January 11, 2024
Top 10 Stock Nippon Steel Buy Recommendation
How to read the ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Snapshot: Nippon Steel – Top 10 Stock in Tokyo Stock Exchange TOPIX 100
Nippon Steel is listed as a top 10 stock on January 11, 2024 in the market index TOPIX 100 because of its high performance in at least one of the Obermatt investment strategies. While half the consolidated Obermatt Ranks are above-average, investor sentiment is negative and growth performance is below market average, both a sign for caution. Based on the Obermatt 360° View of 67 (high 67% performer), Obermatt assesses an overall buy recommendation for Nippon Steel on January 11, 2024.
Snapshot: Obermatt Ranks
| Country | Japan |
| Industry | Steel |
| Index | TOPIX 100, Low Emissions, Energy Efficient, Nikkei 225 |
| Size class | XX-Large |
When Obermatt identifies the Top 10 stocks in a market, it’s based on a certain investment strategy. The best performing stocks usually aren’t the ones that everyone is talking about (those are often "over-priced" and have low Value ranks).
For each investment strategy, we provide you with more detailed analysis and our recommendation. You see the ranks of the top 10 stocks ranked by that particular investment strategy (360° View, Sentiment, Value, Growth, Safety and Combined Financial Performance).
360° View: Obermatt 360° View Nippon Steel Buy
| 360 METRICS | January 11, 2024 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 88 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 39 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 66 |
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| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | 43 |
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| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | 67 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt 360° View of 67 (better than 67% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and financial characteristics for the stock Nippon Steel are above average. The 360° View is based on consolidating four consolidated indicators, with half the metrics below and half above average for Nippon Steel. The consolidated Value Rank has an attractive rank of 88, which means that the share price of Nippon Steel is on the lower side compared with the typical size in indicators such as revenues, profits, and invested capital. This means the stock price is lower than for 88% of alternative stocks in the same industry. The company is also safely financed with a Safety rank of 66. But the professional market sentiment is below average compared with other stock investment alternatives with a Sentiment Rank of 43. Professional investors are more confident in 57% other stocks. The consolidated Growth Rank also has a low rank of 39, which means that the company is below average in terms of growth momentum when looking at financial metrics such as revenue, profit, invested capital growth, and stock returns. 61 of its competitors have better growth. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated 360° View of 67, Nippon Steel is better positioned than 67% of all alternative stock investment opportunities based on the Obermatt Method. The picture is mixed here. The stock seems to be a good value (Value Rank of 88), and the financing structure is on the safer side (Safety Rank of 66). However, sentiment in the professional investor community is below-average (Sentiment Rank of 43), as is the growth momentum for the company (Growth Rank of 39). Since the company is good value and the share price low, it should attract investors, yet professionals are skeptical. Even though the financing structure is not as important as Value, Growth, and Sentiment, investors should still be careful with this decision and conduct further research if they are serious about investing in this company. ...read more
Sentiment Strategy: Professional Market Sentiment for Nippon Steel only reserved
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 43 (better than 43% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock Nippon Steel is below industry average. The Sentiment Rank is based on consolidating four sentiment indicators, with half of the metrics below and half above average for Nippon Steel. Analyst Opinions are at a rank of 49 (worse than 51% of alternative investments), which means that currently, stock research analysts tend to warn against investing in the stock of the company. But they are changing their opinions! Analyst Opinions Change has a rank of 50, which means that stock research experts are more positive in their investment recommendations in the company. In other words, they are getting more optimistic of stock investments in Nippon Steel. More encouragingly, the Professional Investors rank is 83, which means that professional investors hold more stock in this company than in 83% of alternative investment opportunities. Pros tend to favor investing in this company. But Market Pulse is on the lower side with a rank of 16, which means that the current professional news and professional social networks are on the negative side when discussing this company (more negative news than for 84% of competitors). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Sentiment Rank of 43 (less encouraging than 57% compared with investment alternatives), Nippon Steel has a reputation among professional investors that is below that of its competitors. The sentiment signals are mixed for Nippon Steel. While analysts and the news channels are negative, there is a change in what analysts think. Above-average institutional investors in this company support them. Sentiment signals remain mixed with analysts and news channels pessimistic, though improving, and professional investors above average. ...read more
Value Strategy: Nippon Steel Stock Price Value at the top
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 88 (better than 88% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Nippon Steel shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators that are all above average for Nippon Steel. Price-to-Sales is 81 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 81% of comparable companies, indicating a good value for Nippon Steel's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits, more favorable than for 90% of alternatives, and this is also true for the Price-to-Book capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 75. Compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields of Nippon Steel are expected to be higher than for 81% of all competitors (a Dividend Yield rank of 81). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 88, is a buy recommendation based on Nippon Steel's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since all value metrics are above the industry average, there is no objection to investing in Nippon Steel based on its detailed value metrics.
