November 30, 2023
Top 10 Stock Moog Buy Recommendation
How to read the ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Snapshot: Moog – Top 10 Stock in Dow Jones U.S. Aerospace & Defense Index
Moog is listed as a top 10 stock on November 30, 2023 in the market index D.J. US Defense because of its high performance in at least one of the Obermatt investment strategies. Two consolidated Obermatt Ranks are above-average. While the company shows high growth, the stock price is high yet professional investor sentiment is low, which may be due to overly optimistic investor behavior, reflected in a low stock price value. Based on the Obermatt 360° View of 67 (high 67% performer), Obermatt assesses an overall buy recommendation for Moog on November 30, 2023.
Snapshot: Obermatt Ranks
| Country | USA |
| Industry | Aerospace & Defense |
| Index | Human Rights, D.J. US Defense |
| Size class | X-Large |
When Obermatt identifies the Top 10 stocks in a market, it’s based on a certain investment strategy. The best performing stocks usually aren’t the ones that everyone is talking about (those are often "over-priced" and have low Value ranks).
For each investment strategy, we provide you with more detailed analysis and our recommendation. You see the ranks of the top 10 stocks ranked by that particular investment strategy (360° View, Sentiment, Value, Growth, Safety and Combined Financial Performance).
360° View: Obermatt 360° View Moog Buy
| 360 METRICS | November 30, 2023 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 43 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 91 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 50 |
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| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | 39 |
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| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | 67 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt 360° View of 67 (better than 67% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and financial characteristics for the stock Moog are above average. The 360° View is based on consolidating four consolidated indicators, with half of the metrics below and half above average for Moog. The consolidated Growth Rank has a good rank of 91, which means that the company experiences above-average growth momentum when looking at financial metrics such as revenue, profit, and invested capital growth as well as stock returns. This means that growth is higher than for 91% of competitors in the same industry. In addition, the consolidated Safety Rank has a safer rank of 50 which means that the company has a financing structure that is safer than 50% comparable companies when looking at the amount of its debt, its refinancing requirements, and its ability to service debt. But the consolidated Value Rank has a less desirable rank of 43 which means that the share price of Moog is on the higher side compared with typical size in indicators such as revenues, profits, and invested capital. This means that the stock price is higher than for 57% of alternative stocks in the same industry. The consolidated Sentiment Rank also has a low rank of 39, which means that professional investors are more pessimistic about the stock than for 61% of alternative investment opportunities. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated 360° View of 67, Moog is better positioned than 67% of all alternative stock investment opportunities based on the Obermatt Method. As only half of the consolidated Obermatt Ranks exhibit excellent performance, the picture is ambiguous. Growth is above-average (Growth Rank of 91), and the company is safely financed (Safety Rank of 50). However, professional market sentiment is low(Sentiment Rank of 39). The negative market view on Moog may be due to the high stock price (low value). A growth company like this may get too expensive at one point in time. If too many investors are desperate to board the train, they may drive stock prices above reasonable levels. It is typical for growth companies to have low value ratings, because investors are willing to pay more for companies that outperform their competitors. So the question is, how much more do you pay for the stock of Moog compared with alternatives? You can use the following rule of thumb: The value rank shouldn’t be lower than one hundred minus the growth rank. For example, if the growth rank is at 75, and the value rank is at 5, you should tread carefully. If the value rank is at 40, it still might be a good value if the value rank is above 60. As market sentiment is low, you should be careful with paying more than market-average for this stock and conduct further research into the company’s future growth potential. ...read more
Sentiment Strategy: Professional Market Sentiment for Moog only reserved
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 39 (better than 39% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock Moog is below industry average. The Sentiment Rank is based on consolidating four sentiment indicators, with all but one indicator above average for Moog. Analyst Opinions are at a rank of 51 (better than 51% of alternative investments), which means that, currently, stock research analysts tend to recommend a stock investment in the company. In addition, Analyst Opinions Change has a rank of 50, which means that stock research experts are changing their opinions for the better in recommending investing in the company. In other words, they are getting even more optimistic about investments in Moog. Finally, the Professional Investors rank is 61, which means that currently, professional investors hold more stock in this company than in 61% of alternative investment opportunities. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Sentiment Rank of 39 (less encouraging than 61% compared with investment alternatives), Moog has a reputation among professional investors that is below that of its competitors. Pros tend to favor investing in this company. But there is also a signal for caution. Market Pulse has a rank of 19, which means that the current professional news and professional social networks tend to be negative when discussing this company (more negative news than for 81% of competitors). This could mean future risks and should make investors careful. Attention to negative news for Moog is worthwhile because they may be early warning signals. Without those, all other professional signals are encouraging, especially since analysts are getting more optimistic. ...read more
Value Strategy: Moog Stock Price Value below-average critical
