December 28, 2023
Top 10 Stock Nomad Foods Hold Recommendation
How to read the ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Snapshot: Nomad Foods – Top 10 Stock in SDG 14: Life Below Water
Nomad Foods is listed as a top 10 stock on December 28, 2023 in the market index SDG 14 because of its high performance in at least one of the Obermatt investment strategies. While only half of the consolidated Obermatt Ranks exhibit above-average performance, the professional market sentiment is positive and it may be a solid investment proposition, especially if a growth recovery is to be expected soon. Based on the Obermatt 360° View of 30 (30% performer), Obermatt assesses an overall hold recommendation for Nomad Foods on December 28, 2023.
Snapshot: Obermatt Ranks
When Obermatt identifies the Top 10 stocks in a market, it’s based on a certain investment strategy. The best performing stocks usually aren’t the ones that everyone is talking about (those are often "over-priced" and have low Value ranks).
For each investment strategy, we provide you with more detailed analysis and our recommendation. You see the ranks of the top 10 stocks ranked by that particular investment strategy (360° View, Sentiment, Value, Growth, Safety and Combined Financial Performance).
360° View: Obermatt 360° View Nomad Foods Hold
| 360 METRICS | December 28, 2023 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 51 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 32 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 14 |
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| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | 81 |
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| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | 30 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt 360° View of 30 (better than 30% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and financial characteristics for the stock Nomad Foods are below the industry average. The 360° View is based on consolidating four consolidated indicators, with half the metrics below and half above average for Nomad Foods. The consolidated Value Rank has an attractive rank of 51, which means that the share price of Nomad Foods is on the lower side compared with the typical size in indicators such as revenues, profits, and invested capital. This means that the stock price is lower than for 51% of alternative stocks in the same industry. The consolidated Sentiment Rank has a good rank of 81, which means that professional investors are more optimistic about the stock than for 81% of alternative investment opportunities. But the consolidated Growth Rank has a low rank of 32, which means that the company exhibits below-average growth momentum when looking at financial metrics such as revenue, profit, invested capital growth, and stock returns. The consolidated Safety Rank has a riskier rank of 14, meaning the company has a riskier financing structure than 86 comparable companies when looking at the amount of its debt, its refinancing requirements, and its ability to service debt. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated 360° View of 30, Nomad Foods is worse than 70% of all alternative stock investment opportunities based on the Obermatt Method. Half of the consolidated Obermatt Ranks exhibit above-average performance, but the other half are below market levels. The company enjoys a good value (Value Rank of 51) and positive market sentiment in the professional investor community (Sentiment Rank of 81), but growth expectations are below-average (Growth Rank of 32) and the financing structure is on the risky side(Safety Rank of 14). This combination is rather dangerous, because high debt levels (low safety) require growth to finance the debt burden. The current low growth level may be temporary, because professionals are actually optimistic (positive sentiment). Good value is sometimes an indication that the company's future is challenging. The below-par growth performance may be the reason for this assessment. Companies with less growth typically have a lower price than fast-growing competitors. Even though professional investor sentiment is strong, we recommend further evaluating whether the future of Nomad Foods is as challenging as the stock's low price suggests. Since the professional community is optimistic, the stock might just be going through a more challenging phase now, indicating that timing might be good now. ...read more
Sentiment Strategy: Professional Market Sentiment for Nomad Foods very positive
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 81 (better than 81% compared with alternatives) for 2023, overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock Nomad Foods is very positive.
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Sentiment Rank of 81 (more positive than 81% compared with investment alternatives), Nomad Foods has a reputation among professional investors that is significantly higher than that of its competitors.
