November 9, 2023
Top 10 Stock Österreichische Post Sell Recommendation
How to read the ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Snapshot: Österreichische Post – Top 10 Stock in Austrian Traded Index ATX
Österreichische Post is listed as a top 10 stock on November 09, 2023 in the market index ATX because of its high performance in at least one of the Obermatt investment strategies. All consolidated Obermatt Ranks are below-average. Based on the Obermatt Method, an investment in the company is not advisable today. Based on the Obermatt 360° View of 16 (16% performer), Obermatt issues an overall sell recommendation for Österreichische Post on November 09, 2023.
Snapshot: Obermatt Ranks
| Country | Austria |
| Industry | Air Freight & Logistics |
| Index | ATX, Dividends Europe, Energy Efficient, Diversity Europe |
| Size class | Large |
When Obermatt identifies the Top 10 stocks in a market, it’s based on a certain investment strategy. The best performing stocks usually aren’t the ones that everyone is talking about (those are often "over-priced" and have low Value ranks).
For each investment strategy, we provide you with more detailed analysis and our recommendation. You see the ranks of the top 10 stocks ranked by that particular investment strategy (360° View, Sentiment, Value, Growth, Safety and Combined Financial Performance).
360° View: Obermatt 360° View Österreichische Post Sell
| 360 METRICS | November 9, 2023 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 34 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 37 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 35 |
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| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | 34 |
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| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | 16 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt 360° View of 16 (better than 16% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and financial characteristics for the stock Österreichische Post are critical, mostly below average. The 360° View is based on consolidating four consolidated indicators, with all four indicators below average for Österreichische Post. The consolidated Value Rank has a low rank of 34 which means that the share price of Österreichische Post is on the higher side compared with typical size in indicators such as revenues, profits, and invested capital. This means the stock price is higher than for 66% of alternative stocks in the same industry. The consolidated Growth Rank also has a low rank of 37, which means that the company exhibits below-average growth momentum when looking at financial metrics such as revenue, profit, and invested capital growth as well as stock returns. This means that growth is lower than for 37% of competitors in the same industry. The consolidated Safety Rank has a riskier rank of 35, which means that the company has a riskier financing structure than 65% comparable companies when looking at the amount of its debt, its refinancing requirements, and its ability to service debt. Finally, the consolidated Sentiment Rank has a low rank of 34, which means that professional investors are more pessimistic about the stock than for 66% of alternative investment opportunities. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated 360° View of 16, Österreichische Post is worse than 84% of all alternative stock investment opportunities based on the Obermatt Method. This means that Österreichische Post shares are on the riskier side for investors. As all consolidated Obermatt Ranks are below-average, this is a risky stock investment proposition, especially since professional investor sentiment, the consolidated Obermatt Sentiment Rank, is also low at 34. The negative market view on Österreichische Post may stem from the high stock price (low value), the low level of growth, or the risky financing structures. That's several problems with no good news anywhere. Based on the current information, we don’t see any compelling arguments to make a case for this stock investment. The company may have a strong future which would justify the high stock price, but this is not confirmed by investor behavior today. While Österreichische Post may have a bright future, it is reflected in neither the financial indicators nor the market sentiment. ...read more
Sentiment Strategy: Professional Market Sentiment for Österreichische Post only reserved
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 34 (better than 34% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock Österreichische Post is below industry average. The Sentiment Rank is based on consolidating four sentiment indicators, with half of the indicators below and above average for Österreichische Post. Analyst Opinions are at a rank of 3 (worse than 97% of alternative investments), which means that currently, stock research analysts tend to warn against investing in the stock of the company. But they are changing their opinions! Analyst Opinions Change has a rank of 50 which means that stock research experts are changing their opinions for the better. In other words, they are getting more optimistic of stock investments in Österreichische Post. Market Pulse is also positive with a rank of 85, which means that the current professional news and professional social networks are positive in their discussions about this company (more positive news than for 85% of competitors). Only professional investors tend to be absent with a Professional Investors rank of 29, which means that professional investors hold less stock in this company than in 71% of alternative investment opportunities. Pros tend to invest in other companies. But that could also be due to the size of the company. Professional investors tend to invest in XL and XXL companies. If the company is smaller than that, that fact alone may explain why there are fewer pros present. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Sentiment Rank of 34 (less encouraging than 66% compared with investment alternatives), Österreichische Post has a reputation among professional investors that is below that of its competitors. Since analysts are getting more optimistic and the professional communication channels are positive, it may be an indication of a company that has the difficult times behind it or the stocks’ value is improving. For medium to smaller companies, the positive sentiment indicators outshine the negative. ...read more
Value Strategy: Österreichische Post Stock Price Value below-average critical
