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Shin-Etsu Chemical (TSE:4063)

JP3371200001

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Shin-Etsu Chemical stock research in summary

shinetsu.co.jp

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 35 (worse than 65% compared with investment alternatives), Shin-Etsu Chemical (Specialty Chemicals, Japan) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Shin-Etsu Chemical are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 11 (worse than 89% of alternatives) and show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 11) but are safely financed (Safety Rank of 96), which means low debt burdens. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 35, is a hold recommendation based on Shin-Etsu Chemical's financial characteristics. As the company Shin-Etsu Chemical's critical financial metrics exhibit below-average performance, such as low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 11) and low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 11), it is a somewhat questionable stock investment, where the risk of paying too much for the shares is significant, unless the company has an exceptionally bright future. In this case, good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 96) are a positive sign, because it may allow the company to weather challenging times until the hoped-for cash flows materialize. This may be true for high-tech or biotechnology companies with enough cash to sustain prolonged business development. If they own properties that only provide cash flows in the future, the stock may look excessively expensive and unattractive today. In such cases, the Obermatt Method has limited value, as it is based on facts we can observe today. If the facts lie all in the future, stock investing becomes guesswork, and this should only be a driver in a limited number of investments that account for a small fraction of a safe portfolio. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	11
Growth Rank	11
Safety Rank	96
Combined Rank	35

Country	Japan
Industry	Specialty Chemicals
Index	TOPIX 100, Low Emissions, Energy Efficient, Water Efficiency, Nikkei 225
Size class	X-Large

This stock has achievements: Top 10 Stock.

31-Jul-2025. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

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Research History: Shin-Etsu Chemical

RESEARCH HISTORY	2022	2023	2024	2025
VALUE
VALUE	15	9	7	11
GROWTH
GROWTH	69	81	43	11
SAFETY
SAFETY	92	80	86	96
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	65	78	52	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	73	67	40	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 31-Jul-2025. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 31-Mar-2025. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better Shin-Etsu Chemical is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2022	2023	2024	2025
VALUE
VALUE	15	9	7	11
GROWTH
GROWTH	69	81	43	11
SAFETY
SAFETY	92	80	86	96
COMBINED
COMBINED	70	56	43	35

Last update of combined financial performance: 24-Apr-2025. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of Shin-Etsu Chemical the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 11 (worse than 89% compared with alternatives), Shin-Etsu Chemical shares are significantly more expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all four indicators below average for Shin-Etsu Chemical. Price-to-Sales is 1 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is higher than 99% of comparable companies, indicating a low value concerning Shin-Etsu Chemical's sales levels. Price-to-Book Capital (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) also has a low Price-to-Book Rank of 9, which means that both reliable company size indicators, sales, and invested capital cannot explain the high stock price of Shin-Etsu Chemical. In addition, the two profit-related value indicators, Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price-earnings, P/E) with a low rank of 33 and Dividend Yield, which is lower than 59% of comparable companies, also make the stock more expensive compared with investment alternatives. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 11, is a sell recommendation based on Shin-Etsu Chemical's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. How can market participants pay such a high price for Shin-Etsu Chemical? One reason may be that the company is simply too popular. If enough people want a particular stock, its price can exceed reasonable levels. This is often the case for companies offering new and exciting products and everybody wants a piece of the action. Should you pay a lot for a hot stock such as Shin-Etsu Chemical? It's risky, and even if the stock price continues to grow because of popular demand, it may return to more typical lower levels later. And that return can be sudden and quick, making it impossible for retail investors to exit on time. Sometimes, high prices are deserved. This is the case when it is justified to believe that the company will dominate a market with high profit margins. It has happened in the past for many technology companies and indeed for commercially successful pharmaceutical discoveries. Sometimes they last, sometimes, they get eaten alive. Shin-Etsu Chemical may be such a type of stock. That would mean, retail investors should be careful, only considering investing a small part of their wealth in this exciting category and always being ready to lose more than half, if not all of the investment. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is essential in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2022	2023	2024	2025
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	11	1	1	1
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	19	39	30	33
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	13	13	11	9
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	39	21	34	41
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	15	9	7	11

Last update of Value Rank: 31-Jul-2025. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of Shin-Etsu Chemical; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 11 (better than 11% compared with alternatives), Shin-Etsu Chemical shows one of the most restricted growth dynamics in its industry. There is little momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators below-average for Shin-Etsu Chemical. While Sales Growth ranks at 68, professionals currently expect the company to grow more than 68% of its competitors, while all other growth ranks are below the market median. Profit Growth has a rank of 26, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow its profits less than 74% of its competitors, and Capital Growth has a low rank of 12. Historic stock returns were also below average with a current Stock Returns rank of 9 which means that the stock returns have recently been below 91% of alternative investments. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 11, is a sell recommendation for growth and momentum investors. If revenues are expected to increase, but all other growth indicators are negative, the company may be investing in future growth through means not visible in the balance sheet and thus not reflected in capital growth. The fact that Stock Returns have been below market doesn't mean that much, as it may be due to overly optimistic investor behavior in the past, which has been corrected to a more reasonable level recently. If that were the case, a positive Value Rank would be a reason to invest because the company is still expected to grow, while stock prices are now at a more reasonable level. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance isn't stellar here. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2022	2023	2024	2025
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	64	83	78	68
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	58	38	37	26
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	83	37	56	12
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	37	97	27	9
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	69	81	43	11

Last update of Growth Rank: 31-Jul-2025. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of Shin-Etsu Chemical.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 96 (better than 96% compared with alternatives) for 2025, the company Shin-Etsu Chemical has safe financing practices, which means that their overall debt burden is low. This doesn't mean that the business of Shin-Etsu Chemical is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with two out of three indicators above average for Shin-Etsu Chemical. Leverage is at a rank of 98, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 98% of its competitors. Liquidity is also good at a rank of 100, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 100% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the safer side when it comes to debt service. But Refinancing is lower at a rank of 35, which means that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is above-average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 65% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 96 (better than 96% compared with alternatives), Shin-Etsu Chemical has a financing structure that is significantly safer than that of its competitors. The refinancing issues could be a short-term problem, especially if the company has reputation issues. Banks and investors don't like to refinance debt if there are clouds on the horizon. For this reason, investors should look at the refinancing environment for Shin-Etsu Chemical. Does it look safe that debt that is coming due can be covered with new debt? If that is the case, then the financing situation of the company is on the safer side. If not, it may be better to wait until refinancing has been completed and the Refinancing rank is good again. Investors may have a short-term debt challenge with Shin-Etsu Chemical and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2022	2023	2024	2025
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	94	94	97	98
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	33	25	23	35
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	98	98	98	100
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	92	80	86	96

Last update of Safety Rank: 24-Apr-2025. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of Shin-Etsu Chemical and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2022	2023	2024	2025
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	64	63	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	87	55	23	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	11	91	78	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	36	43	46	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	65	78	52	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 31-Jul-2025. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for Shin-Etsu Chemical.
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