August 10, 2023
Top 10 Stock Zalando Strong Buy Recommendation
How to read the ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Snapshot: Zalando – Top 10 Stock in SDG 4: Quality Education
Zalando is listed as a top 10 stock on August 10, 2023 in the market index SDG 4 because of its high performance in at least one of the Obermatt investment strategies. Three consolidated Obermatt Ranks are above-average. Only the Value Rank is below average. The investment rationale may be an investment in future growth, supported by professional market opinion. Based on the Obermatt 360° View of 75 (top 75% performer), Obermatt assesses an overall strong buy recommendation for Zalando on August 10, 2023.
Snapshot: Obermatt Ranks
| Country | Germany |
| Industry | Internet Retail |
| Index | CDAX, DAX 40, Diversity Europe, Renewables Users, SDG 12, SDG 13, SDG 4, SDG 8, MDAX |
| Size class | X-Large |
When Obermatt identifies the Top 10 stocks in a market, it’s based on a certain investment strategy. The best performing stocks usually aren’t the ones that everyone is talking about (those are often "over-priced" and have low Value ranks).
For each investment strategy, we provide you with more detailed analysis and our recommendation. You see the ranks of the top 10 stocks ranked by that particular investment strategy (360° View, Sentiment, Value, Growth, Safety and Combined Financial Performance).
360° View: Obermatt 360° View Zalando Strong Buy
| 360 METRICS | August 10, 2023 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 12 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 95 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 66 |
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| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | 51 |
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| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | 75 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt 360° View of 75 (better than 75% compared with alternatives) for 2023, overall professional sentiment and financial characteristics for the stock Zalando are very positive. The 360° View is based on consolidating four consolidated indicators, with all but one indicator above average for Zalando. The consolidated Growth Rank has a good rank of 95, which means that the company experiences above-average growth momentum when looking at financial metrics such as revenue, profit, and invested capital growth, as well as stock returns. This means that growth is higher than for 95% of competitors in the same industry. The consolidated Safety Rank at 66 means that the company has a financing structure that is safer than 66% comparable companies when looking at the amount of its debt, its refinancing requirements, and its ability to service debt. Finally, the consolidated Sentiment Rank has a good rank of 51, which means that professional investors are more optimistic about the stock than for 51% of alternative investment opportunities. But the consolidated Value Rank is less desirable at 12, meaning that the share price of Zalando is on the higher side compared with indicators such as revenues, profits, and invested capital. This means the stock price is higher than for 88% of alternative stocks in the same industry. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated 360° View of 75, Zalando is better positioned than 75% of all alternative stock investment opportunities based on the Obermatt Method. As three out of four consolidated Obermatt Ranks exhibit excellent performance, such as above-average growth (Growth Rank of 95), a safe financing structure (Safety Rank of 66), and positive professional market sentiment (Sentiment Rank of 51), it is a solid stock investment where growth may be the strongest driver of the investment rationale, also reflected by institutional investors. It is typical for growth companies to have low value, as is the case here. Investors are willing to pay more for companies that outperform their competitors. So the question is, how much more do you pay for the stock of Zalando compared with alternatives? You can use the following rule of thumb: The growth rank measures the growth momentum of the company (95% better than peers). The value rank could be the reverse reflection of that (5%). A Value Rank below that level may be assessed as expensive, a rank above that is still good value. Sometimes market sentiment just reflects the past, sometimes the reality. You pay more than the market average for this stock, but it may be worth it. ...read more
Sentiment Strategy: Professional Market Sentiment for Zalando positive
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 51 (better than 51% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock Zalando is above average. The Sentiment Rank is based on consolidating four sentiment indicators, with half of the metrics below and half above average for Zalando. Analyst Opinions are at a rank of 47 (worse than 53% of alternative investments), which means that currently, stock research analysts tend to warn against investing in the stock of the company. Worse, Analyst Opinions Change has a rank of 45, which means that stock research experts are getting even more pessimistic. Other sentiment indicators are positive: The Professional Investors rank is 51, which means that professional investors hold more stock in this company than in 51% of alternative investment opportunities. So, pros tend to favor investing in this company. In addition, Market Pulse has a rank of 58, which means that the current professional news and professional social networks tend to be positive when discussing this company (more positive news than for 58% of competitors). While stock research analysts are getting ever more critical, many professional investors are committed to Zalando and the professional news channels are on the positive side. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Sentiment Rank of 51 (more positive than 51% compared with investment alternatives), Zalando has a reputation among professional investors that is above-average compared with that of its competitors. This is an ambiguous picture: analysts are negative and getting even more critical, while the news in the market is positive. Who should investors believe? This is a difficult question in such a situation. Investors should proceed cautiously and verify not only the financial performance in the Obermatt Value, Growth and Safety Ranks but also independent news coverage of the company. ...read more
Value Strategy: Zalando Stock Price Value low