Growth Strategy: Nippon Steel Growth Momentum low
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 39 (better than 39% compared with alternatives), Nippon Steel shows a below-average growth dynamic in its industry. There is limited momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for Nippon Steel. Sales Growth has a below market rank of 37, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow less than 63% of its competitors. The same is valid for Capital Growth, with a rank of 32, and Profit Growth, with a rank of 27. Currently, professionals expect the company to grow its profits less than 73% of its competitors). Only shareholders are optimistic. Stock Returns are above average at a rank of 81, which means that the stock returns have recently been above 81% of alternative investments. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 39, is a hold recommendation for growth and momentum investors. That picture may be the result for a company that has reached the bottom. All went south for Nippon Steel, and it still looks bad, but some investors already see light at the end of the tunnel, rewarding the stock with recent above-market stock returns. It could also mean that investors are correcting an overreaction to negative news. If that were the case, the positive stock returns are not yet a sign of recovery. Investors should look closely at the Value and Sentiment indicators before they make a stock purchasing decision, because growth is unlikely to be the driving argument behind this investment. ...read more
Safety Strategy: Nippon Steel Debt Financing Safety above-average
| SAFETY METRICS | January 11, 2024 | |||||||
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| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 38 |
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| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 81 |
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| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 75 |
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| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 66 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 66 (better than 66% compared with alternatives), the company Nippon Steel has financing practices on the safer side, which mean that their overall debt burden is lower than average. This doesn't mean that the business of Nippon Steel is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with two out of three indicators above-average for Nippon Steel. Refinancing is at 81, meaning the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 81% of its competitors. Liquidity is also good at 75, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 75% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is safer when it comes to debt service. However, Leverage is rather large at 38, which means the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 62% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 66 (better than 66% compared with alternatives), Nippon Steel has a financing structure that is safer than that of its competitors. This is not bad if things go well. The higher debt level means better returns to shareholders if things go well. Many top-performing companies operate with higher debt levels, and Nippon Steel could be in that group. But if you expect the environment to turn rougher, the higher leverage could become a problem. The same is valid if you expect interest rates to rise. That could squeeze shareholder returns, which so far have benefitted from better conditions. ...read more
Combined financial peformance: Nippon Steel Above-Average Financial Performance
| COMBINED PERFORMANCE | January 11, 2024 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 88 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 39 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 75 |
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| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 72 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 72 (better than 72% compared with investment alternatives), Nippon Steel (Steel, Japan) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Nippon Steel are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 88 (better than 88% of alternatives), are safely financed (Safety Rank of 66, which means low debt burdens), but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 39). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 72, is a buy recommendation based on Nippon Steel's financial characteristics. As the company Nippon Steel's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 88) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 39) while being safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 66), it may be a safer investment because companies with low debt can better withstand times of crises. Yet the good value, better than 88% of comparable companies, may also indicate that the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity and the downside is limited due to below-average financing risks. ...read more
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