May 18, 2023
Top 10 Stock Nomad Foods Sell Recommendation
How to read the ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Snapshot: Nomad Foods – Top 10 Stock in SDG 14: Life Below Water
Nomad Foods is listed as a top 10 stock on May 18, 2023 in the market index SDG 14 because of its high performance in at least one of the Obermatt investment strategies. Only one consolidated Obermatt Rank is above-average. The company enjoys a positive professional investor sentiment, but all financial facts speak against a stock purchase. This is likely an investment into the future. Based on the Obermatt 360° View of 22 (22% performer), Obermatt issues an overall sell recommendation for Nomad Foods on May 18, 2023.
Snapshot: Obermatt Ranks
When Obermatt identifies the Top 10 stocks in a market, it’s based on a certain investment strategy. The best performing stocks usually aren’t the ones that everyone is talking about (those are often "over-priced" and have low Value ranks).
For each investment strategy, we provide you with more detailed analysis and our recommendation. You see the ranks of the top 10 stocks ranked by that particular investment strategy (360° View, Sentiment, Value, Growth, Safety and Combined Financial Performance).
360° View: Obermatt 360° Assessment Nomad Foods Sell
| 360 METRICS | May 18, 2023 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 41 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 20 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 15 |
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| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | 63 |
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| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | 22 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt 360° View of 22 (better than 22% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock Nomad Foods are critical, mostly below average. The 360° View is based on consolidating four consolidated indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for Nomad Foods. The consolidated Sentiment Rank has a good rank of 63, which means that professional investors are more optimistic about the stock than for 63% of alternative investment opportunities. But all other ranks are below average. The consolidated Value Rank has a rank of 41, which means that the share price of Nomad Foods is on the higher side compared with typical size in indicators such as revenues, profits, and invested capital. The consolidated Growth Rank also has a low rank of 20, meaning that the company exhibits below-average growth momentum when looking at financial metrics such as revenue, profit, invested capital growth, and stock returns. This means that growth is lower than for 20% of competitors in the same industry. Finally, the consolidated Safety Rank has a riskier rank of 15 which means that the company has a riskier financing structure than 85% comparable companies when looking at the amount of its debt, its refinancing requirements, and its ability to service debt. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a 360° View of 22, Nomad Foods is worse than 78% of all alternative stock investment opportunities based on the Obermatt Method. This means that Nomad Foods shares are on the riskier side for investors. As only the professional market sentiment (Sentiment Rank of 63) is above-average, and all other consolidated Obermatt Ranks are below peers, the stock investing proposition case is rather weak. The stock price is expensive for a company of this size in this industry, visible in the below-average Value Rank. Growth is below the competition based on the Growth Rank, and the company has more debt than other companies, according to the Safety Rank. So the question becomes: How important is the Sentiment Rank when all others are below average? When it comes to growth, the low rating might be justified if growth is expected in the future and not yet reflected in current performance. This is often the case for companies with intellectual property, such as technology and pharmaceutical companies. In the early phases, these companies are expensive compared with their size and may have a lot of debt on their books, as is the case here, as seen in the low Value and Safety Ranks. Future growth may be the strongest investment rationale in this case, which is only reflected by institutional investors' opinions. You pay more than the market average for this stock and invest in a rather debt-loaded enterprise, but it may be worth it if the future of Nomad Foodṣ is bright. A small investment might be justified, but proceed with caution. ...read more
Sentiment Strategy: Professional Market Sentiment for Nomad Foods positive
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 63 (better than 63% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock Nomad Foods is above average.
RECOMMENDATION: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 63 (more positive than 63% compared with investment alternatives), Nomad Foods has a reputation among professional investors that is above-average compared with that of its competitors.
