December 14, 2023
Top 10 Stock Old National Bancorp Strong Buy Recommendation
How to read the ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Snapshot: Old National Bancorp – Top 10 Stock in Dow Jones U.S. Regional Banks Index
Old National Bancorp is listed as a top 10 stock on December 14, 2023 in the market index D.J. US Banks because of its high performance in at least one of the Obermatt investment strategies. As three out of four consolidated Obermatt Ranks exhibit excellent performance, it is a solid investment where the risk of paying too much for the shares is low. Based on the Obermatt 360° View of 94 (top 94% performer), Obermatt assesses an overall strong buy recommendation for Old National Bancorp on December 14, 2023.
Snapshot: Obermatt Ranks
| Country | USA |
| Industry | Regional Banks |
| Index | Diversity USA, Sound Pay USA, NASDAQ, D.J. US Banks |
| Size class | XX-Large |
When Obermatt identifies the Top 10 stocks in a market, it’s based on a certain investment strategy. The best performing stocks usually aren’t the ones that everyone is talking about (those are often "over-priced" and have low Value ranks).
For each investment strategy, we provide you with more detailed analysis and our recommendation. You see the ranks of the top 10 stocks ranked by that particular investment strategy (360° View, Sentiment, Value, Growth, Safety and Combined Financial Performance).
360° View: Obermatt 360° View Old National Bancorp Strong Buy
| 360 METRICS | December 14, 2023 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 82 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 99 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 8 |
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| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | 90 |
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| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | 94 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt 360° View of 94 (better than 94% compared with alternatives) for 2023, overall professional sentiment and financial characteristics for the stock Old National Bancorp are very positive. The 360° View is based on consolidating four consolidated indicators, with all but one indicator above average for Old National Bancorp. The consolidated Value Rank has an attractive rank of 82, which means that the share price of Old National Bancorp is on the lower side compared with the typical size in indicators such as revenues, profits, and invested capital. This means the stock price is lower than for 82% of alternative stocks in the same industry. The consolidated Growth Rank has a good rank of 99, which means that the company experiences above-average growth momentum when looking at financial metrics such as revenue, profit, and invested capital growth, as well as stock returns. In addition, professional market sentiment is above average compared with other stock investment alternatives with a Sentiment Rank of 90. But the company’s financing is risky with a Safety rank of 8. This means 92% of comparable companies have a safer financing structure than Old National Bancorp. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated 360° View of 94, Old National Bancorp is better positioned than 94% of all alternative stock investment opportunities based on the Obermatt Method. As three out of four consolidated Obermatt Ranks exhibit excellent performance, such as good value (Value Rank of 82), above-average growth (Growth Rank of 99), and positive market sentiment in the professional investor community (Sentiment Rank of 90), it is a solid stock investment where the risk of paying too much for the shares is limited, and disappointments are less likely, unless information not publicly available. Only the company financing structure is on the riskier side (Safety Rank of 8), but that would also mean better returns for shareholders if things work out well. Good value is sometimes an indication that the company's future is challenging. If they have been growing above average and are still a good value, it may indicate that this will not continue. We recommend evaluating whether the future of Old National Bancorp is as difficult as the low price of the stock, despite good growth and positive professional investor sentiment, suggests. Since the professional community is optimistic, you might have less to worry about, and the stock is just not sufficiently visible right now, which may indicate good timing. ...read more
Sentiment Strategy: Professional Market Sentiment for Old National Bancorp very positive
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 90 (better than 90% compared with alternatives) for 2023, overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock Old National Bancorp is very positive. The Sentiment Rank is based on consolidating four sentiment indicators, with all four indicators above average for Old National Bancorp. Analyst Opinions are at a rank of 69 (better than 69% of alternative investments), which means that, currently, stock research analysts tend to recommend a stock investment in the company. Analyst Opinions Change is also positive with a rank of 50, which means that stock research experts are changing their opinions for the better and recommending investing in the company. They are getting more optimistic about stock investments in Old National Bancorp. The Professional Investors rank is 76, which means that currently, professional investors hold more stock in this company than in 76% of alternative investment opportunities. Pros tend to favor investing in this company. Finally, Market Pulse has a rank of 73 which means that the current professional news and professional social networks are on the positive side when discussing this company (more positive news than for 73% of competitors). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Sentiment Rank of 90 (more positive than 90% compared with investment alternatives), Old National Bancorp has a reputation among professional investors that is significantly higher than that of its competitors. Since all market sentiment indicators are positive, the professional community highly recommends investment in the company. Does this mean Old National Bancorp stocks are a safe investment? Far from it. Even professionals make mistakes. Especially in stock investing, there is a tendency to follow the leaders. Since trees don't grow to the heavens, such positive sentiment may also be interpreted as a danger sign. A lot of optimism can often be a sign of troubles to come, albeit unforeseen by most. ...read more
Value Strategy: Old National Bancorp Stock Price Value at the top
