August 3, 2023
Top 10 Stock IQVIA Sell Recommendation
How to read the ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Snapshot: IQVIA – Top 10 Stock in Employee Health Leaders in the United States
IQVIA is listed as a top 10 stock on August 03, 2023 in the market index Employee Health US because of its high performance in at least one of the Obermatt investment strategies. Two consolidated Obermatt Ranks are above-average. The company is growing above average and professional investor sentiment is positive. Both are encouraging signals for a stock purchase decision, albeit at an above-average share price. Based on the Obermatt 360° View of 16 (16% performer), Obermatt issues an overall sell recommendation for IQVIA on August 03, 2023.
Snapshot: Obermatt Ranks
When Obermatt identifies the Top 10 stocks in a market, it’s based on a certain investment strategy. The best performing stocks usually aren’t the ones that everyone is talking about (those are often "over-priced" and have low Value ranks).
For each investment strategy, we provide you with more detailed analysis and our recommendation. You see the ranks of the top 10 stocks ranked by that particular investment strategy (360° View, Sentiment, Value, Growth, Safety and Combined Financial Performance).
360° View: Obermatt 360° View IQVIA Sell
| 360 METRICS | August 3, 2023 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 48 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 55 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 1 |
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| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | 50 |
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| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | 16 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt 360° View of 16 (better than 16% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and financial characteristics for the stock IQVIA are critical, mostly below average. The 360° View is based on consolidating four consolidated indicators, with half of the metrics below and half above average for IQVIA. The consolidated Growth Rank has a good rank of 55, which means that the company experiences above-average growth momentum when looking at financial metrics such as revenue, profit, and invested capital growth as well as stock returns. This means that growth is higher than for 55% of competitors in the same industry. The consolidated Sentiment Rank also has a good rank of 50, which means that professional investors are more optimistic about the stock than for 50% of alternative investment opportunities. But the consolidated Value Rank has a less desirable rank of 48, which means that the share price of IQVIA is on the higher side compared with typical size in indicators such as revenues, profits, and invested capital. This means the stock price is higher than for 52% of alternative stocks in the same industry. Finally, the consolidated Safety Rank has a riskier rank of 1, which means that the company has a financing structure that is riskier than those of 99% comparable companies when looking at the amount of its debt, its refinancing requirements, and its ability to service debt. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated 360° View of 16, IQVIA is worse than 84% of all alternative stock investment opportunities based on the Obermatt Method. This means that IQVIA shares are on the riskier side for investors. Only half of the consolidated Obermatt Ranks exhibit excellent performance, so one needs to take a close look. Growth is above-average (Growth Rank of 55), and professional market sentiment is positive (Sentiment Rank of 50), but value and safety are below average. The Safety Rank is the least significant of the four consolidated ranks, because it only reflects financing practices. In the case of high growth, aggressive financing is a good thing. So the question is: How to assess below-average value against above-average growth and sentiment? Growth may be the strongest driver of the investment rationale in this case, which is reflected in institutional investors' opinions. It is typical for growth companies to have low value, as is the case here. Investors are willing to pay more for companies that outperform their competitors. So the question is, how much do you sacrifice value for growth? You can use the following rule of thumb: If you take 100 minus the growth rank, you arrive at a possibly minimum level for the value rank. For example, if the growth rank is at 75, and the value rank is at 5, you should tread carefully. If the value rank is at 40, it still might be a good value if the growth rank is above 60. Sometimes market sentiment just extrapolates the past, but sometimes it reflects reality. You pay more than the market average for this stock, but it may be worth it. ...read more
Sentiment Strategy: Professional Market Sentiment for IQVIA positive
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 50 (better than 50% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock IQVIA is above average. The Sentiment Rank is based on consolidating four sentiment indicators, with half of the indicators below and the other half above average for IQVIA. Analyst Opinions are at a rank of 77 (better than 77% of alternative investments). Currently, stock research analysts tend to recommend a stock investment in the company. There are also many institutional investors invested in the stock, represented by a Professional Investors rank of 86 which means that currently, professional investors hold more stock in this company than in 86% of alternative investment opportunities. But Analyst Opinions Change has a rank of 12, which means that stock research experts are changing their opinions for the worse in recommending investing in the company. In other words, they are getting more critical of investments in IQVIA. Furthermore, Market Pulse has a rank of 25, which means that the current professional news and professional social networks are on the negative side when discussing this company (more negative news than for 75% of competitors). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Sentiment Rank of 50 (more positive than 50% compared with investment alternatives), IQVIA has a reputation among professional investors that is above-average compared with that of its competitors. Three below-market sentiment indicators are a sign of caution, even if the stock has significantly appreciated. If analysts change their opinions, the stock may become too expensive. If the price is on the way down, the trend may continue. This may be a stock with a good reputation and history, but it may have reached its breaking point by now. Investors should look at the Value Ranks as well. If they indicate trouble, it may be around the corner. ...read more
Value Strategy: IQVIA Stock Price Value below-average critical
