December 28, 2023
Top 10 Stock Orkla Strong Buy Recommendation
How to read the ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Snapshot: Orkla – Top 10 Stock in OBX Index
Orkla is listed as a top 10 stock on December 28, 2023 in the market index OBX Index because of its high performance in at least one of the Obermatt investment strategies. As three out of four consolidated Obermatt Ranks exhibit excellent performance, it is a solid investment from a financial fact perspective where only investor sentiment is a reason for caution. Based on the Obermatt 360° View of 79 (top 79% performer), Obermatt assesses an overall strong buy recommendation for Orkla on December 28, 2023.
Snapshot: Obermatt Ranks
| Country | Norway |
| Industry | Packaged Foods & Meats |
| Index | Dividends Europe, Energy Efficient, Renewables Users, OBX Index |
| Size class | X-Large |
When Obermatt identifies the Top 10 stocks in a market, it’s based on a certain investment strategy. The best performing stocks usually aren’t the ones that everyone is talking about (those are often "over-priced" and have low Value ranks).
For each investment strategy, we provide you with more detailed analysis and our recommendation. You see the ranks of the top 10 stocks ranked by that particular investment strategy (360° View, Sentiment, Value, Growth, Safety and Combined Financial Performance).
360° View: Obermatt 360° View Orkla Strong Buy
| 360 METRICS | December 28, 2023 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 63 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 79 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 76 |
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| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | 34 |
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| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | 79 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt 360° View of 79 (better than 79% compared with alternatives) for 2023, overall professional sentiment and financial characteristics for the stock Orkla are very positive. The 360° View is based on consolidating four consolidated indicators, with three out of four indicators above average for Orkla. The consolidated Value Rank has an attractive rank of 63, which means that the share price of Orkla is on the lower side compared with the typical size in indicators such as revenues, profits, and invested capital. This means the stock price is lower than for 63% of alternative stocks in the same industry. The consolidated Growth Rank has a good rank of 79, which means that the company experiences above-average growth momentum when looking at financial metrics such as revenue, profit, and invested capital growth, as well as stock returns. The company is also safely financed with a Safety Rank of 76. But the professional market sentiment is below average compared with other stock investment alternatives with a Sentiment Rank of only 34. Professional investors are more confident in 66% other stocks. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated 360° View of 79, Orkla is better positioned than 79% of all alternative stock investment opportunities based on the Obermatt Method. As three out of four consolidated Obermatt Ranks exhibit excellent performance, such as good value (Value Rank of 63), above-average growth (Growth Rank of 79), and safe financing practices (Safety Rank of 76), it is a solid stock investment where the risk of paying too much for the shares is limited, and disappointments are less likely, unless information not publicly available. Only the professional market sentiment is on the riskier side (Sentiment Rank of 34), but that could also mean an overreaction to negative news in the past. Good value is sometimes an indication that the company's future is challenging. If they have been enjoying above average growth and are still a good value, this may not continue. We recommend evaluating whether the future of Orkla is as challenging as the low price of the stock despite good growth and safe financing practices suggest. Since the professional community is pessimistic, you may want to reflect these negative opinions in light of what you find reasonable to expect for the future. If you believe this pessimistic view is transitory, you have a solid investment case based on current financial factors. ...read more
Sentiment Strategy: Professional Market Sentiment for Orkla only reserved
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 34 (better than 34% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock Orkla is below industry average. The Sentiment Rank is based on consolidating four sentiment indicators, with half of the metrics below and half above average for Orkla. Analyst Opinions are at a rank of 22 (worse than 78% of alternative investments), which means that currently, stock research analysts tend to warn against investing in the stock of the company. But they are changing their opinions! Analyst Opinions Change has a rank of 50, which means that stock research experts are more positive in their investment recommendations in the company. In other words, they are getting more optimistic of stock investments in Orkla. More encouragingly, the Professional Investors rank is 81, which means that professional investors hold more stock in this company than in 81% of alternative investment opportunities. Pros tend to favor investing in this company. But Market Pulse is on the lower side with a rank of 23, which means that the current professional news and professional social networks are on the negative side when discussing this company (more negative news than for 77% of competitors). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Sentiment Rank of 34 (less encouraging than 66% compared with investment alternatives), Orkla has a reputation among professional investors that is below that of its competitors. The sentiment signals are mixed for Orkla. While analysts and the news channels are negative, there is a change in what analysts think. Above-average institutional investors in this company support them. Sentiment signals remain mixed with analysts and news channels pessimistic, though improving, and professional investors above average. ...read more
Value Strategy: Orkla Stock Price Value better than average
