January 25, 2024
Top 10 Stock Pampa Hold Recommendation
How to read the ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Snapshot: Pampa – Top 10 Stock in Nuclear Energy
Pampa is listed as a top 10 stock on January 25, 2024 in the market index Nuclear because of its high performance in at least one of the Obermatt investment strategies. Two consolidated Obermatt Ranks are above-average. While the company shows high growth, the stock price is high yet professional investor sentiment is low, which may be due to overly optimistic investor behavior, reflected in a low stock price value. Based on the Obermatt 360° View of 46 (46% performer), Obermatt assesses an overall hold recommendation for Pampa on January 25, 2024.
Snapshot: Obermatt Ranks
When Obermatt identifies the Top 10 stocks in a market, it’s based on a certain investment strategy. The best performing stocks usually aren’t the ones that everyone is talking about (those are often "over-priced" and have low Value ranks).
For each investment strategy, we provide you with more detailed analysis and our recommendation. You see the ranks of the top 10 stocks ranked by that particular investment strategy (360° View, Sentiment, Value, Growth, Safety and Combined Financial Performance).
360° View: Obermatt 360° View Pampa Hold
| 360 METRICS | January 25, 2024 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 14 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 100 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 59 |
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| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | 32 |
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| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | 46 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt 360° View of 46 (better than 46% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and financial characteristics for the stock Pampa are below the industry average. The 360° View is based on consolidating four consolidated indicators, with half of the metrics below and half above average for Pampa. The consolidated Growth Rank has a good rank of 100, which means that the company experiences above-average growth momentum when looking at financial metrics such as revenue, profit, and invested capital growth as well as stock returns. This means that growth is higher than for 100% of competitors in the same industry. In addition, the consolidated Safety Rank has a safer rank of 59 which means that the company has a financing structure that is safer than 59% comparable companies when looking at the amount of its debt, its refinancing requirements, and its ability to service debt. But the consolidated Value Rank has a less desirable rank of 14 which means that the share price of Pampa is on the higher side compared with typical size in indicators such as revenues, profits, and invested capital. This means that the stock price is higher than for 86% of alternative stocks in the same industry. The consolidated Sentiment Rank also has a low rank of 32, which means that professional investors are more pessimistic about the stock than for 68% of alternative investment opportunities. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated 360° View of 46, Pampa is worse than 54% of all alternative stock investment opportunities based on the Obermatt Method. As only half of the consolidated Obermatt Ranks exhibit excellent performance, the picture is ambiguous. Growth is above-average (Growth Rank of 100), and the company is safely financed (Safety Rank of 59). However, professional market sentiment is low(Sentiment Rank of 32). The negative market view on Pampa may be due to the high stock price (low value). A growth company like this may get too expensive at one point in time. If too many investors are desperate to board the train, they may drive stock prices above reasonable levels. It is typical for growth companies to have low value ratings, because investors are willing to pay more for companies that outperform their competitors. So the question is, how much more do you pay for the stock of Pampa compared with alternatives? You can use the following rule of thumb: The value rank shouldn’t be lower than one hundred minus the growth rank. For example, if the growth rank is at 75, and the value rank is at 5, you should tread carefully. If the value rank is at 40, it still might be a good value if the value rank is above 60. As market sentiment is low, you should be careful with paying more than market-average for this stock and conduct further research into the company’s future growth potential. ...read more
Sentiment Strategy: Professional Market Sentiment for Pampa only reserved
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 32 (better than 32% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock Pampa is below industry average. The Sentiment Rank is based on consolidating four sentiment indicators, with half of the metrics below and half above average for Pampa. Analyst Opinions are at a rank of 30 (worse than 70% of alternative investments), which means that currently, stock research analysts tend to warn against investing in the stock of the company. But they are changing their opinions! Analyst Opinions Change has a rank of 50, which means that stock research experts are more positive in their investment recommendations in the company. In other words, they are getting more optimistic of stock investments in Pampa. More encouragingly, the Professional Investors rank is 50, which means that professional investors hold more stock in this company than in 50% of alternative investment opportunities. Pros tend to favor investing in this company. But Market Pulse is on the lower side with a rank of 42, which means that the current professional news and professional social networks are on the negative side when discussing this company (more negative news than for 58% of competitors). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Sentiment Rank of 32 (less encouraging than 68% compared with investment alternatives), Pampa has a reputation among professional investors that is below that of its competitors. The sentiment signals are mixed for Pampa. While analysts and the news channels are negative, there is a change in what analysts think. Above-average institutional investors in this company support them. Sentiment signals remain mixed with analysts and news channels pessimistic, though improving, and professional investors above average. ...read more
Value Strategy: Pampa Stock Price Value low
