November 9, 2023
Top 10 Stock Starbucks Strong Buy Recommendation
How to read the ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Snapshot: Starbucks – Top 10 Stock in S&P 500 Consumer Discretionary Index
Starbucks is listed as a top 10 stock on November 09, 2023 in the market index S&P US Luxury because of its high performance in at least one of the Obermatt investment strategies. As three out of four consolidated Obermatt Ranks exhibit excellent performance, it is a solid investment where the risk of paying too much for the shares is low. Based on the Obermatt 360° View of 94 (top 94% performer), Obermatt assesses an overall strong buy recommendation for Starbucks on November 09, 2023.
Snapshot: Obermatt Ranks
| Country | USA |
| Industry | Restaurants |
| Index | Dividends USA, Diversity USA, Renewables Users, NASDAQ 100, NASDAQ, S&P US Luxury, S&P 500 |
| Size class | XX-Large |
When Obermatt identifies the Top 10 stocks in a market, it’s based on a certain investment strategy. The best performing stocks usually aren’t the ones that everyone is talking about (those are often "over-priced" and have low Value ranks).
For each investment strategy, we provide you with more detailed analysis and our recommendation. You see the ranks of the top 10 stocks ranked by that particular investment strategy (360° View, Sentiment, Value, Growth, Safety and Combined Financial Performance).
360° View: Obermatt 360° View Starbucks Strong Buy
| 360 METRICS | November 9, 2023 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 65 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 85 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 47 |
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| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | 81 |
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| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | 94 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt 360° View of 94 (better than 94% compared with alternatives) for 2023, overall professional sentiment and financial characteristics for the stock Starbucks are very positive. The 360° View is based on consolidating four consolidated indicators, with all but one indicator above average for Starbucks. The consolidated Value Rank has an attractive rank of 65, which means that the share price of Starbucks is on the lower side compared with the typical size in indicators such as revenues, profits, and invested capital. This means the stock price is lower than for 65% of alternative stocks in the same industry. The consolidated Growth Rank has a good rank of 85, which means that the company experiences above-average growth momentum when looking at financial metrics such as revenue, profit, and invested capital growth, as well as stock returns. In addition, professional market sentiment is above average compared with other stock investment alternatives with a Sentiment Rank of 81. But the company’s financing is risky with a Safety rank of 47. This means 53% of comparable companies have a safer financing structure than Starbucks. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated 360° View of 94, Starbucks is better positioned than 94% of all alternative stock investment opportunities based on the Obermatt Method. As three out of four consolidated Obermatt Ranks exhibit excellent performance, such as good value (Value Rank of 65), above-average growth (Growth Rank of 85), and positive market sentiment in the professional investor community (Sentiment Rank of 81), it is a solid stock investment where the risk of paying too much for the shares is limited, and disappointments are less likely, unless information not publicly available. Only the company financing structure is on the riskier side (Safety Rank of 47), but that would also mean better returns for shareholders if things work out well. Good value is sometimes an indication that the company's future is challenging. If they have been growing above average and are still a good value, it may indicate that this will not continue. We recommend evaluating whether the future of Starbucks is as difficult as the low price of the stock, despite good growth and positive professional investor sentiment, suggests. Since the professional community is optimistic, you might have less to worry about, and the stock is just not sufficiently visible right now, which may indicate good timing. ...read more
Sentiment Strategy: Professional Market Sentiment for Starbucks very positive
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 81 (better than 81% compared with alternatives) for 2023, overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock Starbucks is very positive. The Sentiment Rank is based on consolidating four sentiment indicators, with half of the metrics below and half above average for Starbucks. Analyst Opinions are at a rank of 21 (worse than 79% of alternative investments), which means that currently, stock research analysts tend to warn against investing in the stock of the company. Worse, Analyst Opinions Change has a rank of 47, which means that stock research experts are getting even more pessimistic. Other sentiment indicators are positive: The Professional Investors rank is 97, which means that professional investors hold more stock in this company than in 97% of alternative investment opportunities. So, pros tend to favor investing in this company. In addition, Market Pulse has a rank of 74, which means that the current professional news and professional social networks tend to be positive when discussing this company (more positive news than for 74% of competitors). While stock research analysts are getting ever more critical, many professional investors are committed to Starbucks and the professional news channels are on the positive side. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Sentiment Rank of 81 (more positive than 81% compared with investment alternatives), Starbucks has a reputation among professional investors that is significantly higher than that of its competitors. This is an ambiguous picture: analysts are negative and getting even more critical, while the news in the market is positive. Who should investors believe? This is a difficult question in such a situation. Investors should proceed cautiously and verify not only the financial performance in the Obermatt Value, Growth and Safety Ranks but also independent news coverage of the company. ...read more
Value Strategy: Starbucks Stock Price Value better than average
