February 8, 2024
Top 10 Stock New York Community Bancorp Hold Recommendation



How to read the ranks

For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:

Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

Snapshot: New York Community Bancorp – Top 10 Stock in S&P Mid-Cap Index


ir.mynycb.com


New York Community Bancorp is listed as a top 10 stock on February 08, 2024 in the market index S&P MIDCAP because of its high performance in at least one of the Obermatt investment strategies. While half the consolidated Obermatt Ranks are above-average, investor sentiment is below average and thus a signal for caution. Based on the Obermatt 360° View of 38 (38% performer), Obermatt assesses an overall hold recommendation for New York Community Bancorp on February 08, 2024.


Snapshot: Obermatt Ranks


Country USA
Industry Thrifts & Mortgage Finance
Index Dividends USA, S&P MIDCAP
Size class XX-Large
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Top 10 Stocks ≠ most popular stocks

When Obermatt identifies the Top 10 stocks in a market, it’s based on a certain investment strategy. The best performing stocks usually aren’t the ones that everyone is talking about (those are often "over-priced" and have low Value ranks).

For each investment strategy, we provide you with more detailed analysis and our recommendation. You see the ranks of the top 10 stocks ranked by that particular investment strategy (360° View, Sentiment, Value, Growth, Safety and Combined Financial Performance).


360° View: Obermatt 360° View New York Community Bancorp Hold

360 METRICS February 8, 2024
VALUE
VALUE
GROWTH
GROWTH
SAFETY
SAFETY
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT
360° VIEW
360° VIEW

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt 360° View of 38 (better than 38% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and financial characteristics for the stock New York Community Bancorp are below the industry average. The 360° View is based on consolidating four consolidated indicators, with half of the metrics below and half above average for New York Community Bancorp. The consolidated Value Rank has an attractive rank of 100, which means that the share price of New York Community Bancorp is on the lower side compared with the typical size in indicators such as revenues, profits, and invested capital. This means the stock price is lower than for 100% of alternative stocks in the same industry. The consolidated Growth Rank has a good rank of 56, which means that the company experiences above-average growth momentum when looking at financial metrics such as revenue, profit, and invested capital growth as well as stock returns. But the professional market sentiment is below average compared with other stock investment alternatives with a Sentiment Rank of 6. Professional investors are more confident in 94% other stocks. Worryingly, the company has risky financing, with a Safety rank of 25. This means 75% of comparable companies have a safer financing structure than New York Community Bancorp. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated 360° View of 38, New York Community Bancorp is worse than 62% of all alternative stock investment opportunities based on the Obermatt Method. Even though half of the consolidated Obermatt Ranks are above-average, namely the Value Rank at 100 and the Growth Rank above-average at 56, the picture is still mixed. The professional investor community is skeptical, with the Sentiment Rank below-average at 6. In addition, the company financing structure is on the riskier side (Safety Rank of 25). Since the company is good value and the share price low, it should attract investors, yet professionals are skeptical. One may be tempted by above-average growth, but that could also change quickly, as past performance is not a good indicator of future performance. Since the financing structure is on the risky side, investors should be careful with this decision and conduct further research if they are serious about investing in this company. ...read more




Sentiment Strategy: Professional Market Sentiment for New York Community Bancorp negative

SENTIMENT METRICS February 8, 2024
ANALYST OPINION
ANALYST OPINION
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 6 (better than 6% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock New York Community Bancorp is critical, mostly below average. The Sentiment Rank is based on consolidating four sentiment indicators, with half of the metrics below and half above average for New York Community Bancorp. Analyst Opinions are at a rank of 32 (worse than 68% of alternative investments), which means that currently, stock research analysts tend to warn against investing in the stock of the company. Worse, Analyst Opinions Change has a rank of 2 which means that stock research experts are getting even more pessimistic. It doesn't end with the analysts. Market Pulse is also low with a rank of 3, which means that the current professional news and professional social networks are on the negative side when discussing this company (more negative news than for 97% of competitors). No wonder, the Professional Investors rank is only 14, which means that professional investors hold less stock in this company than in 86% of alternative investment opportunities. Pros tend to stay away from New York Community Bancorp, which may be due to a small company size but just as likely because of its relatively low Sentiment Rank. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Sentiment Rank of 6 (less encouraging than 94% compared with investment alternatives), New York Community Bancorp has a reputation among professional investors that is far below that of its competitors. Investors should be careful with this stock right now. Further research is required if an investment is desired, because the facts found in the professional community are all negative. ...read more



