July 13, 2023
Top 10 Stock TELUS Buy Recommendation
How to read the ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Snapshot: TELUS – Top 10 Stock in Telecommunications
TELUS is listed as a top 10 stock on July 13, 2023 in the market index Telecommunications because of its high performance in at least one of the Obermatt investment strategies. Two consolidated Obermatt Ranks are above-average. The company is growing above average and professional investor sentiment is positive. Both are encouraging signals for a stock purchase decision, albeit at an above-average share price. Based on the Obermatt 360° View of 63 (high 63% performer), Obermatt assesses an overall buy recommendation for TELUS on July 13, 2023.
Snapshot: Obermatt Ranks
| Country | Canada |
| Industry | Integrated Telecommunication |
| Index | Artificial Intelligence, Recycling, SDG 11, SDG 13, SDG 17, SDG 3, SDG 4, Telecommunications, TSX Composite |
| Size class | XX-Large |
When Obermatt identifies the Top 10 stocks in a market, it’s based on a certain investment strategy. The best performing stocks usually aren’t the ones that everyone is talking about (those are often "over-priced" and have low Value ranks).
For each investment strategy, we provide you with more detailed analysis and our recommendation. You see the ranks of the top 10 stocks ranked by that particular investment strategy (360° View, Sentiment, Value, Growth, Safety and Combined Financial Performance).
360° View: Obermatt 360° View TELUS Buy
| 360 METRICS | July 13, 2023 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 46 |
|
||||||
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 67 |
|
||||||
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 27 |
|
||||||
| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | 86 |
|
||||||
| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | 63 |
|
||||||
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt 360° View of 63 (better than 63% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and financial characteristics for the stock TELUS are above average. The 360° View is based on consolidating four consolidated indicators, with half of the metrics below and half above average for TELUS. The consolidated Growth Rank has a good rank of 67, which means that the company experiences above-average growth momentum when looking at financial metrics such as revenue, profit, and invested capital growth as well as stock returns. This means that growth is higher than for 67% of competitors in the same industry. The consolidated Sentiment Rank also has a good rank of 86, which means that professional investors are more optimistic about the stock than for 86% of alternative investment opportunities. But the consolidated Value Rank has a less desirable rank of 46, which means that the share price of TELUS is on the higher side compared with typical size in indicators such as revenues, profits, and invested capital. This means the stock price is higher than for 54% of alternative stocks in the same industry. Finally, the consolidated Safety Rank has a riskier rank of 27, which means that the company has a financing structure that is riskier than those of 73% comparable companies when looking at the amount of its debt, its refinancing requirements, and its ability to service debt. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated 360° View of 63, TELUS is better positioned than 63% of all alternative stock investment opportunities based on the Obermatt Method. Only half of the consolidated Obermatt Ranks exhibit excellent performance, so one needs to take a close look. Growth is above-average (Growth Rank of 67), and professional market sentiment is positive (Sentiment Rank of 86), but value and safety are below average. The Safety Rank is the least significant of the four consolidated ranks, because it only reflects financing practices. In the case of high growth, aggressive financing is a good thing. So the question is: How to assess below-average value against above-average growth and sentiment? Growth may be the strongest driver of the investment rationale in this case, which is reflected in institutional investors' opinions. It is typical for growth companies to have low value, as is the case here. Investors are willing to pay more for companies that outperform their competitors. So the question is, how much do you sacrifice value for growth? You can use the following rule of thumb: If you take 100 minus the growth rank, you arrive at a possibly minimum level for the value rank. For example, if the growth rank is at 75, and the value rank is at 5, you should tread carefully. If the value rank is at 40, it still might be a good value if the growth rank is above 60. Sometimes market sentiment just extrapolates the past, but sometimes it reflects reality. You pay more than the market average for this stock, but it may be worth it. ...read more
Sentiment Strategy: Professional Market Sentiment for TELUS very positive
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 86 (better than 86% compared with alternatives) for 2023, overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock TELUS is very positive. The Sentiment Rank is based on consolidating four sentiment indicators where all but one are above average for TELUS. Analyst Opinions are at a rank of 85 (better than 85% of alternative investments), which means that currently, stock research analysts tend to recommend a stock investment in the company. The Professional Investors rank is also good at 56, which means that currently, professional investors hold more stock in this company than in 56% of alternative investment opportunities. Pros tend to favor investing in this company. In addition, Market Pulse has a rank of 91 which means that the current professional news and professional social networks are on the positive side when discussing this company (more positive news than for 91% of competitors). But Analyst Opinions Change has a below-average rank of 30, which means that stock research experts are currently changing their opinions for the worse when it comes to recommending this stock. In other words, they are getting more critical of investments in TELUS. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Sentiment Rank of 86 (more positive than 86% compared with investment alternatives), TELUS has a reputation among professional investors that is significantly higher than that of its competitors. This is an early sign of caution, even if the stock has significantly appreciated. If analysts change their opinions, the stock may become too expensive. If the price is on the way down, the trend may continue. This may be a stock with a good reputation and history, but it may have reached its breaking point by now. Investors should look at the Value Ranks as well. If they indicate trouble, it might just materialize in the future. ...read more