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 65 (better than 65% compared with alternatives), Starbucks shares are more attractively priced than the majority of comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Starbucks. Expected dividend yields are higher than for 83% of comparable companies (a Dividend Yield rank of 83), making the stock attractive. The same is valid for Price-to-Book Capital (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Book Rank of 89, which means that the stock price is lower compared with invested capital than for 89% of comparable investments. But in respect to sales and profits, the picture is reversed. Price-to-Sales is 14 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is higher than for 86% of comparable companies, indicating a low value concerning Starbucks's sales levels. The Price-to-Profit ratio (also referred to as price-earnings (P/E) ratio) is also unfavorable for Starbucks with a rank of 20. This means that the stock price, compared with what market professionals expect for future profits, is higher than for 80% of comparable companies, indicating a low value concerning Starbucks's profit levels. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 65, is a buy recommendation based on Starbucks's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. The company seems confident that it can generate a reasonable return on invested capital, because it pays an above-average dividend while profits are below what you would expect for a company with this stock price. If you agree with this practice and believe that profits will return to higher levels, as the current dividend policy suggests, Starbucks may be an attractive investment. If this is not the case, you may want to be careful with this stock as it is also expensive compared with its expected revenue levels. ...read more
Growth Strategy: Starbucks Growth Momentum high
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 85 (better than 85% compared with alternatives) for 2023, Starbucks shows one of the highest growth dynamics in its industry. Investors also speak of high momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all four indicators above average for Starbucks. Sales Growth has a value of 74, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow more than 74% of its competitors. The same is valid for Profit Growth with a value of 53 and for Capital Growth with 65. In addition, Stock Returns had an above-average rank value of 79, which means they have been higher than 79% of comparable investments. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 85, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Since all Growth Ranks are positive, Starbucks exhibits above-average growth momentum. This could be due to a uniquely strong market position, proprietary technology, or an extensive corporate acquisition strategy. Growth investors will find this an attractive investment opportunity, unless they expect that the current phase is transitory and will deteriorate in the future. The current performance could also be a temporary recovery from a very low point, such as a turn-around situation. In the case of a turn-around, the current performance may or may not be followed by a continuing positive development. ...read more
Safety Strategy: Starbucks Debt Financing Safety below-average
| SAFETY METRICS | November 9, 2023 | |||||||
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| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 1 |
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| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 56 |
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| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 90 |
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| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 47 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 47 (better than 47% compared with alternatives), the company Starbucks has financing practices on the riskier side, which means that their overall debt burden is above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of Starbucks is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with two out of three indicators above-average for Starbucks. Refinancing is at 56, meaning the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 56% of its competitors. Liquidity is also good at 90, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 90% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is safer when it comes to debt service. However, Leverage is rather large at 1, which means the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 99% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 47 (worse than 53% compared with alternatives), Starbucks has a financing structure that is riskier than that of its competitors. This is not bad if things go well. The higher debt level means better returns to shareholders if things go well. Many top-performing companies operate with higher debt levels, and Starbucks could be in that group. But if you expect the environment to turn rougher, the higher leverage could become a problem. The same is valid if you expect interest rates to rise. That could squeeze shareholder returns, which so far have benefitted from better conditions. ...read more
Combined financial peformance: Starbucks Top Financial Performance
| COMBINED PERFORMANCE | November 9, 2023 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 65 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 85 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 90 |
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| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 88 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 88 (better than 88% compared with investment alternatives), Starbucks (Restaurants, USA) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of Starbucks are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 65 (better than 65% of alternatives), show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 85) but are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 47), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 88, is a strong buy recommendation based on Starbucks's financial characteristics. As the company Starbucks's key financial metrics exhibit excellent performance in two areas, such as good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 65) and above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 85), it could be argued that the risk-taking in financing (Obermatt Safety Rank of only 47) indicates that the company is optimistic about the future and sees debt as an opportunity to boost returns. More debt means more shareholder returns if everything goes well. However, higher debt burdens are risky when interest rates rise or the business deteriorates in a crisis. If you believe the company's future is market-typical or even better, this could be an argument for a share purchase. ...read more
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