Value Strategy: New York Community Bancorp Stock Price Value at the top

VALUE METRICS February 8, 2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 100 (better than 100% compared with alternatives) for 2024, New York Community Bancorp shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators that are all above average for New York Community Bancorp. Price-to-Sales is 97 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 97% of comparable companies, indicating a good value for New York Community Bancorp's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits, more favorable than for 100% of alternatives, and this is also true for the Price-to-Book capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 97. Compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields of New York Community Bancorp are expected to be higher than for 77% of all competitors (a Dividend Yield rank of 77). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 100, is a buy recommendation based on New York Community Bancorp's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since all value metrics are above the industry average, there is no objection to investing in New York Community Bancorp based on its detailed value metrics.



Growth Strategy: New York Community Bancorp Growth Momentum good

GROWTH METRICS February 8, 2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 56 (better than 56% compared with alternatives), New York Community Bancorp shows an above-average growth dynamic in its industry. Investors also speak of positive momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, where half of the indicators are below and half above average for New York Community Bancorp. Profit Growth, with a rank of 59 (better than 59% of its competitors), and Capital Growth, with a rank of 93, are both positive, which is a healthy sign for positive development. But Sales Growth has only a rank of 44, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow less than 56% of its competitors, and Stock Returns are at a rank of 5. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 56, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Stock returns that are a thing of the past can be less of a problem. Below-average revenue growth may be caused by divestments of underperforming businesses. If that is the case, then the positive developments of profit and capital growth are signs of a company with growth potential. If these are the reasons, overall growth is well on track to making this stock attractive for growth investors. ...read more



Safety Strategy: New York Community Bancorp Debt Financing Safety below-average

SAFETY METRICS February 8, 2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE
REFINANCING
REFINANCING
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 25 (better than 25% compared with alternatives), the company New York Community Bancorp has financing practices on the riskier side, which means that their overall debt burden is above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of New York Community Bancorp is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with just one indicator above average for New York Community Bancorp and the other two below average. Refinancing is at 74, meaning the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 74% of its competitors. But Leverage is high with a rank of 5, meaning the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 95% of its competitors. Liquidity is also on the riskier side with a rank of 41, meaning the company generates less profit to service its debt than 59% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 25 (worse than 75% compared with alternatives), New York Community Bancorp has a financing structure that is riskier than that of its competitors. A good Refinancing Rank means that the problems of the company may not be around the corner. But high Leverage is only good if things go well, and low Liquidity is a signal for caution. The financing signals for New York Community Bancorp are on the riskier side, requiring the company's future to be on the safer side. Investors may want to look at Growth and Sentiment ranks before making an investment decision. ...read more



Combined financial peformance: New York Community Bancorp Above-Average Financial Performance

COMBINED PERFORMANCE February 8, 2024
VALUE
VALUE
GROWTH
GROWTH
SAFETY
SAFETY
COMBINED
COMBINED

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 64 (better than 64% compared with investment alternatives), New York Community Bancorp (Thrifts & Mortgage Finance, USA) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of New York Community Bancorp are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 100 (better than 100% of alternatives), show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 56) but are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 25), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 64, is a buy recommendation based on New York Community Bancorp's financial characteristics. As the company New York Community Bancorp's key financial metrics exhibit excellent performance in two areas, such as good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 100) and above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 56), it could be argued that the risk-taking in financing (Obermatt Safety Rank of only 25) indicates that the company is optimistic about the future and sees debt as an opportunity to boost returns. More debt means more shareholder returns if everything goes well. However, higher debt burdens are risky when interest rates rise or the business deteriorates in a crisis. If you believe the company's future is market-typical or even better, this could be an argument for a share purchase. ...read more

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