May 18, 2023
Top 10 Stock Mosaic Hold Recommendation
How to read the ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Snapshot: Mosaic – Top 10 Stock in SDG 14: Life Below Water
Mosaic is listed as a top 10 stock on May 18, 2023 in the market index SDG 14 because of its high performance in at least one of the Obermatt investment strategies. While half the consolidated Obermatt Ranks are above-average, investor sentiment is negative and growth performance is below market average, both a sign for caution. Based on the Obermatt 360° View of 32 (32% performer), Obermatt assesses an overall hold recommendation for Mosaic on May 18, 2023.
Snapshot: Obermatt Ranks
| Country | USA |
| Industry | Fertilizers & Agricultural Chemicals |
| Index | Energy Efficient, SDG 13, SDG 14, SDG 2, SDG 6, SDG 8, Water Efficiency, S&P 500 |
| Size class | XX-Large |
When Obermatt identifies the Top 10 stocks in a market, it’s based on a certain investment strategy. The best performing stocks usually aren’t the ones that everyone is talking about (those are often "over-priced" and have low Value ranks).
For each investment strategy, we provide you with more detailed analysis and our recommendation. You see the ranks of the top 10 stocks ranked by that particular investment strategy (360° View, Sentiment, Value, Growth, Safety and Combined Financial Performance).
360° View: Obermatt 360° Assessment Mosaic Hold
| 360 METRICS | May 18, 2023 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 96 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 1 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 82 |
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| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | 16 |
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| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | 32 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt 360° View of 32 (better than 32% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock Mosaic are below the industry average. The 360° View is based on consolidating four consolidated indicators, with half the metrics below and half above average for Mosaic. The consolidated Value Rank has an attractive rank of 96, which means that the share price of Mosaic is on the lower side compared with typical size in indicators such as revenues, profits, and invested capital. This means the stock price is lower than for 96% of alternative stocks in the same industry. The company is also safely financed with a Safety rank of 82. But the professional market sentiment is below average compared with other stock investment alternatives with a Sentiment Rank of 16. Professional investors are more confident in 84% other stocks. The consolidated Growth Rank also has a low rank of 1, which means that the company is below average in terms of growth momentum when looking at financial metrics such as revenue, profit, invested capital growth, and stock returns. 99 of its competitors have better growth. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a 360° View of 32, Mosaic is worse than 68% of all alternative stock investment opportunities based on the Obermatt Method. The picture is mixed here. The stock seems to be a good value (Value Rank of 96), and the financing structure is on the safer side (Safety Rank of 82). However, sentiment in the professional investor community is below-average (Sentiment Rank of 16), as is the growth momentum for the company (Growth Rank of 1). While everybody wants to buy at low stock prices (good value), professionals’ skepticism may mean that the low price is justified. Even though the financing structure is not as important as Value, Growth, and Sentiment, investors should still be careful with this decision and conduct further research if they are serious about investing in this company. ...read more
Sentiment Strategy: Professional Market Sentiment for Mosaic negative
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 16 (better than 16% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock Mosaic is critical, mostly below average. The Sentiment Rank is based on consolidating four sentiment indicators, with half the indicators below and the other half above average for Mosaic. Analyst Opinions are at a rank of 5 (worse than 95% of alternative investments), which means that currently, stock research analysts tend to warn against investing in the stock of the company. Worse, Analyst Opinions Change has a rank of 9, which means that stock research experts are getting more pessimistic. It doesn't end with the analysts. Market Pulse is also low with a rank of 40, which means that the current professional news and professional social networks tend to be negative when discussing this company (more negative news than for 60% of competitors). On the upside, the Professional Investors rank is 55, which means that professional investors hold more stock in this company than in 55% of alternative investment opportunities. Pros tend to favor investing in this company. This could be due to a large company size, which could contribute to the higher share of professional investors in the company. If this is not the case, the low sentiment ranks are more challenging to explain. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 16 (less encouraging than 84% compared with investment alternatives), Mosaic has a reputation among professional investors that is far below that of its competitors. Should the company be on the smaller side, the presence of professional investors could be reassuring. That would make Mosaic stock something like a hidden gem. Investors should make sure with further research that this is true, because all other sentiment indicators are negative which is a sign for caution. ...read more
Value Strategy: Mosaic Stock Price Value at the top
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 96 (better than 96% compared with alternatives) for 2023, Mosaic shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators that are all above average for Mosaic. Price-to-Sales has a value of 67 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 67% of comparable companies, indicating a good value for Mosaic's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits, more favorable than for 95% of alternatives, and this is also true for the Price-to-Book capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 94. Compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields of Mosaic are expected to be higher than for 65% of all competitors (a Dividend Yield rank of 65). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 96, is a strong buy recommendation based on Mosaic's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since all value metrics are above the industry average, there is no objection to investing in Mosaic based on its detailed value metrics.
Growth Strategy: Mosaic Growth Momentum negative
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 1 (better than 1% compared with alternatives), Mosaic shows one of the most restricted growth dynamics in its industry. There is little momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all four metrics below average for Mosaic. Sales Growth has a rank of 6, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow less than 94% of its competitors. The same is valid for Profit Growth, with a rank of 4, and Capital Growth with 18. In addition, Stock Returns have a below market rank of 6, which means that the stock returns have recently been below 94% of alternative investments. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 1, is a SELL recommendation for growth and momentum investors. These are all bad growth momentum indicators. These are negative signals for investors interested in growth companies. Value is likely good for this company, as investors may have left this stock in the cold. If that is the case, investors should look at the company's prospects, especially Sentiment performance, because it may be a turnaround situation that could entail above-average returns in the future. But it remains a risky bet, as no growth signals are in the green zone yet. ...read more
Safety Strategy: Mosaic Debt Financing Safety very solid
| SAFETY METRICS | May 18, 2023 | |||||||
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| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 89 |
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| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 16 |
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| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 92 |
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| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 82 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 82 (better than 82% compared with alternatives) for 2023, the company Mosaic has safe financing practices, which means that their overall debt burden is low. This doesn't mean that the business of Mosaic is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with two out of three indicators above average for Mosaic. Leverage is at a rank of 89, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 89% of its competitors. Liquidity is also good at a rank of 92, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 92% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the safer side when it comes to debt service. But Refinancing is lower at a rank of 16, which means that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is above-average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 84% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 82 (better than 82% compared with alternatives), Mosaic has a financing structure that is significantly safer than that of its competitors. The refinancing issues could be a short-term problem, especially if the company has reputation issues. Banks and investors don't like to refinance debt if there are clouds on the horizon. For this reason, investors should look at the refinancing environment for Mosaic. Does it look safe that debt that is coming due can be covered with new debt? If that is the case, then the financing situation of the company is on the safer side. If not, it may be better to wait until refinancing has been completed and the Refinancing rank is good again. ...read more
Combined financial peformance: Mosaic Above-Average Financial Performance
| COMBINED PERFORMANCE | May 18, 2023 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 96 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 1 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 92 |
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| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 72 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 72 (better than 72% compared with investment alternatives), Mosaic (Fertilizers & Agricultural Chemicals, USA) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Mosaic are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Obermatt Value Rank of 96 (better than 96% of alternatives), are safely financed (Safety Rank of 82, which means low debt burdens), but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 1). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: An Obermatt Combined Rank of 72, is a buy recommendation based on Mosaic's financial characteristics. As the company Mosaic's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 96) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 1) while being safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 82), it may be a safer investment because companies with low debt can better withstand times of crises. Yet the good value, better than 96% of comparable companies, may also indicate that the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity and the downside is limited due to below-average financing risks. ...read more
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