December 21, 2023
Top 10 Stock Northern Star Resources Buy Recommendation
How to read the ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Snapshot: Northern Star Resources – Top 10 Stock in Australian Securities Exchange Index ASX 100
Northern Star Resources is listed as a top 10 stock on December 21, 2023 in the market index ASX 100 because of its high performance in at least one of the Obermatt investment strategies. Three consolidated Obermatt Ranks are above-average. Only the Value Rank is below average. The investment rationale may be an investment in future growth, supported by professional market opinion. Based on the Obermatt 360° View of 74 (high 74% performer), Obermatt assesses an overall buy recommendation for Northern Star Resources on December 21, 2023.
Snapshot: Obermatt Ranks
When Obermatt identifies the Top 10 stocks in a market, it’s based on a certain investment strategy. The best performing stocks usually aren’t the ones that everyone is talking about (those are often "over-priced" and have low Value ranks).
For each investment strategy, we provide you with more detailed analysis and our recommendation. You see the ranks of the top 10 stocks ranked by that particular investment strategy (360° View, Sentiment, Value, Growth, Safety and Combined Financial Performance).
360° View: Obermatt 360° View Northern Star Resources Buy
| 360 METRICS | December 21, 2023 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 16 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 87 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 54 |
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| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | 96 |
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| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | 74 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt 360° View of 74 (better than 74% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and financial characteristics for the stock Northern Star Resources are above average. The 360° View is based on consolidating four consolidated indicators, with all but one indicator above average for Northern Star Resources. The consolidated Growth Rank has a good rank of 87, which means that the company experiences above-average growth momentum when looking at financial metrics such as revenue, profit, and invested capital growth, as well as stock returns. This means that growth is higher than for 87% of competitors in the same industry. The consolidated Safety Rank at 54 means that the company has a financing structure that is safer than 54% comparable companies when looking at the amount of its debt, its refinancing requirements, and its ability to service debt. Finally, the consolidated Sentiment Rank has a good rank of 96, which means that professional investors are more optimistic about the stock than for 96% of alternative investment opportunities. But the consolidated Value Rank is less desirable at 16, meaning that the share price of Northern Star Resources is on the higher side compared with indicators such as revenues, profits, and invested capital. This means the stock price is higher than for 84% of alternative stocks in the same industry. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated 360° View of 74, Northern Star Resources is better positioned than 74% of all alternative stock investment opportunities based on the Obermatt Method. As three out of four consolidated Obermatt Ranks exhibit excellent performance, such as above-average growth (Growth Rank of 87), a safe financing structure (Safety Rank of 54), and positive professional market sentiment (Sentiment Rank of 96), it is a solid stock investment where growth may be the strongest driver of the investment rationale, also reflected by institutional investors. It is typical for growth companies to have low value, as is the case here. Investors are willing to pay more for companies that outperform their competitors. So the question is, how much more do you pay for the stock of Northern Star Resources compared with alternatives? You can use the following rule of thumb: The growth rank measures the growth momentum of the company (87% better than peers). The value rank could be the reverse reflection of that (13%). A Value Rank below that level may be assessed as expensive, a rank above that is still good value. Sometimes market sentiment just reflects the past, sometimes the reality. You pay more than the market average for this stock, but it may be worth it. ...read more
Sentiment Strategy: Professional Market Sentiment for Northern Star Resources very positive
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 96 (better than 96% compared with alternatives) for 2023, overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock Northern Star Resources is very positive. The Sentiment Rank is based on consolidating four sentiment indicators, with all four indicators above average for Northern Star Resources. Analyst Opinions are at a rank of 53 (better than 53% of alternative investments), which means that, currently, stock research analysts tend to recommend a stock investment in the company. Analyst Opinions Change is also positive with a rank of 57, which means that stock research experts are changing their opinions for the better and recommending investing in the company. They are getting more optimistic about stock investments in Northern Star Resources. The Professional Investors rank is 96, which means that currently, professional investors hold more stock in this company than in 96% of alternative investment opportunities. Pros tend to favor investing in this company. Finally, Market Pulse has a rank of 93 which means that the current professional news and professional social networks are on the positive side when discussing this company (more positive news than for 93% of competitors). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Sentiment Rank of 96 (more positive than 96% compared with investment alternatives), Northern Star Resources has a reputation among professional investors that is significantly higher than that of its competitors. Since all market sentiment indicators are positive, the professional community highly recommends investment in the company. Does this mean Northern Star Resources stocks are a safe investment? Far from it. Even professionals make mistakes. Especially in stock investing, there is a tendency to follow the leaders. Since trees don't grow to the heavens, such positive sentiment may also be interpreted as a danger sign. A lot of optimism can often be a sign of troubles to come, albeit unforeseen by most. ...read more
Value Strategy: Northern Star Resources Stock Price Value low