Value Strategy: Nomad Foods Stock Price Value below-average critical
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 41 (worse than 59% compared with alternatives), Nomad Foods shares are more expensive than the average comparable stock. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Nomad Foods. Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price-earnings, P/E) is 73 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is lower than for 73% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning Nomad Foods's profit levels. The same is valid for Price-to-Book Capital (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with the Price-to-Book Rank of 66, which means that the stock price is lower compared with invested capital than for 66% of comparable investments. On the other hand, Price-to-Sales is less favorable than for 56% of alternatives (only 44% of peers have an even less favorable ratio). The same is valid for dividend yield, which is lower than for 99% of comparable companies, making the stock more expensive compared with the company's expected dividend payouts. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 41, is a HOLD recommendation based on Nomad Foods's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. This is a puzzling picture, because it means that profits are high while dividends are low. Since the stock price is low compared with invested capital but high concerning expected revenues, the company has more invested capital than peers for generating the same amount of revenue. Since profits are higher, it could be a "cash cow" situation (using the classic Boston Consulting Group or BCG matrix naming convention) where the company is on a downward trend, still living from the profits of past products. As the company pays low dividends, it may harbor the opinion that a turnaround is possible, and it rather invests the cash than distribute it to shareholders through dividends, thus sealing the company's fate early. This needs to be investigated, and the company's optimism verified before making a stock purchasing decision. ...read more
Growth Strategy: Nomad Foods Growth Momentum negative
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 20 (better than 20% compared with alternatives), Nomad Foods shows one of the most restricted growth dynamics in its industry. There is little momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for Nomad Foods. Only Capital Growth has a good rank of 69, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its invested capital more than 22% of its competitors. The other three indicators are pointing South: Sales Growth has a rank of 19 which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow less than 81% of its competitors. Profit Growth with a rank of 22 and Stock Returns with a rank of 32 are also low (below 68% of alternative investments). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 20, is a SELL recommendation for growth and momentum investors. The good news from the invested capital side is surprising. A company with disappointing revenues, profits, and disappointed shareholders typically doesn't invest above average. Overall, the growth momentum for Nomad Foods is thus negative. As it is intriguing to see that company executives are optimistic about their investment policy, it is worthwhile looking into the details of the capital investment projects. They may indicate future growth and profits and thus if accompanied by a good value, a sign of good timing to invest in the stock. ...read more
Safety Strategy: Nomad Foods Debt Financing Safety risky
| SAFETY METRICS | May 18, 2023 | |||||||
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| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 20 |
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| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 39 |
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| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 24 |
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| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 15 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 15 (better than 15% compared with alternatives), the company Nomad Foods has much riskier financing practices than comparable other companies, which means that their overall debt burden is significantly above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of Nomad Foods is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with all three metrics below average for Nomad Foods. Liquidity is at 24, meaning that the company generates less profit to service its debt than 76% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the riskier side when it comes to debt service. Even worse, Leverage is at a rank of 20, meaning the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 80% of its competitors. Finally, Refinancing is at a rank of 39 which means that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is above average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 61% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 15 (worse than 85% compared with alternatives), Nomad Foods has a financing structure that is significantly riskier than that of its competitors. This combination is rather dangerous in most situations. Only very promising companies with bright future outlooks and stellar reputations can operate with such risky financing. ...read more
Combined financial peformance: Nomad Foods Lowest Financial Performance
| COMBINED PERFORMANCE | May 18, 2023 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 41 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 20 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 24 |
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| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 4 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 4 (worse than 96% compared with investment alternatives), Nomad Foods (Packaged Foods & Meats, United Kingdom) shares have lower financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Nomad Foods are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Obermatt Value Rank of 41 (worse than 59% of alternatives), show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 20), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 15), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: An Obermatt Combined Rank of 4, is a sell recommendation based on Nomad Foods's financial characteristics. As the company Nomad Foods's key financial metrics all exhibit below-average performance, such as low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 41), low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 20), and risky financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 15), it is a somewhat questionable stock investment, where the risk of paying too much for the shares is significant, unless the company has an exceptionally bright future. Such poor financial performance sometimes indicates that the company's business is all concentrated in some distant future. This is sometimes the case for high-tech or biotechnology companies. If they own properties that only provide cash flows in the future, the stock may look excessively expensive and risky today. In such cases, the Obermatt Method has limited value as it is based on facts we can observe today. If the facts are all in the future, stock investing becomes guesswork, and this should only be a driver in a limited number of investments that should only amount to a small fraction of a safe portfolio. ...read more
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