Fact based stock research
Steel Dynamics (NasdaqGS:STLD)

US8581191009

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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

Steel Dynamics stock research in summary

stld.steeldynamics.com

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 45 (worse than 55% compared with investment alternatives), Steel Dynamics (Steel, USA) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Steel Dynamics are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 73 (better than 73% of alternatives), are safely financed (Safety Rank of 70, which means low debt burdens), but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 11). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 45, is a hold recommendation based on Steel Dynamics's financial characteristics. As the company Steel Dynamics's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 73) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 11) while being safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 70), it may be a safer investment because companies with low debt can better withstand times of crises. Yet the good value, better than 73% of comparable companies, may also indicate that the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity and the downside is limited due to below-average financing risks. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	73
Growth Rank	11
Safety Rank	70
Combined Rank	45

Country	USA
Industry	Steel
Index	NASDAQ, S&P MIDCAP
Size class	XX-Large

25-Apr-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

Multiple opinions. One number.

Analysts rarely agree on a stock’s future. So, who do you believe? Obermatt translates those collective views into a single Sentiment Rank. That plus the financial ranks give you the ultimate 360° View. Sign up to access them.

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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: Steel Dynamics

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	62	81	65	73
GROWTH
GROWTH	85	93	23	11
SAFETY
SAFETY	59	41	68	70
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	83	47	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	99	42	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 25-Apr-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 31-Dec-2023. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better Steel Dynamics is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	62	81	65	73
GROWTH
GROWTH	85	93	23	11
SAFETY
SAFETY	59	41	68	70
COMBINED
COMBINED	77	92	46	45

Last update of combined financial performance: 25-Apr-2024. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of Steel Dynamics the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 73 (better than 73% compared with alternatives), Steel Dynamics shares are more attractively priced than the majority of comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators above average for Steel Dynamics. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 66, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 66% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning Steel Dynamics's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits (or Price / Earnings, P/E), more favorable than for 78% of alternatives. It is also positive for expected dividend yields with a Dividend Yield rank of 63 (dividends are expected to be higher than 63% of other stocks). But, compared with other companies in the same industry, the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) is higher than average, making the stock more expensive. Only 74% of all competitors have an even higher price compared with book capital which puts the Price-to-Capital Rank for Steel Dynamics to 26. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 73, is a buy recommendation based on Steel Dynamics's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. A low level of book capital means that the company has a business that is leaner in assets than its competitors. For instance, the company could be leasing its production facilities or be more focussed on intellectual property, such as its brand and software, which is less visible in its book capital. If that is the case, the three good value ranks for Sales, Profits, and Dividends are reliable indicators for the stock price value. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	63	74	62	66
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	73	91	83	78
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	34	40	23	26
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	68	53	63	63
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	62	81	65	73

Last update of Value Rank: 25-Apr-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of Steel Dynamics; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 11 (better than 11% compared with alternatives), Steel Dynamics shows one of the most restricted growth dynamics in its industry. There is little momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for Steel Dynamics. Sales Growth has a below market rank of 20, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow less than 80% of its competitors. The same is valid for Capital Growth, with a rank of 7, and Profit Growth, with a rank of 27. Currently, professionals expect the company to grow its profits less than 73% of its competitors). Only shareholders are optimistic. Stock Returns are above average at a rank of 60, which means that the stock returns have recently been above 60% of alternative investments. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 11, is a sell recommendation for growth and momentum investors. That picture may be the result for a company that has reached the bottom. All went south for Steel Dynamics, and it still looks bad, but some investors already see light at the end of the tunnel, rewarding the stock with recent above-market stock returns. It could also mean that investors are correcting an overreaction to negative news. If that were the case, the positive stock returns are not yet a sign of recovery. Investors should look closely at the Value and Sentiment indicators before they make a stock purchasing decision, because growth is unlikely to be the driving argument behind this investment. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is low here. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	80	28	10	20
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	63	88	26	27
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	60	77	7
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	80	87	49	60
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	85	93	23	11

Last update of Growth Rank: 25-Apr-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of Steel Dynamics.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 70 (better than 70% compared with alternatives), the company Steel Dynamics has financing practices on the safer side, which mean that their overall debt burden is lower than average. This doesn't mean that the business of Steel Dynamics is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with two out of three indicators above-average for Steel Dynamics. Refinancing is at 53, meaning the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 53% of its competitors. Liquidity is also good at 84, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 84% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is safer when it comes to debt service. However, Leverage is rather large at 38, which means the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 62% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 70 (better than 70% compared with alternatives), Steel Dynamics has a financing structure that is safer than that of its competitors. This is not bad if things go well. The higher debt level means better returns to shareholders if things go well. Many top-performing companies operate with higher debt levels, and Steel Dynamics could be in that group. But if you expect the environment to turn rougher, the higher leverage could become a problem. The same is valid if you expect interest rates to rise. That could squeeze shareholder returns, which so far have benefitted from better conditions. In the long-term, investors may have a debt challenge with Steel Dynamics and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	36	25	38	38
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	74	66	61	53
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	54	45	88	84
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	59	41	68	70

Last update of Safety Rank: 25-Apr-2024. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of Steel Dynamics and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	38	19	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	25	36	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	92	61	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	96	91	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	83	47	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 25-Apr-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for Steel Dynamics.
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