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 43 (worse than 57% compared with alternatives), Moog shares are more expensive than the average comparable stock. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for Moog. Only the metric dividend yield has an above-average rank, reflecting that dividend practices are expected to be higher than 63% of comparable companies, making the stock an attractive buy for dividend investors. However, dividend investors may get disappointed because all other critical financial indicators are below the market median: Price-to-Sales is 48 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is higher than 52% of comparable companies, indicating a low value concerning Moog's sales levels. The same is valid for Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price-earnings, P/E) with a rank of 34 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profit levels is higher than 66% of comparable companies. In addition, Price-to-Book (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Book Rank of 45 is also low. Compared with invested capital, the stock price is higher than for 55% of comparable investments. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 43, is a hold recommendation based on Moog's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Should dividend investors pick Moog? The company-reported financials speak against it. The company is expensive compared with revenue and invested capital levels, two reliable company size indicators. In addition, it currently has a low level of profits. How can future dividends be paid in the case that profits remain low? Dividend investors should choose Moog only if they reasonably expect the low current profit levels to be transitory. ...read more
Growth Strategy: Moog Growth Momentum high
| GROWTH METRICS | November 30, 2023 | |||||||
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| REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
| REVENUE GROWTH | 35 |
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| PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
| PROFIT GROWTH | 85 |
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| CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
| CAPITAL GROWTH | 77 |
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| STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
| STOCK RETURNS | 93 |
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| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 91 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 91 (better than 91% compared with alternatives) for 2023, Moog shows one of the highest growth dynamics in its industry. Investors also speak of high momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all but one indicator above average for Moog. Profit Growth has a rank of 85 which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its profits more than 85% of its competitors. The same is valid for capital growth and stock returns. Capital Growth has a rank of 77, and Stock Returns has a rank of 93 which means that the stock returns have recently been above 93% of alternative investments. Only revenue growth is low with a Sales Growth has a rank of 35 (65% of its competitors are better). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 91, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. The many positive growth indicators indicate a positive growth momentum with only low revenue growth. That can also be attributed to divestments or the sale of unprofitable businesses. If that is the reason, overall growth is well on track to making this stock attractive for growth investors. ...read more
Safety Strategy: Moog Debt Financing Safety above-average
| SAFETY METRICS | November 30, 2023 | |||||||
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| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 46 |
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| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 66 |
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| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 41 |
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| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 50 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 50 (better than 50% compared with alternatives), the company Moog has financing practices on the safer side, which mean that their overall debt burden is lower than average. This doesn't mean that the business of Moog is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with just one indicator above average for Moog and the other two below average. Refinancing is at 66, meaning the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 66% of its competitors. But Leverage is high with a rank of 46, meaning the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 54% of its competitors. Liquidity is also on the riskier side with a rank of 41, meaning the company generates less profit to service its debt than 59% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 50 (better than 50% compared with alternatives), Moog has a financing structure that is safer than that of its competitors. A good Refinancing Rank means that the problems of the company may not be around the corner. But high Leverage is only good if things go well, and low Liquidity is a signal for caution. The financing signals for Moog are on the riskier side, requiring the company's future to be on the safer side. Investors may want to look at Growth and Sentiment ranks before making an investment decision. ...read more
Combined financial peformance: Moog Top Financial Performance
| COMBINED PERFORMANCE | November 30, 2023 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 43 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 91 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 41 |
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| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 78 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 78 (better than 78% compared with investment alternatives), Moog (Aerospace & Defense, USA) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of Moog are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 43 (worse than 57% of alternatives). But they show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 91) and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 50, which means below-average debt burdens). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 78, is a strong buy recommendation based on Moog's financial characteristics. Investors looking for growth and low financial risk may find this stock attractive. While the company Moog exhibits low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 43), which means that the stock price is rather high, it also demonstrates above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 91). This is a typical case, as high-growth companies are often expensive. Good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 50) are a double-edged sword: if the company continues growing, low debt limits shareholder returns. But if the company increases its debt, it will also increase risk. In other words, this is an investment on the safer side, despite the above-average price (low value). ...read more
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