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 12 (worse than 88% compared with alternatives), Zalando shares are significantly more expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all four indicators below average for Zalando. Price-to-Sales is 34 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is higher than 66% of comparable companies, indicating a low value concerning Zalando's sales levels. Price-to-Book Capital (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) also has a low Price-to-Book Rank of 43, which means that both reliable company size indicators, sales, and invested capital cannot explain the high stock price of Zalando. In addition, the two profit-related value indicators, Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price-earnings, P/E) with a low rank of 1 and Dividend Yield, which is lower than 99% of comparable companies, also make the stock more expensive compared with investment alternatives. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 12, is a sell recommendation based on Zalando's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. How can market participants pay such a high price for Zalando? One reason may be that the company is simply too popular. If enough people want a particular stock, its price can exceed reasonable levels. This is often the case for companies offering new and exciting products and everybody wants a piece of the action. Should you pay a lot for a hot stock such as Zalando? It's risky, and even if the stock price continues to grow because of popular demand, it may return to more typical lower levels later. And that return can be sudden and quick, making it impossible for retail investors to exit on time. Sometimes, high prices are deserved. This is the case when it is justified to believe that the company will dominate a market with high profit margins. It has happened in the past for many technology companies and indeed for commercially successful pharmaceutical discoveries. Sometimes they last, sometimes, they get eaten alive. Zalando may be such a type of stock. That would mean, retail investors should be careful, only considering investing a small part of their wealth in this exciting category and always being ready to lose more than half, if not all of the investment. ...read more
Growth Strategy: Zalando Growth Momentum high
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 95 (better than 95% compared with alternatives) for 2023, Zalando shows one of the highest growth dynamics in its industry. Investors also speak of high momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all four indicators above average for Zalando. Sales Growth has a value of 64, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow more than 64% of its competitors. The same is valid for Profit Growth with a value of 100 and for Capital Growth with 87. In addition, Stock Returns had an above-average rank value of 55, which means they have been higher than 55% of comparable investments. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 95, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Since all Growth Ranks are positive, Zalando exhibits above-average growth momentum. This could be due to a uniquely strong market position, proprietary technology, or an extensive corporate acquisition strategy. Growth investors will find this an attractive investment opportunity, unless they expect that the current phase is transitory and will deteriorate in the future. The current performance could also be a temporary recovery from a very low point, such as a turn-around situation. In the case of a turn-around, the current performance may or may not be followed by a continuing positive development. ...read more
Safety Strategy: Zalando Debt Financing Safety above-average
| SAFETY METRICS | August 10, 2023 | |||||||
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| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 60 |
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| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 71 |
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| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 34 |
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| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 66 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 66 (better than 66% compared with alternatives), the company Zalando has financing practices on the safer side, which mean that their overall debt burden is lower than average. This doesn't mean that the business of Zalando is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators where two out of three are above average for Zalando.Leverage is at 60, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 60% of its competitors.Refinancing is at a rank of 71, meaning that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 71% of its competitors. Liquidity is at 34, meaning that the company generates less profit to service its debt than 66% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the riskier side regarding debt service. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 66 (better than 66% compared with alternatives), Zalando has a financing structure that is safer than that of its competitors. Low leverage and low refinancing risk mean a safer financing situation. However, low liquidity means that current company cash flows are low in relation to the level of debt. This is a sign of caution in case it is expected for profits to remain low. ...read more
Combined financial peformance: Zalando Above-Average Financial Performance
| COMBINED PERFORMANCE | August 10, 2023 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 12 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 95 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 34 |
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| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 69 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 69 (better than 69% compared with investment alternatives), Zalando (Internet Retail, Germany) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Zalando are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 12 (worse than 88% of alternatives). But they show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 95) and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 66, which means below-average debt burdens). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 69, is a buy recommendation based on Zalando's financial characteristics. Investors looking for growth and low financial risk may find this stock attractive. While the company Zalando exhibits low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 12), which means that the stock price is rather high, it also demonstrates above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 95). This is a typical case, as high-growth companies are often expensive. Good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 66) are a double-edged sword: if the company continues growing, low debt limits shareholder returns. But if the company increases its debt, it will also increase risk. In other words, this is an investment on the safer side, despite the above-average price (low value). ...read more
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