July 13, 2023
Top 10 Stock MTN Strong Buy Recommendation
How to read the ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Snapshot: MTN – Top 10 Stock in Telecommunications
MTN is listed as a top 10 stock on July 13, 2023 in the market index Telecommunications because of its high performance in at least one of the Obermatt investment strategies. As all consolidated Obermatt Ranks exhibit excellent performance, including positive market sentiment in the professional investor community, it is a solid stock investment where the risk of paying too much for the shares is limited. Based on the Obermatt 360° View of 82 (top 82% performer), Obermatt assesses an overall strong buy recommendation for MTN on July 13, 2023.
Snapshot: Obermatt Ranks
| Country | South Africa |
| Industry | Wireless Telecommunication |
| Index | Artificial Intelligence, Low Emissions, Good Governace Growth Markets, Independent Boards Growth Markets, Telecommunications, JSE All Shares |
| Size class | XX-Large |
When Obermatt identifies the Top 10 stocks in a market, it’s based on a certain investment strategy. The best performing stocks usually aren’t the ones that everyone is talking about (those are often "over-priced" and have low Value ranks).
For each investment strategy, we provide you with more detailed analysis and our recommendation. You see the ranks of the top 10 stocks ranked by that particular investment strategy (360° View, Sentiment, Value, Growth, Safety and Combined Financial Performance).
360° View: Obermatt 360° View MTN Strong Buy
| 360 METRICS | July 13, 2023 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 76 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 59 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 58 |
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| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | 64 |
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| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | 82 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt 360° View of 82 (better than 82% compared with alternatives) for 2023, overall professional sentiment and financial characteristics for the stock MTN are very positive. The 360° View is based on consolidating four consolidated indicators, with all four indicators above average for MTN. The consolidated Value Rank has an attractive rank of 76, which means that the share price of MTN is on the lower side compared with the typical size in indicators such as revenues, profits, and invested capital. This means the stock price is lower than for 76% of alternative stocks in the same industry. The consolidated Growth Rank has a good rank of 59, which means that the company experiences above-average growth momentum when looking at financial metrics such as revenue, profit, and invested capital growth as well as stock returns. The company is also safely financed with a Safety rank of 58. Finally, professional market sentiment is above average compared with other stock investment alternatives with a Sentiment Rank of 64. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated 360° View of 82, MTN is better positioned than 82% of all alternative stock investment opportunities based on the Obermatt Method. As all consolidated Obermatt Ranks exhibit excellent performance, such as good value (Value Rank of 76), above-average growth (Growth Rank of 59), safe financing practices (Safety Rank of 58), and a positive market sentiment in the professional investor community (Sentiment Rank of 64), it is a solid stock investment where the risk of paying too much for the shares is limited and disappointments are less likely to occur, unless information not publicly available. High-Value Ranks sometimes indicate that the company's future is challenging. If they are safely financed and have above average growth, and are still a good value, it may indicate that this will not continue. We recommend evaluating whether the future of MTN is as difficult as the stock’s low price, despite what good growth and safe financing practice suggest. Since the professional community is optimistic, you might have less to worry about, and the stock is just not sufficiently visible, which may indicate good timing right now. ...read more
Sentiment Strategy: Professional Market Sentiment for MTN positive
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 64 (better than 64% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock MTN is above average. The Sentiment Rank is based on consolidating four sentiment indicators, with half of the metrics below and half above average for MTN. Analyst Opinions are at a rank of 41 (worse than 59% of alternative investments), which means that currently, stock research analysts tend to warn against investing in the stock of the company. But they are changing their opinions! Analyst Opinions Change has a rank of 50, which means that stock research experts are more positive in their investment recommendations in the company. In other words, they are getting more optimistic of stock investments in MTN. More encouragingly, the Professional Investors rank is 80, which means that professional investors hold more stock in this company than in 80% of alternative investment opportunities. Pros tend to favor investing in this company. But Market Pulse is on the lower side with a rank of 45, which means that the current professional news and professional social networks are on the negative side when discussing this company (more negative news than for 55% of competitors). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Sentiment Rank of 64 (more positive than 64% compared with investment alternatives), MTN has a reputation among professional investors that is above-average compared with that of its competitors. The sentiment signals are mixed for MTN. While analysts and the news channels are negative, there is a change in what analysts think. Above-average institutional investors in this company support them. Sentiment signals remain mixed with analysts and news channels pessimistic, though improving, and professional investors above average. ...read more
Value Strategy: MTN Stock Price Value at the top