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 16 (worse than 84% compared with alternatives), Northern Star Resources shares are significantly more expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for Northern Star Resources. Only the metric dividend yield has an above-average rank, reflecting that dividend practices are expected to be higher than 53% of comparable companies, making the stock an attractive buy for dividend investors. However, dividend investors may get disappointed because all other critical financial indicators are below the market median: Price-to-Sales is 19 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is higher than 81% of comparable companies, indicating a low value concerning Northern Star Resources's sales levels. The same is valid for Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price-earnings, P/E) with a rank of 13 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profit levels is higher than 87% of comparable companies. In addition, Price-to-Book (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Book Rank of 31 is also low. Compared with invested capital, the stock price is higher than for 69% of comparable investments. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 16, is a sell recommendation based on Northern Star Resources's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Should dividend investors pick Northern Star Resources? The company-reported financials speak against it. The company is expensive compared with revenue and invested capital levels, two reliable company size indicators. In addition, it currently has a low level of profits. How can future dividends be paid in the case that profits remain low? Dividend investors should choose Northern Star Resources only if they reasonably expect the low current profit levels to be transitory. ...read more
Growth Strategy: Northern Star Resources Growth Momentum high
| GROWTH METRICS | December 21, 2023 | |||||||
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| REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
| REVENUE GROWTH | 89 |
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| PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
| PROFIT GROWTH | 79 |
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| CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
| CAPITAL GROWTH | 28 |
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| STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
| STOCK RETURNS | 71 |
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| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 87 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 87 (better than 87% compared with alternatives) for 2023, Northern Star Resources shows one of the highest growth dynamics in its industry. Investors also speak of high momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all but one indicator above average for Northern Star Resources. Sales Growth has a rank of 89 which means that currently, professionals expect the company to grow more than 89% of its competitors. Both Profit Growth, with a rank of 79, and Stock Returns, with a rank of 71, are also above average. But Capital Growth only has a rank of 28, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow its invested capital less than 72% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 87, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. That may be a good sign if the company is already well positioned and doesn't require more investments at this time. They may focus on growing the top (revenues) and bottom (profits) lines, recently rewarded with above-average stock returns for shareholders. But it may also be a sign of danger as the company is falling back with capital investment activities concerning competition. This requires further analysis of corporate communications. ...read more
Safety Strategy: Northern Star Resources Debt Financing Safety above-average
| SAFETY METRICS | December 21, 2023 | |||||||
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| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 64 |
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| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 33 |
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| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 54 |
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| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 54 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 54 (better than 54% compared with alternatives), the company Northern Star Resources has financing practices on the safer side, which mean that their overall debt burden is lower than average. This doesn't mean that the business of Northern Star Resources is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with two out of three indicators above average for Northern Star Resources. Leverage is at a rank of 64, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 64% of its competitors. Liquidity is also good at a rank of 54, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 54% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the safer side when it comes to debt service. But Refinancing is lower at a rank of 33, which means that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is above-average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 67% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 54 (better than 54% compared with alternatives), Northern Star Resources has a financing structure that is safer than that of its competitors. The refinancing issues could be a short-term problem, especially if the company has reputation issues. Banks and investors don't like to refinance debt if there are clouds on the horizon. For this reason, investors should look at the refinancing environment for Northern Star Resources. Does it look safe that debt that is coming due can be covered with new debt? If that is the case, then the financing situation of the company is on the safer side. If not, it may be better to wait until refinancing has been completed and the Refinancing rank is good again. ...read more
Combined financial peformance: Northern Star Resources Above-Average Financial Performance
| COMBINED PERFORMANCE | December 21, 2023 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 16 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 87 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 54 |
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| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 52 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 52 (better than 52% compared with investment alternatives), Northern Star Resources (Gold Production, Australia) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Northern Star Resources are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 16 (worse than 84% of alternatives). But they show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 87) and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 54, which means below-average debt burdens). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 52, is a buy recommendation based on Northern Star Resources's financial characteristics. Investors looking for growth and low financial risk may find this stock attractive. While the company Northern Star Resources exhibits low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 16), which means that the stock price is rather high, it also demonstrates above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 87). This is a typical case, as high-growth companies are often expensive. Good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 54) are a double-edged sword: if the company continues growing, low debt limits shareholder returns. But if the company increases its debt, it will also increase risk. In other words, this is an investment on the safer side, despite the above-average price (low value). ...read more
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