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 14 (worse than 86% compared with alternatives), Pampa shares are significantly more expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all four indicators below average for Pampa. Price-to-Sales is 34 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is higher than 66% of comparable companies, indicating a low value concerning Pampa's sales levels. Price-to-Book Capital (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) also has a low Price-to-Book Rank of 35, which means that both reliable company size indicators, sales, and invested capital cannot explain the high stock price of Pampa. In addition, the two profit-related value indicators, Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price-earnings, P/E) with a low rank of 12 and Dividend Yield, which is lower than 99% of comparable companies, also make the stock more expensive compared with investment alternatives. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 14, is a sell recommendation based on Pampa's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. How can market participants pay such a high price for Pampa? One reason may be that the company is simply too popular. If enough people want a particular stock, its price can exceed reasonable levels. This is often the case for companies offering new and exciting products and everybody wants a piece of the action. Should you pay a lot for a hot stock such as Pampa? It's risky, and even if the stock price continues to grow because of popular demand, it may return to more typical lower levels later. And that return can be sudden and quick, making it impossible for retail investors to exit on time. Sometimes, high prices are deserved. This is the case when it is justified to believe that the company will dominate a market with high profit margins. It has happened in the past for many technology companies and indeed for commercially successful pharmaceutical discoveries. Sometimes they last, sometimes, they get eaten alive. Pampa may be such a type of stock. That would mean, retail investors should be careful, only considering investing a small part of their wealth in this exciting category and always being ready to lose more than half, if not all of the investment. ...read more
Growth Strategy: Pampa Growth Momentum high
| GROWTH METRICS | January 25, 2024 | |||||||
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| REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
| REVENUE GROWTH | 98 |
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| PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
| PROFIT GROWTH | 100 |
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| CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
| CAPITAL GROWTH | 100 |
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| STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
| STOCK RETURNS | 93 |
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| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 100 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 100 (better than 100% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Pampa shows one of the highest growth dynamics in its industry. Investors also speak of high momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all four indicators above average for Pampa. Sales Growth has a value of 98, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow more than 98% of its competitors. The same is valid for Profit Growth with a value of 100 and for Capital Growth with 100. In addition, Stock Returns had an above-average rank value of 93, which means they have been higher than 93% of comparable investments. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 100, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Since all Growth Ranks are positive, Pampa exhibits above-average growth momentum. This could be due to a uniquely strong market position, proprietary technology, or an extensive corporate acquisition strategy. Growth investors will find this an attractive investment opportunity, unless they expect that the current phase is transitory and will deteriorate in the future. The current performance could also be a temporary recovery from a very low point, such as a turn-around situation. In the case of a turn-around, the current performance may or may not be followed by a continuing positive development. ...read more
Safety Strategy: Pampa Debt Financing Safety above-average
| SAFETY METRICS | January 25, 2024 | |||||||
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| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 54 |
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| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 71 |
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| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 57 |
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| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 59 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 59 (better than 59% compared with alternatives), the company Pampa has financing practices on the safer side, which mean that their overall debt burden is lower than average. This doesn't mean that the business of Pampa is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, where all three are above average for Pampa. Leverage is at 54, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 54% of its competitors. Refinancing is at a rank of 71, meaning that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 71% of its competitors. Finally, Liquidity is also good at a rank of 57, which means that the company generates more profit to service its debt than 57% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 59 (better than 59% compared with alternatives), Pampa has a financing structure that is safer than that of its competitors. These three positive financing indicators signal that the company is less likely to default on its debt obligations. However, it also means that its shareholder returns will be more modest if things go well. A low safety means fewer troubles in downtimes and less upside in good times. ...read more
Combined financial peformance: Pampa Above-Average Financial Performance
| COMBINED PERFORMANCE | January 25, 2024 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 14 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 100 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 57 |
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| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 60 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 60 (better than 60% compared with investment alternatives), Pampa (Electric Utilities, Argentina) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Pampa are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 14 (worse than 86% of alternatives). But they show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 100) and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 59, which means below-average debt burdens). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 60, is a buy recommendation based on Pampa's financial characteristics. Investors looking for growth and low financial risk may find this stock attractive. While the company Pampa exhibits low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 14), which means that the stock price is rather high, it also demonstrates above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 100). This is a typical case, as high-growth companies are often expensive. Good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 59) are a double-edged sword: if the company continues growing, low debt limits shareholder returns. But if the company increases its debt, it will also increase risk. In other words, this is an investment on the safer side, despite the above-average price (low value). ...read more
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