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 63 (better than 63% compared with alternatives), Orkla shares are more attractively priced than the majority of comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Orkla. Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price-earnings, P/E) is 55 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is lower than for 55% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning Orkla's profit levels. The same is valid for Price-to-Book Capital (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Book Rank of 48, which means that the stock price is lower as regards to invested capital than for 48% of comparable investments. On the other hand, Price-to-Sales is less favorable than 69% of alternatives (only 31% of peers have an even less favorable ratio). The same is valid for dividend yield, which is lower than 19% of comparable companies, making the stock more expensive as regards to the company's expected dividend payouts. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 63, is a buy recommendation based on Orkla's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. This is a puzzling picture, because it means that profits are high while dividends are low. Since the stock price is low compared with invested capital but high in respect to expected revenues, it means that the company has more invested capital than peers for generating the same amount of revenue. Since profits are higher, it could be a "cash cow" situation (using the classic Boston Consulting BCG matrix naming convention) where the company is on a downward trend, still living from the profits of past products. As the company pays low dividends, it may harbor the opinion that a turnaround is possible, and it rather invests the cash than pay it out to shareholders, thus sealing the company's fate early. Any investment optimism should only be a buy trigger once thorough research is completed. ...read more
Growth Strategy: Orkla Growth Momentum high
| GROWTH METRICS | December 28, 2023 | |||||||
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| REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
| REVENUE GROWTH | 52 |
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| PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
| PROFIT GROWTH | 56 |
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| CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
| CAPITAL GROWTH | 77 |
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| STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
| STOCK RETURNS | 59 |
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| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 79 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 79 (better than 79% compared with alternatives) for 2023, Orkla shows one of the highest growth dynamics in its industry. Investors also speak of high momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all four indicators above average for Orkla. Sales Growth has a value of 52, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow more than 52% of its competitors. The same is valid for Profit Growth with a value of 56 and for Capital Growth with 77. In addition, Stock Returns had an above-average rank value of 59, which means they have been higher than 59% of comparable investments. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 79, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Since all Growth Ranks are positive, Orkla exhibits above-average growth momentum. This could be due to a uniquely strong market position, proprietary technology, or an extensive corporate acquisition strategy. Growth investors will find this an attractive investment opportunity, unless they expect that the current phase is transitory and will deteriorate in the future. The current performance could also be a temporary recovery from a very low point, such as a turn-around situation. In the case of a turn-around, the current performance may or may not be followed by a continuing positive development. ...read more
Safety Strategy: Orkla Debt Financing Safety very solid
| SAFETY METRICS | December 28, 2023 | |||||||
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| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 74 |
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| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 33 |
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| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 82 |
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| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 76 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 76 (better than 76% compared with alternatives) for 2023, the company Orkla has safe financing practices, which means that their overall debt burden is low. This doesn't mean that the business of Orkla is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with two out of three indicators above average for Orkla. Leverage is at a rank of 74, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 74% of its competitors. Liquidity is also good at a rank of 82, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 82% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the safer side when it comes to debt service. But Refinancing is lower at a rank of 33, which means that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is above-average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 67% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 76 (better than 76% compared with alternatives), Orkla has a financing structure that is significantly safer than that of its competitors. The refinancing issues could be a short-term problem, especially if the company has reputation issues. Banks and investors don't like to refinance debt if there are clouds on the horizon. For this reason, investors should look at the refinancing environment for Orkla. Does it look safe that debt that is coming due can be covered with new debt? If that is the case, then the financing situation of the company is on the safer side. If not, it may be better to wait until refinancing has been completed and the Refinancing rank is good again. ...read more
Combined financial peformance: Orkla Top Financial Performance
| COMBINED PERFORMANCE | December 28, 2023 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 63 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 79 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 82 |
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| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 94 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 94 (better than 94% compared with investment alternatives), Orkla (Packaged Foods & Meats, Norway) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of Orkla are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 63 (better than 63% of alternatives), show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 79), and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 76), which means low debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 94, is a strong buy recommendation based on Orkla's financial characteristics. As the company Orkla's key financial metrics all exhibit excellent performance, such as good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 63), above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 79), and indicate that the company is safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 76), it is a solid stock investment where the risk of paying too much for the share is limited, unless the company has a bleak future. Such good financial performance can indicate that the company's future might actually be challenging, as it may be difficult to maintain the good performance. If they are safely financed and have been growing above average, and are still a good value, it means that the market is keeping prices low, for a reason which may become clearer over time. We recommend evaluating the future of Orkla. If you believe the company's future is market-typical or even better, this could be an argument for a share purchase. ...read more
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