January 11, 2024
Top 10 Stock MS&AD Insurance Hold Recommendation
How to read the ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Snapshot: MS&AD Insurance – Top 10 Stock in Tokyo Stock Exchange TOPIX 100
MS&AD Insurance is listed as a top 10 stock on January 11, 2024 in the market index TOPIX 100 because of its high performance in at least one of the Obermatt investment strategies. As three out of four consolidated Obermatt Ranks exhibit excellent performance, it is a solid investment from a financial fact perspective where only investor sentiment is a reason for caution. Based on the Obermatt 360° View of 44 (44% performer), Obermatt assesses an overall hold recommendation for MS&AD Insurance on January 11, 2024.
Snapshot: Obermatt Ranks
| Country | Japan |
| Industry | Property & Casualty Insurance |
| Index | TOPIX 100, Nikkei 225 |
| Size class | XX-Large |
When Obermatt identifies the Top 10 stocks in a market, it’s based on a certain investment strategy. The best performing stocks usually aren’t the ones that everyone is talking about (those are often "over-priced" and have low Value ranks).
For each investment strategy, we provide you with more detailed analysis and our recommendation. You see the ranks of the top 10 stocks ranked by that particular investment strategy (360° View, Sentiment, Value, Growth, Safety and Combined Financial Performance).
360° View: Obermatt 360° View MS&AD Insurance Hold
| 360 METRICS | January 11, 2024 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 69 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 61 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 67 |
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| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | 9 |
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| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | 44 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt 360° View of 44 (better than 44% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and financial characteristics for the stock MS&AD Insurance are below the industry average. The 360° View is based on consolidating four consolidated indicators, with three out of four indicators above average for MS&AD Insurance. The consolidated Value Rank has an attractive rank of 69, which means that the share price of MS&AD Insurance is on the lower side compared with the typical size in indicators such as revenues, profits, and invested capital. This means the stock price is lower than for 69% of alternative stocks in the same industry. The consolidated Growth Rank has a good rank of 61, which means that the company experiences above-average growth momentum when looking at financial metrics such as revenue, profit, and invested capital growth, as well as stock returns. The company is also safely financed with a Safety Rank of 67. But the professional market sentiment is below average compared with other stock investment alternatives with a Sentiment Rank of only 9. Professional investors are more confident in 91% other stocks. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated 360° View of 44, MS&AD Insurance is worse than 56% of all alternative stock investment opportunities based on the Obermatt Method. As three out of four consolidated Obermatt Ranks exhibit excellent performance, such as good value (Value Rank of 69), above-average growth (Growth Rank of 61), and safe financing practices (Safety Rank of 67), it is a solid stock investment where the risk of paying too much for the shares is limited, and disappointments are less likely, unless information not publicly available. Only the professional market sentiment is on the riskier side (Sentiment Rank of 9), but that could also mean an overreaction to negative news in the past. Good value is sometimes an indication that the company's future is challenging. If they have been enjoying above average growth and are still a good value, this may not continue. We recommend evaluating whether the future of MS&AD Insurance is as challenging as the low price of the stock despite good growth and safe financing practices suggest. Since the professional community is pessimistic, you may want to reflect these negative opinions in light of what you find reasonable to expect for the future. If you believe this pessimistic view is transitory, you have a solid investment case based on current financial factors. ...read more
Sentiment Strategy: Professional Market Sentiment for MS&AD Insurance negative
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 9 (better than 9% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock MS&AD Insurance is critical, mostly below average. The Sentiment Rank is based on consolidating four sentiment indicators, with three out of four metrics below average for MS&AD Insurance. Analyst Opinions are at a rank of 34 (worse than 66% of alternative investments), which means that currently, stock research analysts tend to warn against investing in the stock of the company. But they are changing their opinions! Analyst Opinions Change has a rank of 50, which means that stock research experts have found something to make them more positive about investing in the company. In other words, they are getting more optimistic of stock investments in MS&AD Insurance. But the Professional Investors rank is low at 34, which means that professional investors hold less stock in this company than in 66% of alternative investment opportunities. Pros tend to invest in other companies. Market Pulse is also low at a rank of 22, which means that the current professional news and professional social networks tend to be negative when discussing this company (more negative news than for 78% of competitors). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Sentiment Rank of 9 (less encouraging than 91% compared with investment alternatives), MS&AD Insurance has a reputation among professional investors that is far below that of its competitors. These are quite a few negative sentiment signals. One may want to trust the analysts that are changing their opinions. They may be early indications of better times, especially if the company is a smaller one. But If they are an extra large company, they should have more professional stockholders than are currently present. ...read more
Value Strategy: MS&AD Insurance Stock Price Value better than average
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 69 (better than 69% compared with alternatives), MS&AD Insurance shares are more attractively priced than the majority of comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators that are all above average for MS&AD Insurance. Price-to-Sales is 83 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 83% of comparable companies, indicating a good value for MS&AD Insurance's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits, more favorable than for 62% of alternatives, and this is also true for the Price-to-Book capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 69. Compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields of MS&AD Insurance are expected to be higher than for 60% of all competitors (a Dividend Yield rank of 60). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 69, is a buy recommendation based on MS&AD Insurance's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since all value metrics are above the industry average, there is no objection to investing in MS&AD Insurance based on its detailed value metrics.
