August 10, 2023
Top 10 Stock Megaworld Strong Buy Recommendation
How to read the ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Snapshot: Megaworld – Top 10 Stock in Real Estate in Growth Markets
Megaworld is listed as a top 10 stock on August 10, 2023 in the market index R/E Growth Markets because of its high performance in at least one of the Obermatt investment strategies. As three out of four consolidated Obermatt Ranks exhibit excellent performance, it is a solid investment where the risk of paying too much for the shares is low, despite a currently slow growth momentum. Based on the Obermatt 360° View of 88 (top 88% performer), Obermatt assesses an overall strong buy recommendation for Megaworld on August 10, 2023.
Snapshot: Obermatt Ranks
| Country | Philippines |
| Industry | Real Estate Development |
| Index | Low Waste, R/E Growth Markets |
| Size class | Large |
When Obermatt identifies the Top 10 stocks in a market, it’s based on a certain investment strategy. The best performing stocks usually aren’t the ones that everyone is talking about (those are often "over-priced" and have low Value ranks).
For each investment strategy, we provide you with more detailed analysis and our recommendation. You see the ranks of the top 10 stocks ranked by that particular investment strategy (360° View, Sentiment, Value, Growth, Safety and Combined Financial Performance).
360° View: Obermatt 360° View Megaworld Strong Buy
| 360 METRICS | August 10, 2023 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 88 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 29 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 98 |
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| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | 76 |
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| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | 88 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt 360° View of 88 (better than 88% compared with alternatives) for 2023, overall professional sentiment and financial characteristics for the stock Megaworld are very positive. The 360° View is based on consolidating four consolidated indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Megaworld. The consolidated Value Rank has an attractive rank of 88, which means that the share price of Megaworld is on the lower side compared with typical size in indicators such as revenues, profits, and invested capital. This means the stock price is lower than for 88% of alternative stocks in the same industry. The company is also safely financed with a Safety rank of 98. In addition, professional market sentiment is above average compared with other stock investment alternatives with a Sentiment Rank of 76. But the consolidated Growth Rank has a low rank of 29, which means that the company is below average in terms of growth and momentum when looking at financial metrics such as revenue, profit, and invested capital growth as well as stock returns. 71 of its competitors have better growth. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated 360° View of 88, Megaworld is better positioned than 88% of all alternative stock investment opportunities based on the Obermatt Method. Three out of four consolidated Obermatt Ranks show above-average performance. The stock has as good value (Value Rank of 88), secure financing practices (Safety Rank of 98), and positive market sentiment in the professional investor community (Sentiment Rank of 76). It is a solid stock investment where the risk of paying too much for the shares is limited, and disappointments are less likely to occur. The company’s growth expectations are below the industry average (Growth Rank of 29), but that could also be temporary since professional investors remain optimistic despite the low growth numbers. The low price as reflected in the good Value Rank could indicate that the company's future is challenging. The below-par growth performance may be the reason for this. Companies that grow less are typically cheaper than fast-growing competitors. We recommend evaluating whether the future of Megaworld is as difficult as the stock’s low price suggests, despite the positive professional investor sentiment. Since the professional community is optimistic, you might have less to worry about, and the stock may just go through a more challenging phase now, indicating good timing. ...read more
Sentiment Strategy: Professional Market Sentiment for Megaworld very positive
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 76 (better than 76% compared with alternatives) for 2023, overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock Megaworld is very positive. The Sentiment Rank is based on consolidating four sentiment indicators, with all but one indicator above average for Megaworld. Analyst Opinions are at a rank of 49 (worse than 51% of alternative investments), which means that currently, stock research analysts tend to warn against investing in the stock of the company. But they are changing their opinions! Analyst Opinions Change has a rank of 60, which indicates a shift in stock research experts opinions for the better. In other words, they are getting more optimistic about stock investments in Megaworld. Even better, the Professional Investors rank is 57, meaning that professional investors hold more stock in this company than in 57% of alternative investment opportunities. Pros tend to favor investing in this company. Furthermore, Market Pulse has a rank of 91, which means that the current professional news and professional social networks are upbeat when discussing this company (more positive news than for 91% of competitors). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Sentiment Rank of 76 (more positive than 76% compared with investment alternatives), Megaworld has a reputation among professional investors that is significantly higher than that of its competitors. While analysts are still critical of the company, some are changing their minds. In addition, the professional news channels are optimistic, and many institutional investors have already bought stock in the company. These are encouraging signals, despite the still lower level of analyst recommendations. They may be due to a problematic past, and about to change. The positive sentiment signals are stronger than the negative. ...read more
Value Strategy: Megaworld Stock Price Value at the top
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 88 (better than 88% compared with alternatives) for 2023, Megaworld shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators that are all above average for Megaworld. Price-to-Sales is 87 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 87% of comparable companies, indicating a good value for Megaworld's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits, more favorable than for 93% of alternatives, and this is also true for the Price-to-Book capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 97. Compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields of Megaworld are expected to be higher than for 57% of all competitors (a Dividend Yield rank of 57). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 88, is a buy recommendation based on Megaworld's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since all value metrics are above the industry average, there is no objection to investing in Megaworld based on its detailed value metrics.
Growth Strategy: Megaworld Growth Momentum low
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 29 (better than 29% compared with alternatives), Megaworld shows a below-average growth dynamic in its industry. There is limited momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, where half of the indicators are below and half above average for Megaworld. Profit Growth, with a rank of 55 (better than 55% of its competitors), and Capital Growth, with a rank of 56, are both positive, which is a healthy sign for positive development. But Sales Growth has only a rank of 42, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow less than 58% of its competitors, and Stock Returns are at a rank of 21. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 29, is a hold recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Stock returns that are a thing of the past can be less of a problem. Below-average revenue growth may be caused by divestments of underperforming businesses. If that is the case, then the positive developments of profit and capital growth are signs of a company with growth potential. If these are the reasons, overall growth is well on track to making this stock attractive for growth investors. ...read more
Safety Strategy: Megaworld Debt Financing Safety very solid
| SAFETY METRICS | August 10, 2023 | |||||||
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| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 67 |
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| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 94 |
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| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 83 |
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| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 98 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 98 (better than 98% compared with alternatives) for 2023, the company Megaworld has safe financing practices, which means that their overall debt burden is low. This doesn't mean that the business of Megaworld is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, where all three are above average for Megaworld. Leverage is at 67, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 67% of its competitors. Refinancing is at a rank of 94, meaning that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 94% of its competitors. Finally, Liquidity is also good at a rank of 83, which means that the company generates more profit to service its debt than 83% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 98 (better than 98% compared with alternatives), Megaworld has a financing structure that is significantly safer than that of its competitors. These three positive financing indicators signal that the company is less likely to default on its debt obligations. However, it also means that its shareholder returns will be more modest if things go well. A low safety means fewer troubles in downtimes and less upside in good times. ...read more
Combined financial peformance: Megaworld Top Financial Performance
| COMBINED PERFORMANCE | August 10, 2023 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 88 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 29 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 83 |
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| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 82 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 82 (better than 82% compared with investment alternatives), Megaworld (Real Estate Development, Philippines) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of Megaworld are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 88 (better than 88% of alternatives), are safely financed (Safety Rank of 98, which means low debt burdens), but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 29). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 82, is a strong buy recommendation based on Megaworld's financial characteristics. As the company Megaworld's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 88) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 29) while being safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 98), it may be a safer investment because companies with low debt can better withstand times of crises. Yet the good value, better than 88% of comparable companies, may also indicate that the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity and the downside is limited due to below-average financing risks. ...read more
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