August 31, 2023
Top 10 Stock The First Strong Buy Recommendation



How to read the ranks

For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:

Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

Snapshot: The First – Top 10 Stock in Diversity Leaders in United States


thefirstbank.com


The First is listed as a top 10 stock on August 31, 2023 in the market index Diversity USA because of its high performance in at least one of the Obermatt investment strategies. Three consolidated Obermatt Ranks are above-average. Only the Value Rank is below average. The investment rationale may be an investment in future growth, supported by professional market opinion. Based on the Obermatt 360° View of 98 (top 98% performer), Obermatt assesses an overall strong buy recommendation for The First on August 31, 2023.


Snapshot: Obermatt Ranks


Country USA
Industry Regional Banks
Index Diversity USA, Sound Pay USA, NASDAQ
Size class XX-Large
Latest Research


Top 10 Stocks ≠ most popular stocks

When Obermatt identifies the Top 10 stocks in a market, it’s based on a certain investment strategy. The best performing stocks usually aren’t the ones that everyone is talking about (those are often "over-priced" and have low Value ranks).

For each investment strategy, we provide you with more detailed analysis and our recommendation. You see the ranks of the top 10 stocks ranked by that particular investment strategy (360° View, Sentiment, Value, Growth, Safety and Combined Financial Performance).


360° View: Obermatt 360° View The First Strong Buy

360 METRICS August 31, 2023
VALUE
VALUE
GROWTH
GROWTH
SAFETY
SAFETY
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT
360° VIEW
360° VIEW

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt 360° View of 98 (better than 98% compared with alternatives) for 2023, overall professional sentiment and financial characteristics for the stock The First are very positive. The 360° View is based on consolidating four consolidated indicators, with all but one indicator above average for The First. The consolidated Growth Rank has a good rank of 87, which means that the company experiences above-average growth momentum when looking at financial metrics such as revenue, profit, and invested capital growth, as well as stock returns. This means that growth is higher than for 87% of competitors in the same industry. The consolidated Safety Rank at 98 means that the company has a financing structure that is safer than 98% comparable companies when looking at the amount of its debt, its refinancing requirements, and its ability to service debt. Finally, the consolidated Sentiment Rank has a good rank of 88, which means that professional investors are more optimistic about the stock than for 88% of alternative investment opportunities. But the consolidated Value Rank is less desirable at 38, meaning that the share price of The First is on the higher side compared with indicators such as revenues, profits, and invested capital. This means the stock price is higher than for 62% of alternative stocks in the same industry. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated 360° View of 98, The First is better positioned than 98% of all alternative stock investment opportunities based on the Obermatt Method. As three out of four consolidated Obermatt Ranks exhibit excellent performance, such as above-average growth (Growth Rank of 87), a safe financing structure (Safety Rank of 98), and positive professional market sentiment (Sentiment Rank of 88), it is a solid stock investment where growth may be the strongest driver of the investment rationale, also reflected by institutional investors. It is typical for growth companies to have low value, as is the case here. Investors are willing to pay more for companies that outperform their competitors. So the question is, how much more do you pay for the stock of The First compared with alternatives? You can use the following rule of thumb: The growth rank measures the growth momentum of the company (87% better than peers). The value rank could be the reverse reflection of that (13%). A Value Rank below that level may be assessed as expensive, a rank above that is still good value. Sometimes market sentiment just reflects the past, sometimes the reality. You pay more than the market average for this stock, but it may be worth it. ...read more




Sentiment Strategy: Professional Market Sentiment for The First very positive

SENTIMENT METRICS August 31, 2023
ANALYST OPINION
ANALYST OPINION
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 88 (better than 88% compared with alternatives) for 2023, overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock The First is very positive. The Sentiment Rank is based on consolidating four sentiment indicators, with half of the indicators below and the other half above average for The First. Analyst Opinions are at a rank of 91 (better than 91% of alternative investments). Currently, stock research analysts tend to recommend a stock investment in the company. There are also many institutional investors invested in the stock, represented by a Professional Investors rank of 96 which means that currently, professional investors hold more stock in this company than in 96% of alternative investment opportunities. But Analyst Opinions Change has a rank of 35, which means that stock research experts are changing their opinions for the worse in recommending investing in the company. In other words, they are getting more critical of investments in The First. Furthermore, Market Pulse has a rank of 37, which means that the current professional news and professional social networks are on the negative side when discussing this company (more negative news than for 63% of competitors). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Sentiment Rank of 88 (more positive than 88% compared with investment alternatives), The First has a reputation among professional investors that is significantly higher than that of its competitors. Three below-market sentiment indicators are a sign of caution, even if the stock has significantly appreciated. If analysts change their opinions, the stock may become too expensive. If the price is on the way down, the trend may continue. This may be a stock with a good reputation and history, but it may have reached its breaking point by now. Investors should look at the Value Ranks as well. If they indicate trouble, it may be around the corner. ...read more



