Fact based stock research
Pick n Pay Stores (JSE:PIK)

ZAE000005443

How to read the ranks

For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

Pick n Pay Stores stock research in summary

picknpayinvestor.co.za

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 4 (worse than 96% compared with investment alternatives), Pick n Pay Stores (Food Retail, South Africa) shares have lower financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Pick n Pay Stores are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 57 (better than 57% of alternatives) but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 1), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 6), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 4, is a sell recommendation based on Pick n Pay Stores's financial characteristics. As the company Pick n Pay Stores's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 57) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 1) and risky financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 6), it may be a risky investment, because debt in times of crises can make things worse. The good value, better than 57% of comparable companies, may indicate the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	57
Growth Rank	1
Safety Rank	6
Combined Rank	4

Country	South Africa
Industry	Food Retail
Index	Low Emissions, Good Governace Growth Markets, Low Waste, Recycling, JSE All Shares
Size class	X-Large

18-Apr-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

Multiple opinions. One number.

Analysts rarely agree on a stock’s future. So, who do you believe? Obermatt translates those collective views into a single Sentiment Rank. That plus the financial ranks give you the ultimate 360° View. Sign up to access them.

Why popular stocks have low ratings

It’s easier said than done. When your stock drops, it’s easy to want to sell it and find a better performer. Think twice, or even three times, before trading. Those fees (especially the hidden ones) can eat up your gains.

Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: Pick n Pay Stores

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	72	65	59	57
GROWTH
GROWTH	72	23	1	1
SAFETY
SAFETY	54	1	6	6
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	59	1	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	19	1	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 18-Apr-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 28-Jan-2024. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better Pick n Pay Stores is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	72	65	59	57
GROWTH
GROWTH	72	23	1	1
SAFETY
SAFETY	54	1	6	6
COMBINED
COMBINED	73	9	1	4

Last update of combined financial performance: 18-Apr-2024. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of Pick n Pay Stores the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 57 (better than 57% compared with alternatives), Pick n Pay Stores shares are more attractively priced than the majority of comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, where half the indicators are below and half above average for Pick n Pay Stores. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 100, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 100% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning Pick n Pay Stores's revenue size. The same is valid for dividend yields with a Dividend Yield rank of 64, which means that dividends are expected to be higher than for 64% of comparable investments. On the other hand, the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) is less favorable than for 61% of alternatives (only 39% of peers have an even higher ratio). The same is valid for the Price-to-Profit (or Price / Earnings, P/E) ratio, which is higher than for 72% of comparable companies, making the stock more expensive compared with the company's expected profit levels. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 57, is a buy recommendation based on Pick n Pay Stores's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. This is a somewhat surprising picture, because it means that profits are low while dividends are high. One interpretation could be that profits are expected to increase, justifying the high dividend payments. But it could also mean that the company desperately keeps the high dividends to avoid a collapsing share price. This would be a rather dangerous constellation. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is especially important in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	86	84	97	100
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	65	66	40	28
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	6	18	37	39
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	78	75	59	64
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	72	65	59	57

Last update of Value Rank: 18-Apr-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of Pick n Pay Stores; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 1 (better than 1% compared with alternatives), Pick n Pay Stores shows one of the most restricted growth dynamics in its industry. There is little momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all four metrics below average for Pick n Pay Stores. Sales Growth has a rank of 42, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow less than 58% of its competitors. The same is valid for Profit Growth, with a rank of 1, and Capital Growth with 19. In addition, Stock Returns have a below market rank of 5, which means that the stock returns have recently been below 95% of alternative investments. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 1, is a sell recommendation for growth and momentum investors. These are all bad growth momentum indicators. These are negative signals for investors interested in growth companies. Value is likely good for this company, as investors may have left this stock in the cold. If that is the case, investors should look at the company's outlook, especially Sentiment performance, because it may be a turnaround situation that could entail above-average stock returns in the future. But it remains a risky bet, as no growth signals are in the green zone yet. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is low here. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	75	23	45	42
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	42	34	4	1
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	40	10	19
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	86	57	3	5
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	72	23	1	1

Last update of Growth Rank: 18-Apr-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of Pick n Pay Stores.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 6 (better than 6% compared with alternatives), the company Pick n Pay Stores has much riskier financing practices than comparable other companies, which means that their overall debt burden is significantly above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of Pick n Pay Stores is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with all three metrics below average for Pick n Pay Stores. Liquidity is at 19, meaning that the company generates less profit to service its debt than 81% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the riskier side when it comes to debt service. Even worse, Leverage is at a rank of 3, meaning the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 97% of its competitors. Finally, Refinancing is at a rank of 8 which means that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is above average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 92% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 6 (worse than 94% compared with alternatives), Pick n Pay Stores has a financing structure that is significantly riskier than that of its competitors. This combination is rather dangerous in most situations. Only very promising companies with bright future outlooks and stellar reputations can operate with such risky financing. Investors should look at Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks to confirm a very positive outlook or be careful with investing in stocks of Pick n Pay Stores because it may suffer significantly in case of future difficulties. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	42	1	2	3
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	60	7	7	8
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	60	14	16	19
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	54	1	6	6

Last update of Safety Rank: 18-Apr-2024. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of Pick n Pay Stores and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	56	1	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	50	11	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	61	17	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	42	14	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	59	1	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 18-Apr-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for Pick n Pay Stores.
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