February 1, 2024
Top 10 Stock Shin-Etsu Chemical Strong Buy Recommendation
How to read the ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Snapshot: Shin-Etsu Chemical – Top 10 Stock in Nikkei 225 Index
Shin-Etsu Chemical is listed as a top 10 stock on February 01, 2024 in the market index Nikkei 225 because of its high performance in at least one of the Obermatt investment strategies. Three consolidated Obermatt Ranks are above-average. Only the Value Rank is below average. The investment rationale may be an investment in future growth, supported by professional market opinion. Based on the Obermatt 360° View of 77 (top 77% performer), Obermatt assesses an overall strong buy recommendation for Shin-Etsu Chemical on February 01, 2024.
Snapshot: Obermatt Ranks
| Country | Japan |
| Industry | Specialty Chemicals |
| Index | TOPIX 100, Low Emissions, Energy Efficient, Water Efficiency, Nikkei 225 |
| Size class | XX-Large |
When Obermatt identifies the Top 10 stocks in a market, it’s based on a certain investment strategy. The best performing stocks usually aren’t the ones that everyone is talking about (those are often "over-priced" and have low Value ranks).
For each investment strategy, we provide you with more detailed analysis and our recommendation. You see the ranks of the top 10 stocks ranked by that particular investment strategy (360° View, Sentiment, Value, Growth, Safety and Combined Financial Performance).
360° View: Obermatt 360° View Shin-Etsu Chemical Strong Buy
| 360 METRICS | February 1, 2024 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 11 |
|
||||||
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 77 |
|
||||||
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 82 |
|
||||||
| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | 86 |
|
||||||
| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | 77 |
|
||||||
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt 360° View of 77 (better than 77% compared with alternatives) for 2024, overall professional sentiment and financial characteristics for the stock Shin-Etsu Chemical are very positive. The 360° View is based on consolidating four consolidated indicators, with all but one indicator above average for Shin-Etsu Chemical. The consolidated Growth Rank has a good rank of 77, which means that the company experiences above-average growth momentum when looking at financial metrics such as revenue, profit, and invested capital growth, as well as stock returns. This means that growth is higher than for 77% of competitors in the same industry. The consolidated Safety Rank at 82 means that the company has a financing structure that is safer than 82% comparable companies when looking at the amount of its debt, its refinancing requirements, and its ability to service debt. Finally, the consolidated Sentiment Rank has a good rank of 86, which means that professional investors are more optimistic about the stock than for 86% of alternative investment opportunities. But the consolidated Value Rank is less desirable at 11, meaning that the share price of Shin-Etsu Chemical is on the higher side compared with indicators such as revenues, profits, and invested capital. This means the stock price is higher than for 89% of alternative stocks in the same industry. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated 360° View of 77, Shin-Etsu Chemical is better positioned than 77% of all alternative stock investment opportunities based on the Obermatt Method. As three out of four consolidated Obermatt Ranks exhibit excellent performance, such as above-average growth (Growth Rank of 77), a safe financing structure (Safety Rank of 82), and positive professional market sentiment (Sentiment Rank of 86), it is a solid stock investment where growth may be the strongest driver of the investment rationale, also reflected by institutional investors. It is typical for growth companies to have low value, as is the case here. Investors are willing to pay more for companies that outperform their competitors. So the question is, how much more do you pay for the stock of Shin-Etsu Chemical compared with alternatives? You can use the following rule of thumb: The growth rank measures the growth momentum of the company (77% better than peers). The value rank could be the reverse reflection of that (23%). A Value Rank below that level may be assessed as expensive, a rank above that is still good value. Sometimes market sentiment just reflects the past, sometimes the reality. You pay more than the market average for this stock, but it may be worth it. ...read more
Sentiment Strategy: Professional Market Sentiment for Shin-Etsu Chemical very positive
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 86 (better than 86% compared with alternatives) for 2024, overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock Shin-Etsu Chemical is very positive. The Sentiment Rank is based on consolidating four sentiment indicators, with all but one indicator above average for Shin-Etsu Chemical. Analyst Opinions are at a rank of 66 (better than 66% of alternative investments), which means that, currently, stock research analysts tend to recommend a stock investment in the company. In addition, Analyst Opinions Change has a rank of 57, which means that stock research experts are changing their opinions for the better in recommending investing in the company. In other words, they are getting even more optimistic about investments in Shin-Etsu Chemical. Finally, the Professional Investors rank is 87, which means that currently, professional investors hold more stock in this company than in 87% of alternative investment opportunities. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Sentiment Rank of 86 (more positive than 86% compared with investment alternatives), Shin-Etsu Chemical has a reputation among professional investors that is significantly higher than that of its competitors. Pros tend to favor investing in this company. But there is also a signal for caution. Market Pulse has a rank of 41, which means that the current professional news and professional social networks tend to be negative when discussing this company (more negative news than for 59% of competitors). This could mean future risks and should make investors careful. Attention to negative news for Shin-Etsu Chemical is worthwhile because they may be early warning signals. Without those, all other professional signals are encouraging, especially since analysts are getting more optimistic. ...read more
Value Strategy: Shin-Etsu Chemical Stock Price Value low