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 82 (better than 82% compared with alternatives) for 2023, Old National Bancorp shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators above average for Old National Bancorp. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 62, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 62% of comparable companies, indicating a good value regarding Old National Bancorp's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price to Profits (or Price / Earnings, P/E), more favorable than for 85% of alternatives, and it's also true for the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 69. But, compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields are expected to be lower than average; only 38% of all competitors have even lower dividend yields than Old National Bancorp (a Dividend Yield Rank of 38). 62% alternative investments in the same business provide a higher dividend yield. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 82, is a buy recommendation based on Old National Bancorp's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. The below-average dividend yield may be a good sign, as it could mean the company has more attractive investment opportunities for the generated cash than to pay it out as dividends. A low dividend yield can also indicate a growth phase. ...read more
Growth Strategy: Old National Bancorp Growth Momentum high
| GROWTH METRICS | December 14, 2023 | |||||||
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| REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
| REVENUE GROWTH | 79 |
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| PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
| PROFIT GROWTH | 83 |
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| CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
| CAPITAL GROWTH | 99 |
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| STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
| STOCK RETURNS | 71 |
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| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 99 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 99 (better than 99% compared with alternatives) for 2023, Old National Bancorp shows one of the highest growth dynamics in its industry. Investors also speak of high momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all four indicators above average for Old National Bancorp. Sales Growth has a value of 79, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow more than 79% of its competitors. The same is valid for Profit Growth with a value of 83 and for Capital Growth with 99. In addition, Stock Returns had an above-average rank value of 71, which means they have been higher than 71% of comparable investments. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 99, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Since all Growth Ranks are positive, Old National Bancorp exhibits above-average growth momentum. This could be due to a uniquely strong market position, proprietary technology, or an extensive corporate acquisition strategy. Growth investors will find this an attractive investment opportunity, unless they expect that the current phase is transitory and will deteriorate in the future. The current performance could also be a temporary recovery from a very low point, such as a turn-around situation. In the case of a turn-around, the current performance may or may not be followed by a continuing positive development. ...read more
Safety Strategy: Old National Bancorp Debt Financing Safety risky
| SAFETY METRICS | December 14, 2023 | |||||||
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| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 43 |
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| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 28 |
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| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 14 |
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| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 8 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 8 (better than 8% compared with alternatives), the company Old National Bancorp has much riskier financing practices than comparable other companies, which means that their overall debt burden is significantly above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of Old National Bancorp is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with all three metrics below average for Old National Bancorp. Liquidity is at 14, meaning that the company generates less profit to service its debt than 86% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the riskier side when it comes to debt service. Even worse, Leverage is at a rank of 43, meaning the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 57% of its competitors. Finally, Refinancing is at a rank of 28 which means that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is above average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 72% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 8 (worse than 92% compared with alternatives), Old National Bancorp has a financing structure that is significantly riskier than that of its competitors. This combination is rather dangerous in most situations. Only very promising companies with bright future outlooks and stellar reputations can operate with such risky financing.
Combined financial peformance: Old National Bancorp Top Financial Performance
| COMBINED PERFORMANCE | December 14, 2023 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 82 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 99 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 14 |
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| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 84 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 84 (better than 84% compared with investment alternatives), Old National Bancorp (Regional Banks, USA) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of Old National Bancorp are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 82 (better than 82% of alternatives), show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 99) but are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 8), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 84, is a strong buy recommendation based on Old National Bancorp's financial characteristics. As the company Old National Bancorp's key financial metrics exhibit excellent performance in two areas, such as good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 82) and above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 99), it could be argued that the risk-taking in financing (Obermatt Safety Rank of only 8) indicates that the company is optimistic about the future and sees debt as an opportunity to boost returns. More debt means more shareholder returns if everything goes well. However, higher debt burdens are risky when interest rates rise or the business deteriorates in a crisis. If you believe the company's future is market-typical or even better, this could be an argument for a share purchase. ...read more
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