May 11, 2023
Top 10 Stock Ero Copper Hold Recommendation
How to read the ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Snapshot: Ero Copper – Top 10 Stock in Silver Mining and Production
Ero Copper is listed as a top 10 stock on May 11, 2023 in the market index Silver because of its high performance in at least one of the Obermatt investment strategies. Two consolidated Obermatt Ranks are above-average. The company is growing above average, and professional investor sentiment is positive. Both are encouraging signals for a stock purchase decision, albeit at an above-average share price. Based on the Obermatt 360° Rank of 44 (44% performer), Obermatt assesses an overall hold recommendation for Ero Copper on May 11, 2023.
Snapshot: Obermatt Ranks
| Country | Canada |
| Industry | Copper |
| Index | Copper, Iron, Lithium, Rare Earth, Silver, Uranium, TSX Composite |
| Size class | Medium |
When Obermatt identifies the Top 10 stocks in a market, it’s based on a certain investment strategy. The best performing stocks usually aren’t the ones that everyone is talking about (those are often "over-priced" and have low Value ranks).
For each investment strategy, we provide you with more detailed analysis and our recommendation. You see the ranks of the top 10 stocks ranked by that particular investment strategy (360° View, Sentiment, Value, Growth, Safety and Combined Financial Performance).
360° View: Obermatt 360° Assessment Ero Copper Hold
| 360 METRICS | May 11, 2023 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 16 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 97 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 14 |
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| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | 72 |
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| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | 44 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt 360° Rank of 44 (better than 44% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock Ero Copper are below the industry average. The 360° Rank is based on consolidating four consolidated indicators, with half of the metrics below and half above average for Ero Copper. The consolidated Growth Rank has a good rank of 97, which means that the company experiences above-average growth momentum when looking at financial metrics such as revenue, profit, and invested capital growth as well as stock returns. This means that growth is higher than for 97% of competitors in the same industry. The consolidated Sentiment Rank also has a good rank of 72, which means that professional investors are more optimistic about the stock than for 72% of alternative investment opportunities. But the consolidated Value Rank has a less desirable rank of 16, which means that the share price of Ero Copper is on the higher side compared with typical size in indicators such as revenues, profits, and invested capital. This means the stock price is higher than for 84% of alternative stocks in the same industry. Finally, the consolidated Safety Rank has a riskier rank of 14, which means that the company has a financing structure that is riskier than 86% comparable companies when looking at the amount of its debt, its refinancing requirements, and its ability to service debt. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a 360° Rank of 44, Ero Copper is worse than 56% of all alternative stock investment opportunities based on the Obermatt Method. Only half of the consolidated Obermatt Ranks exhibit excellent performance, so one needs to take a close look. Growth is above-average (Growth Rank of 97), and professional market sentiment is positive (Sentiment Rank of 72), but value and safety are below average. The Safety Rank is the least important of the four consolidated ranks, because it only reflects financing practices. In the case of high growth, aggressive financing is a good thing. So the question is: How to assess below-average value against above-average growth and sentiment? Growth may be the strongest driver of the investment rationale in this case, which is reflected in institutional investors' opinions. It is typical for growth companies to have low value, as is the case here. Investors are willing to pay more for companies that outperform their competitors. So the question is, how much do you sacrifice value for growth? You can use the following rule of thumb: If you take one minus the growth rank, that is the minimum level that the value rank should have. For example, if the growth rank is at 75, and the value rank is at 5, you should tread carefully. If the value rank is at 40, it still might be a good value (even though it is lower than 50). Sometimes market sentiment just extrapolates the past, but sometimes they are right. You pay more than the market average for this stock, but it may be worth it. ...read more
Sentiment Strategy: Professional Market Sentiment for Ero Copper positive
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 72 (better than 72% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock Ero Copper is above average. The Sentiment Rank is based on consolidating four sentiment indicators, with all but one indicator above average for Ero Copper. Analyst Opinions are at a rank of 62 (better than 62% of alternative investments), which means that, currently, stock research analysts tend to recommend a stock investment in the company. In addition, Analyst Opinions Change has a rank of 88, which means that stock research experts are changing their opinions for the better in recommending investing in the company. In other words, they are getting even more optimistic about investments in Ero Copper. Finally, the Professional Investors rank is 100, which means that currently, professional investors hold more stock in this company than in 100% of alternative investment opportunities. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 72 (more positive than 72% compared with investment alternatives), Ero Copper has a reputation among professional investors that is above-average compared with that of its competitors. Pros tend to favor investing in this company. But there is also a signal for caution. Market Pulse has a rank of 16, which means that the current professional news and professional social networks tend to be negative when discussing this company (more negative news than for 84% of competitors). This could mean future risks and should make investors careful. Attention to negative news for Ero Copper is worthwhile because they may be early warning signals. Without those, all other professional signals are encouraging, especially since analysts are getting more optimistic. ...read more
Value Strategy: Ero Copper Stock Price Value low