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 11 (worse than 89% compared with alternatives), Shin-Etsu Chemical shares are significantly more expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all four indicators below average for Shin-Etsu Chemical. Price-to-Sales is 1 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is higher than 99% of comparable companies, indicating a low value concerning Shin-Etsu Chemical's sales levels. Price-to-Book Capital (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) also has a low Price-to-Book Rank of 11, which means that both reliable company size indicators, sales, and invested capital cannot explain the high stock price of Shin-Etsu Chemical. In addition, the two profit-related value indicators, Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price-earnings, P/E) with a low rank of 36 and Dividend Yield, which is lower than 79% of comparable companies, also make the stock more expensive compared with investment alternatives. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 11, is a sell recommendation based on Shin-Etsu Chemical's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. How can market participants pay such a high price for Shin-Etsu Chemical? One reason may be that the company is simply too popular. If enough people want a particular stock, its price can exceed reasonable levels. This is often the case for companies offering new and exciting products and everybody wants a piece of the action. Should you pay a lot for a hot stock such as Shin-Etsu Chemical? It's risky, and even if the stock price continues to grow because of popular demand, it may return to more typical lower levels later. And that return can be sudden and quick, making it impossible for retail investors to exit on time. Sometimes, high prices are deserved. This is the case when it is justified to believe that the company will dominate a market with high profit margins. It has happened in the past for many technology companies and indeed for commercially successful pharmaceutical discoveries. Sometimes they last, sometimes, they get eaten alive. Shin-Etsu Chemical may be such a type of stock. That would mean, retail investors should be careful, only considering investing a small part of their wealth in this exciting category and always being ready to lose more than half, if not all of the investment. ...read more
Growth Strategy: Shin-Etsu Chemical Growth Momentum high
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 77 (better than 77% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Shin-Etsu Chemical shows one of the highest growth dynamics in its industry. Investors also speak of high momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Shin-Etsu Chemical. Sales Growth has a rank of 78 which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow more than 78% of its competitors. Stock Returns are also above average with a rank of 97. But Capital Growth has only a rank of 22, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its invested capital less than 78% of its competitors. Profit Growth is also low, with a rank of only 40, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow its profits below average. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 77, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. This is a surprising picture, as the messages from the operating growth indicators of revenues, profits, and invested capital are mixed, while stock returns are above average. It may indicate new intellectual properties, such as brand improvement or a strong market position that shows in revenues but not in the capital. The low profit-growth rate may indicate an early phase where costs are still high, and revenues don't fully cover upfront investments or fixed costs. The positive investor outlook with a 97% peer outperformance is reaffirmed in this case which may be a good sign for an investment into a well-protected high-growth company. This fact needs to be confirmed by researching the company website and press. ...read more
Safety Strategy: Shin-Etsu Chemical Debt Financing Safety very solid
| SAFETY METRICS | February 1, 2024 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 94 |
|
||||||
| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 25 |
|
||||||
| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 98 |
|
||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 82 |
|
||||||
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 82 (better than 82% compared with alternatives) for 2024, the company Shin-Etsu Chemical has safe financing practices, which means that their overall debt burden is low. This doesn't mean that the business of Shin-Etsu Chemical is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with two out of three indicators above average for Shin-Etsu Chemical. Leverage is at a rank of 94, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 94% of its competitors. Liquidity is also good at a rank of 98, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 98% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the safer side when it comes to debt service. But Refinancing is lower at a rank of 25, which means that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is above-average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 75% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 82 (better than 82% compared with alternatives), Shin-Etsu Chemical has a financing structure that is significantly safer than that of its competitors. The refinancing issues could be a short-term problem, especially if the company has reputation issues. Banks and investors don't like to refinance debt if there are clouds on the horizon. For this reason, investors should look at the refinancing environment for Shin-Etsu Chemical. Does it look safe that debt that is coming due can be covered with new debt? If that is the case, then the financing situation of the company is on the safer side. If not, it may be better to wait until refinancing has been completed and the Refinancing rank is good again. ...read more
Combined financial peformance: Shin-Etsu Chemical Above-Average Financial Performance
| COMBINED PERFORMANCE | February 1, 2024 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 11 |
|
||||||
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 77 |
|
||||||
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 98 |
|
||||||
| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 58 |
|
||||||
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 58 (better than 58% compared with investment alternatives), Shin-Etsu Chemical (Specialty Chemicals, Japan) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Shin-Etsu Chemical are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 11 (worse than 89% of alternatives). But they show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 77) and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 82, which means below-average debt burdens). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 58, is a buy recommendation based on Shin-Etsu Chemical's financial characteristics. Investors looking for growth and low financial risk may find this stock attractive. While the company Shin-Etsu Chemical exhibits low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 11), which means that the stock price is rather high, it also demonstrates above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 77). This is a typical case, as high-growth companies are often expensive. Good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 82) are a double-edged sword: if the company continues growing, low debt limits shareholder returns. But if the company increases its debt, it will also increase risk. In other words, this is an investment on the safer side, despite the above-average price (low value). ...read more
Obermatt Portfolio Performance
We’re so convinced about our research, that we buy our stock tips.
See the performance of the Obermatt portfolio.