tourmaline Oil has a financing structure that is significantly safer than that of its competitors. These three positive financing indicators signal that the company is less likely to default on its debt obligations. However, it also means that its shareholder returns will be more modest if things go well. A low safety means fewer troubles in downtimes and less upside in good times. ...read more
Combined financial peformance: Tourmaline Oil Above-Average Financial Performance
| COMBINED PERFORMANCE | May 18, 2023 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 19 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 51 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 97 |
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| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 59 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 59 (better than 59% compared with investment alternatives), Tourmaline Oil (Oil & Gas Production, Canada) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Tourmaline Oil are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Obermatt Value Rank of 19 (worse than 81% of alternatives). But they show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 51) and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 97, which means below-average debt burdens). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: An Obermatt Combined Rank of 59, is a buy recommendation based on Tourmaline Oil's financial characteristics. Investors looking for growth and low financial risk may find this stock attractive. While the company Tourmaline Oil exhibits low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 19), which means that the stock price is rather high, it also demonstrates above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 51). This is a typical case, as high-growth companies are often expensive. Good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 97) are a double-edged sword: if the company continues growing, low debt limits shareholder returns. But if the company increases its debt, it will also increase risk. In other words, this is an investment on the safer side, despite the above-average price (low value). ...read more
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