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 16 (worse than 84% compared with alternatives), Ero Copper shares are significantly more expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for Ero Copper. Only Price to Profit (also referred to as price-earnings, P/E) indicates good stock value of 67, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is lower than 67% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning Ero Copper's profit levels. But Price-to-Sales has a value of 21 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is higher than 79% of comparable companies, indicating a low value concerning Ero Copper's profit levels. The same is valid for Price-to-Book Capital (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with an Obermatt Price-to-Book Rank of 9 and for dividend yield, which is lower than 99% of comparable companies, making the stock more expensive compared with the company's expected dividend payouts. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 16, is a SELL recommendation based on Ero Copper's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Can we rely on only one good value indicator? Only if we know the company well. In this case, a high Price-to-Profit Rank, while Price-to-Sales and Price-to-Book are both below the market typical levels, means that the company can charge higher prices for its products and needs less capital to produce them. If this is sustainable, then Ero Copper is a good investment because profits count most in enterprise valuations. The low dividend yield indicates that the company is confident it can do something with the generated cash that is more valuable than just paying the profits out to the shareholders in the form of dividends. ...read more
Growth Strategy: Ero Copper Growth Momentum high
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 97 (better than 97% compared with alternatives) for 2023, Ero Copper shows one of the highest growth dynamics in its industry. Investors also speak of high momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all but one indicator above average for Ero Copper. Sales Growth has a rank of 92 which means that currently, professionals expect the company to grow more than 92% of its competitors. Both Profit Growth, with a rank of 67, and Stock Returns, with a rank of 95, are also above average. But Capital Growth only has a rank of 37, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow its invested capital less than 33% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 97, is a BUY recommendation for growth and momentum investors. That may be a good sign if the company is already well positioned and doesn't require more investments at this time. They may focus on growing the top (revenues) and bottom (profits) lines, recently rewarded with above-average stock returns for shareholders. But it may also be a sign of danger as the company is falling back with capital investment activities concerning competition. This requires further analysis of corporate communications. ...read more
Safety Strategy: Ero Copper Debt Financing Safety risky
| SAFETY METRICS | May 11, 2023 | |||||||
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| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 4 |
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| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 49 |
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| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 31 |
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| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 14 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 14 (better than 14% compared with alternatives), the company Ero Copper has much riskier financing practices than comparable other companies, which means that their overall debt burden is significantly above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of Ero Copper is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with all three metrics below average for Ero Copper. Liquidity is at 31, meaning that the company generates less profit to service its debt than 69% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the riskier side when it comes to debt service. Even worse, Leverage is at a rank of 4, meaning the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 96% of its competitors. Finally, Refinancing is at a rank of 49 which means that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is above average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 51% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 14 (worse than 86% compared with alternatives), Ero Copper has a financing structure that is significantly riskier than that of its competitors. This combination is rather dangerous in most situations. Only very promising companies with bright future outlooks and stellar reputations can operate with such risky financing. ...read more
Combined financial peformance: Ero Copper Lowest Financial Performance
| COMBINED PERFORMANCE | May 11, 2023 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 16 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 97 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 31 |
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| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 24 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 24 (worse than 76% compared with investment alternatives), Ero Copper (Copper, Canada) shares have lower financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Ero Copper are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Obermatt Value Rank of 16 (worse than 84% of alternatives), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 14, which means above-average debt burdens) but show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 97). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: An Obermatt Combined Rank of 24, is a sell recommendation based on Ero Copper's financial characteristics. As the company Ero Copper shows low value with an Obermatt Value Rank of 16 (84% of comparable investments are less expensive), investors should look at the other ranks. In this case, growth is expected to be above-average, better than 97% of comparable companies (Obermatt Growth Rank is 97). This is a typical case. Companies with above average growth tend to cost more than the sluggish variety. If this is a high-growth company, the low Obermatt Safety Rank of 14 is a good sign. The more debt a well-performing company has, the higher the returns to shareholders. However, if growth turns negative or interest rates increase, high debt may become a burden. If you believe the future is bright for Ero Copper, even a low-value company (in terms of its key financial indicators) can be a good investment. ...read more
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