Value Strategy: TELUS Stock Price Value below-average critical
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 46 (worse than 54% compared with alternatives), TELUS shares are more expensive than the average comparable stock. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for TELUS. Only the metric dividend yield has an above-average rank, reflecting that dividend practices are expected to be higher than 86% of comparable companies, making the stock an attractive buy for dividend investors. However, dividend investors may get disappointed because all other critical financial indicators are below the market median: Price-to-Sales is 37 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is higher than 63% of comparable companies, indicating a low value concerning TELUS's sales levels. The same is valid for Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price-earnings, P/E) with a rank of 22 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profit levels is higher than 78% of comparable companies. In addition, Price-to-Book (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Book Rank of 40 is also low. Compared with invested capital, the stock price is higher than for 60% of comparable investments. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 46, is a hold recommendation based on TELUS's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Should dividend investors pick TELUS? The company-reported financials speak against it. The company is expensive compared with revenue and invested capital levels, two reliable company size indicators. In addition, it currently has a low level of profits. How can future dividends be paid in the case that profits remain low? Dividend investors should choose TELUS only if they reasonably expect the low current profit levels to be transitory. ...read more
Growth Strategy: TELUS Growth Momentum good
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 67 (better than 67% compared with alternatives), TELUS shows an above-average growth dynamic in its industry. Investors also speak of positive momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all but one indicator above average for TELUS. Sales Growth has a rank of 62 which means that currently, professionals expect the company to grow more than 62% of its competitors. Capital Growth is also above 43% of competitors with a rank of 52, and Stock Returns with the rank of 57 is also an outperformance. Only Profit Growth is low with a rank of 43 which means that currently, professionals expect the company to grow its profits less than 57% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 67, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. All three operating growth indicators, namely revenue, profit, and capital growth, are showing improvements. This is a good indication of a company with a positive future. That might, at the same time, be the simple reason why profit growth is low. A growing company needs money and thus can't yet show high profit growth. Look out for signs in corporate communication about extra growth efforts costing time and money. If that is the case, TELUS is a good growth stock. ...read more
Safety Strategy: TELUS Debt Financing Safety below-average
| SAFETY METRICS | July 13, 2023 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 42 |
|
||||||
| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 19 |
|
||||||
| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 54 |
|
||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 27 |
|
||||||
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 27 (better than 27% compared with alternatives), the company TELUS has financing practices on the riskier side, which means that their overall debt burden is above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of TELUS is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with just one indicator above average for TELUS. Liquidity is at 54, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 54% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is safer when it comes to debt service. But Refinancing is riskier at a rank of 19, which means that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is above average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 81% of its competitors. Leverage is also high at a rank of 42, which means that the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 58% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 27 (worse than 73% compared with alternatives), TELUS has a financing structure that is riskier than that of its competitors. High Leverage (a low Obermatt Leverage Rank) is good in good times, because it usually indicates that shareholders get higher returns. The good Liquidity performance of the company is an indicator that this is the case. However, if you expect an economic downturn, you may stay clear of this stock because they have an above-average debt level that needs refinancing soon. ...read more
Combined financial peformance: TELUS Below-Average Financial Performance
| COMBINED PERFORMANCE | July 13, 2023 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 46 |
|
||||||
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 67 |
|
||||||
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 54 |
|
||||||
| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 41 |
|
||||||
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 41 (worse than 59% compared with investment alternatives), TELUS (Integrated Telecommunication, Canada) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of TELUS are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 46 (worse than 54% of alternatives), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 27, which means above-average debt burdens) but show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 67). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 41, is a hold recommendation based on TELUS's financial characteristics. As the company TELUS shows low value with an Obermatt Value Rank of 46 (54% of comparable investments are less expensive), investors should look at the other ranks. In this case, growth is expected to be above-average, better than 67% of comparable companies (Obermatt Growth Rank is 67). This is a typical case. Companies with above average growth tend to cost more than stocks with slower growth expectations. If this is a high-growth company, the low Obermatt Safety Rank of 27 is a good sign. The more debt a well-performing company has, the higher the returns to shareholders. However, if growth turns negative or interest rates increase, high debt may become a burden. If you believe the future is bright for TELUS, even a low-value company (in terms of its key financial indicators) can be a good investment. ...read more
Obermatt Portfolio Performance
We’re so convinced about our research, that we buy our stock tips.
See the performance of the Obermatt portfolio.