Value Strategy: Nomad Foods Stock Price Value better than average
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 51 (better than 51% compared with alternatives), Nomad Foods shares are more attractively priced than the majority of comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Nomad Foods. Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price-earnings, P/E) is 76 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is lower than for 76% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning Nomad Foods's profit levels. The same is valid for Price-to-Book Capital (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Book Rank of 70, which means that the stock price is lower as regards to invested capital than for 70% of comparable investments. On the other hand, Price-to-Sales is less favorable than for 55% of alternatives (only 45% of peers have an even less favorable ratio). The same is valid for dividend yield, which is lower than for 99% of comparable companies, making the stock more expensive compared with the company's expected dividend payouts. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 51, is a buy recommendation based on Nomad Foods's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. This is a puzzling picture, because it means that profits are high while dividends are low. Since the stock price is low compared with invested capital but high concerning expected revenues, the company has more invested capital than peers for generating the same amount of revenue. Since profits are higher, it could be a "cash cow" situation (using the classic Boston Consulting Group or BCG matrix naming convention) where the company is on a downward trend, still living from the profits of past products. As the company pays low dividends, it may harbor the opinion that a turnaround is possible, and it rather invests the cash than distribute it to shareholders through dividends, thus sealing the company's fate early. Any investment optimism should only be a buy trigger once thorough research is completed. ...read more
Growth Strategy: Nomad Foods Growth Momentum low
| GROWTH METRICS | December 28, 2023 | |||||||
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| REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
| REVENUE GROWTH | 37 |
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| PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
| PROFIT GROWTH | 26 |
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| CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
| CAPITAL GROWTH | 71 |
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| STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
| STOCK RETURNS | 44 |
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| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 32 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 32 (better than 32% compared with alternatives), Nomad Foods shows a below-average growth dynamic in its industry. There is limited momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for Nomad Foods. Only Capital Growth has a good rank of 71, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its invested capital more than 26% of its competitors. The other three indicators are pointing South: Sales Growth has a rank of 37 which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow less than 63% of its competitors. Profit Growth with a rank of 26 and Stock Returns with a rank of 44 are also low (below 56% of alternative investments). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 32, is a hold recommendation for growth and momentum investors. The good news from the invested capital side is surprising. A company with disappointing revenues, profits, and disappointed shareholders typically doesn't invest above average. Overall, the growth momentum for Nomad Foods is thus negative. As it is intriguing to see that company executives are optimistic about their investment policy, it is worthwhile looking into the details of the capital investment projects. They may indicate future growth and profits and thus if accompanied by a good value, a sign of good timing to invest in the stock. ...read more
Safety Strategy: Nomad Foods Debt Financing Safety risky
| SAFETY METRICS | December 28, 2023 | |||||||
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| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 23 |
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| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 36 |
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| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 30 |
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| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 14 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 14 (better than 14% compared with alternatives), the company Nomad Foods has much riskier financing practices than comparable other companies, which means that their overall debt burden is significantly above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of Nomad Foods is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with all three metrics below average for Nomad Foods. Liquidity is at 30, meaning that the company generates less profit to service its debt than 70% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the riskier side when it comes to debt service. Even worse, Leverage is at a rank of 23, meaning the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 77% of its competitors. Finally, Refinancing is at a rank of 36 which means that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is above average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 64% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 14 (worse than 86% compared with alternatives), Nomad Foods has a financing structure that is significantly riskier than that of its competitors. This combination is rather dangerous in most situations. Only very promising companies with bright future outlooks and stellar reputations can operate with such risky financing.
Combined financial peformance: Nomad Foods Lowest Financial Performance
| COMBINED PERFORMANCE | December 28, 2023 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 51 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 32 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 30 |
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| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 19 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 19 (worse than 81% compared with investment alternatives), Nomad Foods (Packaged Foods & Meats, United Kingdom) shares have lower financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Nomad Foods are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 51 (better than 51% of alternatives) but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 32), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 14), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 19, is a sell recommendation based on Nomad Foods's financial characteristics. As the company Nomad Foods's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 51) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 32) and risky financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 14), it may be a risky investment, because debt in times of crises can make things worse. The good value, better than 51% of comparable companies, may indicate the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity. ...read more
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