Value Strategy: The First Stock Price Value below-average critical

VALUE METRICS August 31, 2023
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 38 (worse than 62% compared with alternatives), The First shares are more expensive than the average comparable stock. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for The First. Only Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price-earnings, P/E) indicates good stock value with a rank of 56, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is lower than for 56% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning The First's profit levels. But Price-to-Sales is 21 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is higher than for 79% of comparable companies, indicating a low value concerning The First's profit levels. The same is valid for Price-to-Book Capital (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Book Rank of 48 and for dividend yield, which is lower than for 64% of comparable companies, making the stock more expensive as regards to the company's expected dividend payouts. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 38, is a hold recommendation based on The First's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Can we rely on only one good value indicator? Only if we know the company well. In this case, a high Price-to-Profit Rank, while Price-to-Sales and Price-to-Book are both below the market typical levels, means that the company can charge higher prices for its products and needs less capital to produce them. If this is sustainable, then The First is a good investment because profits count most in enterprise valuations. The low dividend yield indicates that the company is confident it can do something with the generated cash that is more valuable than paying the profits out to the shareholders in the form of dividends. ...read more



Growth Strategy: The First Growth Momentum high

GROWTH METRICS August 31, 2023
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 87 (better than 87% compared with alternatives) for 2023, The First shows one of the highest growth dynamics in its industry. Investors also speak of high momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all but one indicator above average for The First. Profit Growth has a rank of 98 which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its profits more than 98% of its competitors. The same is valid for capital growth and stock returns. Capital Growth has a rank of 53, and Stock Returns has a rank of 81 which means that the stock returns have recently been above 81% of alternative investments. Only revenue growth is low with a Sales Growth has a rank of 43 (57% of its competitors are better). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 87, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. The many positive growth indicators indicate a positive growth momentum with only low revenue growth. That can also be attributed to divestments or the sale of unprofitable businesses. If that is the reason, overall growth is well on track to making this stock attractive for growth investors. ...read more



Safety Strategy: The First Debt Financing Safety very solid

SAFETY METRICS August 31, 2023
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE
REFINANCING
REFINANCING
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 98 (better than 98% compared with alternatives) for 2023, the company The First has safe financing practices, which means that their overall debt burden is low. This doesn't mean that the business of The First is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, where all three are above average for The First. Leverage is at 80, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 80% of its competitors. Refinancing is at a rank of 98, meaning that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 98% of its competitors. Finally, Liquidity is also good at a rank of 61, which means that the company generates more profit to service its debt than 61% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 98 (better than 98% compared with alternatives), The First has a financing structure that is significantly safer than that of its competitors. These three positive financing indicators signal that the company is less likely to default on its debt obligations. However, it also means that its shareholder returns will be more modest if things go well. A low safety means fewer troubles in downtimes and less upside in good times. ...read more



Combined financial peformance: The First Top Financial Performance

COMBINED PERFORMANCE August 31, 2023
VALUE
VALUE
GROWTH
GROWTH
SAFETY
SAFETY
COMBINED
COMBINED

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 94 (better than 94% compared with investment alternatives), The First (Regional Banks, USA) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of The First are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 38 (worse than 62% of alternatives). But they show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 87) and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 98, which means below-average debt burdens). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 94, is a strong buy recommendation based on The First's financial characteristics. Investors looking for growth and low financial risk may find this stock attractive. While the company The First exhibits low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 38), which means that the stock price is rather high, it also demonstrates above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 87). This is a typical case, as high-growth companies are often expensive. Good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 98) are a double-edged sword: if the company continues growing, low debt limits shareholder returns. But if the company increases its debt, it will also increase risk. In other words, this is an investment on the safer side, despite the above-average price (low value). ...read more

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