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 34 (worse than 66% compared with alternatives), Österreichische Post shares are more expensive than the average comparable stock. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for Österreichische Post. Only the metric dividend yield has an above-average rank, reflecting that dividend practices are expected to be higher than 74% of comparable companies, making the stock an attractive buy for dividend investors. However, dividend investors may get disappointed because all other critical financial indicators are below the market median: Price-to-Sales is 46 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is higher than 54% of comparable companies, indicating a low value concerning Österreichische Post's sales levels. The same is valid for Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price-earnings, P/E) with a rank of 20 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profit levels is higher than 80% of comparable companies. In addition, Price-to-Book (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Book Rank of 18 is also low. Compared with invested capital, the stock price is higher than for 82% of comparable investments. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 34, is a hold recommendation based on Österreichische Post's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Should dividend investors pick Österreichische Post? The company-reported financials speak against it. The company is expensive compared with revenue and invested capital levels, two reliable company size indicators. In addition, it currently has a low level of profits. How can future dividends be paid in the case that profits remain low? Dividend investors should choose Österreichische Post only if they reasonably expect the low current profit levels to be transitory. ...read more
Growth Strategy: Österreichische Post Growth Momentum low
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 37 (better than 37% compared with alternatives), Österreichische Post shows a below-average growth dynamic in its industry. There is limited momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for Österreichische Post. Sales Growth has a below market rank of 45, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow less than 55% of its competitors. The same is valid for Capital Growth, with a rank of 19, and Profit Growth, with a rank of 48. Currently, professionals expect the company to grow its profits less than 52% of its competitors). Only shareholders are optimistic. Stock Returns are above average at a rank of 63, which means that the stock returns have recently been above 63% of alternative investments. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 37, is a hold recommendation for growth and momentum investors. That picture may be the result for a company that has reached the bottom. All went south for Österreichische Post, and it still looks bad, but some investors already see light at the end of the tunnel, rewarding the stock with recent above-market stock returns. It could also mean that investors are correcting an overreaction to negative news. If that were the case, the positive stock returns are not yet a sign of recovery. Investors should look closely at the Value and Sentiment indicators before they make a stock purchasing decision, because growth is unlikely to be the driving argument behind this investment. ...read more
Safety Strategy: Österreichische Post Debt Financing Safety below-average
| SAFETY METRICS | November 9, 2023 | |||||||
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| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 12 |
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| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 43 |
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| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 64 |
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| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 35 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 35 (better than 35% compared with alternatives), the company Österreichische Post has financing practices on the riskier side, which means that their overall debt burden is above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of Österreichische Post is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with just one indicator above average for Österreichische Post. Liquidity is at 64, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 64% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is safer when it comes to debt service. But Refinancing is riskier at a rank of 43, which means that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is above average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 57% of its competitors. Leverage is also high at a rank of 12, which means that the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 88% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 35 (worse than 65% compared with alternatives), Österreichische Post has a financing structure that is riskier than that of its competitors. High Leverage (a low Obermatt Leverage Rank) is good in good times, because it usually indicates that shareholders get higher returns. The good Liquidity performance of the company is an indicator that this is the case. However, if you expect an economic downturn, you may stay clear of this stock because they have an above-average debt level that needs refinancing soon. ...read more
Combined financial peformance: Österreichische Post Lowest Financial Performance
| COMBINED PERFORMANCE | November 9, 2023 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 34 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 37 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 64 |
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| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 14 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 14 (worse than 86% compared with investment alternatives), Österreichische Post (Air Freight & Logistics, Austria) shares have lower financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Österreichische Post are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 34 (worse than 66% of alternatives), show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 37), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 35), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 14, is a sell recommendation based on Österreichische Post's financial characteristics. As the company Österreichische Post's key financial metrics all exhibit below-average performance, such as low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 34), low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 37), and risky financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 35), it is a somewhat questionable stock investment, where the risk of paying too much for the shares is significant, unless the company has an exceptionally bright future. Such poor financial performance sometimes indicates that the company's business is all concentrated in some distant future. This is sometimes the case for high-tech or biotechnology companies. If they own properties that only provide cash flows in the future, the stock may look excessively expensive and risky today. In such cases, the Obermatt Method has limited value as it is based on facts we can observe today. If the facts are all in the future, stock investing becomes guesswork, and this should only be a driver in a limited number of investments that should only amount to a small fraction of a safe portfolio. ...read more
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