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 76 (better than 76% compared with alternatives) for 2023, MTN shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators above average for MTN. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 70, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 70% of comparable companies, indicating a good value regarding MTN's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price to Profits (or Price / Earnings, P/E), more favorable than for 80% of alternatives, and it's also true for the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 59. But, compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields are expected to be lower than average; only 47% of all competitors have even lower dividend yields than MTN (a Dividend Yield Rank of 47). 53% alternative investments in the same business provide a higher dividend yield. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 76, is a buy recommendation based on MTN's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. The below-average dividend yield may be a good sign, as it could mean the company has more attractive investment opportunities for the generated cash than to pay it out as dividends. A low dividend yield can also indicate a growth phase. ...read more
Growth Strategy: MTN Growth Momentum good
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 59 (better than 59% compared with alternatives), MTN shows an above-average growth dynamic in its industry. Investors also speak of positive momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all but one indicator above average for MTN. Sales Growth has a value of 53 which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow more than 53% of its competitors. Profit Growth with a value of 62 and Capital Growth with a rank of 52 means that currently, professionals expect the company to grow both profits and invested capital more than of its competitors. But Stock Returns has only a rank of 45, which means that stock returns have recently been below 55% of alternative investments. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 59, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. MTN has only one below-average growth indicator, the stock returns. This is probably the least reliable growth indicator, because it measures company and investor expectations at the same time. The three other growth indicators, which are all positive for MTN, are more reliable measures of growth momentum. For this reason, the company seems to be on a good trajectory, unless you think the current period is not representative, because of unique events that will not be repeated in the future. ...read more
Safety Strategy: MTN Debt Financing Safety above-average
| SAFETY METRICS | July 13, 2023 | |||||||
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| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 49 |
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| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 54 |
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| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 59 |
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| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 58 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 58 (better than 58% compared with alternatives), the company MTN has financing practices on the safer side, which mean that their overall debt burden is lower than average. This doesn't mean that the business of MTN is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with two out of three indicators above-average for MTN. Refinancing is at 54, meaning the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 54% of its competitors. Liquidity is also good at 59, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 59% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is safer when it comes to debt service. However, Leverage is rather large at 49, which means the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 51% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 58 (better than 58% compared with alternatives), MTN has a financing structure that is safer than that of its competitors. This is not bad if things go well. The higher debt level means better returns to shareholders if things go well. Many top-performing companies operate with higher debt levels, and MTN could be in that group. But if you expect the environment to turn rougher, the higher leverage could become a problem. The same is valid if you expect interest rates to rise. That could squeeze shareholder returns, which so far have benefitted from better conditions. ...read more
Combined financial peformance: MTN Top Financial Performance
| COMBINED PERFORMANCE | July 13, 2023 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 76 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 59 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 59 |
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| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 77 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 77 (better than 77% compared with investment alternatives), MTN (Wireless Telecommunication, South Africa) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of MTN are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 76 (better than 76% of alternatives), show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 59), and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 58), which means low debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 77, is a strong buy recommendation based on MTN's financial characteristics. As the company MTN's key financial metrics all exhibit excellent performance, such as good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 76), above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 59), and indicate that the company is safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 58), it is a solid stock investment where the risk of paying too much for the share is limited, unless the company has a bleak future. Such good financial performance can indicate that the company's future might actually be challenging, as it may be difficult to maintain the good performance. If they are safely financed and have been growing above average, and are still a good value, it means that the market is keeping prices low, for a reason which may become clearer over time. We recommend evaluating the future of MTN. If you believe the company's future is market-typical or even better, this could be an argument for a share purchase. ...read more
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