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 48 (worse than 52% compared with alternatives), IQVIA shares are more expensive than the average comparable stock. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, where half the indicators are below and half are above average for IQVIA. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 57, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 57% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning IQVIA's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits (or Price / Earnings, P/E), more favorable than for 76% of alternatives. It is also positive for expected dividend yields with a Dividend Yield rank of 1 (dividends are expected to be higher than for 1% of other stocks). But, compared with other companies in the same industry, the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) is higher than average, making the stock more expensive. Only 77% of all competitors have an even higher price compared with book capital which puts the Price-to-Capital Rank for IQVIA to 23. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 48, is a hold recommendation based on IQVIA's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. A low level of book capital means that the company has a business that is leaner on assets than its competitors. For instance, the company could be leasing its production facilities, or be more focussed on intellectual property, such as its brand and software, which is less visible in its book capital. If that is the case, the low Dividend Yield is also explained as such companies tend to invest their income into market development. The other good value ranks for Sales and Profits are encouraging indicators for the stock price value. ...read more
Growth Strategy: IQVIA Growth Momentum good
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 55 (better than 55% compared with alternatives), IQVIA shows an above-average growth dynamic in its industry. Investors also speak of positive momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for IQVIA. Capital Growth has a rank of 72, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its invested capital more than 38% of its competitors. Investors welcomed this, visible in the Stock Returns rank of 63 (above 63% of alternative investments). But Sales Growth has only a rank of 44, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow less than 56% of its competitors, and Profit Growth is also low at a rank of 38. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 55, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. This is an ambiguous picture. Revenue growth and capital growth are strong, but the growth in profit, which seems good, can also be an indication that growth momentum may be negative. The fact that stock returns have been above average doesn't help much, as stock returns are less reliable in showing a company’s future growth potential. Prices may perform well for the simple reason that investors were too pessimistic in the past and are now correcting their opinions and moving the stock price to a more reasonable level. As the growth picture is mixed for IQVIA, investors may want to look at value and sentiment indicators for a well-rounded picture of this stock. ...read more
Safety Strategy: IQVIA Debt Financing Safety risky
| SAFETY METRICS | August 3, 2023 | |||||||
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| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 4 |
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| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 3 |
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| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 48 |
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| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 1 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 1 (better than 1% compared with alternatives), the company IQVIA has much riskier financing practices than comparable other companies, which means that their overall debt burden is significantly above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of IQVIA is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with all three metrics below average for IQVIA. Liquidity is at 48, meaning that the company generates less profit to service its debt than 52% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the riskier side when it comes to debt service. Even worse, Leverage is at a rank of 4, meaning the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 96% of its competitors. Finally, Refinancing is at a rank of 3 which means that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is above average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 97% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 1 (worse than 99% compared with alternatives), IQVIA has a financing structure that is significantly riskier than that of its competitors. This combination is rather dangerous in most situations. Only very promising companies with bright future outlooks and stellar reputations can operate with such risky financing.
Combined financial peformance: IQVIA Lowest Financial Performance
| COMBINED PERFORMANCE | August 3, 2023 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 48 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 55 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 48 |
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| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 6 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 6 (worse than 94% compared with investment alternatives), IQVIA (Life Sciences Tools & Services, USA) shares have lower financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of IQVIA are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 48 (worse than 52% of alternatives), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 1, which means above-average debt burdens) but show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 55). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 6, is a sell recommendation based on IQVIA's financial characteristics. As the company IQVIA shows low value with an Obermatt Value Rank of 48 (52% of comparable investments are less expensive), investors should look at the other ranks. In this case, growth is expected to be above-average, better than 55% of comparable companies (Obermatt Growth Rank is 55). This is a typical case. Companies with above average growth tend to cost more than stocks with slower growth expectations. If this is a high-growth company, the low Obermatt Safety Rank of 1 is a good sign. The more debt a well-performing company has, the higher the returns to shareholders. However, if growth turns negative or interest rates increase, high debt may become a burden. If you believe the future is bright for IQVIA, even a low-value company (in terms of its key financial indicators) can be a good investment. ...read more
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