Growth Strategy: MS&AD Insurance Growth Momentum good
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 61 (better than 61% compared with alternatives), MS&AD Insurance shows an above-average growth dynamic in its industry. Investors also speak of positive momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for MS&AD Insurance. Profit Growth has a rank of 82, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its profits more than 82% of its competitors. This is a good sign for shareholders, which is confirmed by an above-average Stock Returns rank of 91 (above 91% of alternative investments). But Sales Growth has a below the median rank of 26, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow less than 74% of its competitors, and Capital Growth also has a lower rank of 25. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 61, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Because revenues and invested capital are the more solid growth indicators, the positive development on the profit side is less relevant. It may have been caused by cost-cutting, which may be a negative growth indicator. Finally, the above-average stock returns recently are a thing of the past and not a good indicator of future returns. Investors should be confident that the cost-cutting initiative leading to higher profits is to benefit the company's future. If not, there is little growth momentum, and investment is only advisable if the Value Ranks suggest a good investment timing for MS&AD Insurance. ...read more
Safety Strategy: MS&AD Insurance Debt Financing Safety above-average
| SAFETY METRICS | January 11, 2024 | |||||||
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| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 65 |
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| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 17 |
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| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 78 |
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| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 67 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 67 (better than 67% compared with alternatives), the company MS&AD Insurance has financing practices on the safer side, which mean that their overall debt burden is lower than average. This doesn't mean that the business of MS&AD Insurance is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with two out of three indicators above average for MS&AD Insurance. Leverage is at a rank of 65, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 65% of its competitors. Liquidity is also good at a rank of 78, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 78% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the safer side when it comes to debt service. But Refinancing is lower at a rank of 17, which means that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is above-average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 83% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 67 (better than 67% compared with alternatives), MS&AD Insurance has a financing structure that is safer than that of its competitors. The refinancing issues could be a short-term problem, especially if the company has reputation issues. Banks and investors don't like to refinance debt if there are clouds on the horizon. For this reason, investors should look at the refinancing environment for MS&AD Insurance. Does it look safe that debt that is coming due can be covered with new debt? If that is the case, then the financing situation of the company is on the safer side. If not, it may be better to wait until refinancing has been completed and the Refinancing rank is good again. ...read more
Combined financial peformance: MS&AD Insurance Top Financial Performance
| COMBINED PERFORMANCE | January 11, 2024 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 69 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 61 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 78 |
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| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 94 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 94 (better than 94% compared with investment alternatives), MS&AD Insurance (Property & Casualty Insurance, Japan) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of MS&AD Insurance are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 69 (better than 69% of alternatives), show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 61), and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 67), which means low debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 94, is a strong buy recommendation based on MS&AD Insurance's financial characteristics. As the company MS&AD Insurance's key financial metrics all exhibit excellent performance, such as good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 69), above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 61), and indicate that the company is safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 67), it is a solid stock investment where the risk of paying too much for the share is limited, unless the company has a bleak future. Such good financial performance can indicate that the company's future might actually be challenging, as it may be difficult to maintain the good performance. If they are safely financed and have been growing above average, and are still a good value, it means that the market is keeping prices low, for a reason which may become clearer over time. We recommend evaluating the future of MS&AD Insurance. If you believe the company's future is market-typical or even better, this could be an argument for a share purchase. ...read more
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