Fact based stock research
SMC (TSE:6273)
JP3162600005
How to read the ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
SMC stock research in summary
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 67 (better than 67% compared with investment alternatives), SMC (Industrial Machinery, Japan) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of SMC are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 15 (worse than 85% of alternatives). But they show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 73) and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 78, which means below-average debt burdens). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 67, is a buy recommendation based on SMC's financial characteristics. Investors looking for growth and low financial risk may find this stock attractive. While the company SMC exhibits low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 15), which means that the stock price is rather high, it also demonstrates above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 73). This is a typical case, as high-growth companies are often expensive. Good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 78) are a double-edged sword: if the company continues growing, low debt limits shareholder returns. But if the company increases its debt, it will also increase risk. In other words, this is an investment on the safer side, despite the above-average price (low value). Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
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Analysts rarely agree on a stock’s future. So, who do you believe? Obermatt translates those collective views into a single Sentiment Rank. That plus the financial ranks give you the ultimate 360° View. Sign up to access them.
It’s easier said than done. When your stock drops, it’s easy to want to sell it and find a better performer. Think twice, or even three times, before trading. Those fees (especially the hidden ones) can eat up your gains.
Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.
Research History: SMC
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 32 |
|
13 |
|
13 |
|
15 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 86 |
|
29 |
|
79 |
|
73 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 88 |
|
86 |
|
80 |
|
78 |
|
| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
60 |
|
44 |
|
new |
|
| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | n/a |
|
47 |
|
52 |
|
new |
|
Combined financial peformance in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 67 (better than 67% compared with investment alternatives), SMC (Industrial Machinery, Japan) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of SMC are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 15 (worse than 85% of alternatives). But they show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 73) and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 78, which means below-average debt burdens). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 67, is a buy recommendation based on SMC's financial characteristics. Investors looking for growth and low financial risk may find this stock attractive. While the company SMC exhibits low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 15), which means that the stock price is rather high, it also demonstrates above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 73). This is a typical case, as high-growth companies are often expensive. Good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 78) are a double-edged sword: if the company continues growing, low debt limits shareholder returns. But if the company increases its debt, it will also increase risk. In other words, this is an investment on the safer side, despite the above-average price (low value). Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 32 |
|
13 |
|
13 |
|
15 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 86 |
|
29 |
|
79 |
|
73 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 88 |
|
86 |
|
80 |
|
78 |
|
| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 84 |
|
29 |
|
67 |
|
67 |
|
Value Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 15 (worse than 85% compared with alternatives), SMC shares are significantly more expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all four indicators below average for SMC. Price-to-Sales is 7 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is higher than 93% of comparable companies, indicating a low value concerning SMC's sales levels. Price-to-Book Capital (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) also has a low Price-to-Book Rank of 26, which means that both reliable company size indicators, sales, and invested capital cannot explain the high stock price of SMC. In addition, the two profit-related value indicators, Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price-earnings, P/E) with a low rank of 31 and Dividend Yield, which is lower than 81% of comparable companies, also make the stock more expensive compared with investment alternatives. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 15, is a sell recommendation based on SMC's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. How can market participants pay such a high price for SMC? One reason may be that the company is simply too popular. If enough people want a particular stock, its price can exceed reasonable levels. This is often the case for companies offering new and exciting products and everybody wants a piece of the action. Should you pay a lot for a hot stock such as SMC? It's risky, and even if the stock price continues to grow because of popular demand, it may return to more typical lower levels later. And that return can be sudden and quick, making it impossible for retail investors to exit on time. Sometimes, high prices are deserved. This is the case when it is justified to believe that the company will dominate a market with high profit margins. It has happened in the past for many technology companies and indeed for commercially successful pharmaceutical discoveries. Sometimes they last, sometimes, they get eaten alive. SMC may be such a type of stock. That would mean, retail investors should be careful, only considering investing a small part of their wealth in this exciting category and always being ready to lose more than half, if not all of the investment. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is essential in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more
| VALUE METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | 20 |
|
9 |
|
8 |
|
7 |
|
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | 56 |
|
25 |
|
34 |
|
31 |
|
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | 28 |
|
26 |
|
31 |
|
26 |
|
| DIVIDEND YIELD | ||||||||
| DIVIDEND YIELD | 54 |
|
29 |
|
15 |
|
19 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | 32 |
|
13 |
|
13 |
|
15 |
|
Growth Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 73 (better than 73% compared with alternatives), SMC shows an above-average growth dynamic in its industry. Investors also speak of positive momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all but one indicator above average for SMC. Sales Growth has a rank of 65 which means that currently, professionals expect the company to grow more than 65% of its competitors. Capital Growth is also above 18% of competitors with a rank of 91, and Stock Returns with the rank of 53 is also an outperformance. Only Profit Growth is low with a rank of 18 which means that currently, professionals expect the company to grow its profits less than 82% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 73, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. All three operating growth indicators, namely revenue, profit, and capital growth, are showing improvements. This is a good indication of a company with a positive future. That might, at the same time, be the simple reason why profit growth is low. A growing company needs money and thus can't yet show high profit growth. Look out for signs in corporate communication about extra growth efforts costing time and money. If that is the case, SMC is a good growth stock. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case. ...read more
| GROWTH METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
| REVENUE GROWTH | 58 |
|
36 |
|
55 |
|
65 |
|
| PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
| PROFIT GROWTH | 46 |
|
49 |
|
27 |
|
18 |
|
| CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
| CAPITAL GROWTH | n/a |
|
29 |
|
87 |
|
91 |
|
| STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
| STOCK RETURNS | 70 |
|
59 |
|
71 |
|
53 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 86 |
|
29 |
|
79 |
|
73 |
|
Safety Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 78 (better than 78% compared with alternatives) for 2024, the company SMC has safe financing practices, which means that their overall debt burden is low. This doesn't mean that the business of SMC is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with two out of three indicators above average for SMC. Leverage is at a rank of 84, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 84% of its competitors. Liquidity is also good at a rank of 94, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 94% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the safer side when it comes to debt service. But Refinancing is lower at a rank of 37, which means that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is above-average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 63% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 78 (better than 78% compared with alternatives), SMC has a financing structure that is significantly safer than that of its competitors. The refinancing issues could be a short-term problem, especially if the company has reputation issues. Banks and investors don't like to refinance debt if there are clouds on the horizon. For this reason, investors should look at the refinancing environment for SMC. Does it look safe that debt that is coming due can be covered with new debt? If that is the case, then the financing situation of the company is on the safer side. If not, it may be better to wait until refinancing has been completed and the Refinancing rank is good again. Investors may have a short-term debt challenge with SMC and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more
| SAFETY METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 80 |
|
88 |
|
86 |
|
84 |
|
| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 34 |
|
51 |
|
41 |
|
37 |
|
| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 100 |
|
98 |
|
94 |
|
94 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 88 |
|
86 |
|
80 |
|
78 |
|
Sentiment Metrics in Detail
| SENTIMENT | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANALYST OPINIONS | ||||||||
| ANALYST OPINIONS | n/a |
|
49 |
|
67 |
|
new |
|
| OPINIONS CHANGE | ||||||||
| OPINIONS CHANGE | n/a |
|
50 |
|
50 |
|
new |
|
| PRO HOLDINGS | ||||||||
| PRO HOLDINGS | n/a |
|
80 |
|
28 |
|
new |
|
| MARKET PULSE | ||||||||
| MARKET PULSE | n/a |
|
28 |
|
48 |
|
new |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
60 |
|
44 |
|
new |
|
Stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for SMC from April 18, 2024.
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