Fact based stock research
Valor Holdings (TSE:9956)

JP3778400006

How to read the ranks

For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

Valor Holdings stock research in summary

valorholdings.co.jp

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 60 (better than 60% compared with investment alternatives), Valor Holdings (Food Retail, Japan) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Valor Holdings are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 81 (better than 81% of alternatives), show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 59) but are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 32), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 60, is a buy recommendation based on Valor Holdings's financial characteristics. As the company Valor Holdings's key financial metrics exhibit excellent performance in two areas, such as good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 81) and above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 59), it could be argued that the risk-taking in financing (Obermatt Safety Rank of only 32) indicates that the company is optimistic about the future and sees debt as an opportunity to boost returns. More debt means more shareholder returns if everything goes well. However, higher debt burdens are risky when interest rates rise or the business deteriorates in a crisis. If you believe the company's future is market-typical or even better, this could be an argument for a share purchase. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	81
Growth Rank	59
Safety Rank	32
Combined Rank	60

Country	Japan
Industry	Food Retail
Index
Size class	X-Large

18-Apr-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

Multiple opinions. One number.

Analysts rarely agree on a stock’s future. So, who do you believe? Obermatt translates those collective views into a single Sentiment Rank. That plus the financial ranks give you the ultimate 360° View. Sign up to access them.

Why popular stocks have low ratings

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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: Valor Holdings

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	92	91	79	81
GROWTH
GROWTH	26	5	81	59
SAFETY
SAFETY	15	26	28	32
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	51	59	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	27	64	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 18-Apr-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 31-Dec-2023. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better Valor Holdings is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	92	91	79	81
GROWTH
GROWTH	26	5	81	59
SAFETY
SAFETY	15	26	28	32
COMBINED
COMBINED	39	20	74	60

Last update of combined financial performance: 18-Apr-2024. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of Valor Holdings the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 81 (better than 81% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Valor Holdings shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators that are all above average for Valor Holdings. Price-to-Sales is 95 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 95% of comparable companies, indicating a good value for Valor Holdings's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits, more favorable than for 70% of alternatives, and this is also true for the Price-to-Book capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 75. Compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields of Valor Holdings are expected to be higher than for 53% of all competitors (a Dividend Yield rank of 53). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 81, is a buy recommendation based on Valor Holdings's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since all value metrics are above the industry average, there is no objection to investing in Valor Holdings based on its detailed value metrics. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	93	91	97	95
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	74	82	66	70
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	92	79	79	75
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	72	62	53	53
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	92	91	79	81

Last update of Value Rank: 18-Apr-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of Valor Holdings; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 59 (better than 59% compared with alternatives), Valor Holdings shows an above-average growth dynamic in its industry. Investors also speak of positive momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Valor Holdings. Profit Growth has a rank of 77, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its profits more than 77% of its competitors. This is a good sign for shareholders, which is confirmed by an above-average Stock Returns rank of 65 (above 65% of alternative investments). But Sales Growth has a below the median rank of 19, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow less than 81% of its competitors, and Capital Growth also has a lower rank of 49. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 59, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Because revenues and invested capital are the more solid growth indicators, the positive development on the profit side is less relevant. It may have been caused by cost-cutting, which may be a negative growth indicator. Finally, the above-average stock returns recently are a thing of the past and not a good indicator of future returns. Investors should be confident that the cost-cutting initiative leading to higher profits is to benefit the company's future. If not, there is little growth momentum, and investment is only advisable if the Value Ranks suggest a good investment timing for Valor Holdings. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is mixed here. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	28	29	28	19
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	60	24	85	77
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	10	38	49
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	38	29	85	65
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	26	5	81	59

Last update of Growth Rank: 18-Apr-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of Valor Holdings.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 32 (better than 32% compared with alternatives), the company Valor Holdings has financing practices on the riskier side, which means that their overall debt burden is above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of Valor Holdings is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with just one indicator above average for Valor Holdings. Liquidity is at 56, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 56% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is safer when it comes to debt service. But Refinancing is riskier at a rank of 11, which means that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is above average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 89% of its competitors. Leverage is also high at a rank of 41, which means that the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 59% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 32 (worse than 68% compared with alternatives), Valor Holdings has a financing structure that is riskier than that of its competitors. High Leverage (a low Obermatt Leverage Rank) is good in good times, because it usually indicates that shareholders get higher returns. The good Liquidity performance of the company is an indicator that this is the case. However, if you expect an economic downturn, you may stay clear of this stock because they have an above-average debt level that needs refinancing soon. If the company is sailing with good winds, as may be visible from the Growth and Sentiment performance, the refinancing risk may be lower than the low Refinancing rank suggests. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	20	34	41	41
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	22	5	11	11
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	60	58	53	56
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	15	26	28	32

Last update of Safety Rank: 18-Apr-2024. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of Valor Holdings and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	95	50	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	13	83	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	67	68	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	31	29	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	51	59	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 18-Apr-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for Valor Holdings.
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