November 9, 2023
Top 10 Stock Mayr-Melnhof Karton Sell Recommendation
How to read the ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Snapshot: Mayr-Melnhof Karton – Top 10 Stock in Austrian Traded Index ATX
Mayr-Melnhof Karton is listed as a top 10 stock on November 09, 2023 in the market index ATX because of its high performance in at least one of the Obermatt investment strategies. While half the consolidated Obermatt Ranks are above-average, investor sentiment is negative and growth performance is below market average, both a sign for caution. Based on the Obermatt 360° View of 22 (22% performer), Obermatt issues an overall sell recommendation for Mayr-Melnhof Karton on November 09, 2023.
Snapshot: Obermatt Ranks
When Obermatt identifies the Top 10 stocks in a market, it’s based on a certain investment strategy. The best performing stocks usually aren’t the ones that everyone is talking about (those are often "over-priced" and have low Value ranks).
For each investment strategy, we provide you with more detailed analysis and our recommendation. You see the ranks of the top 10 stocks ranked by that particular investment strategy (360° View, Sentiment, Value, Growth, Safety and Combined Financial Performance).
360° View: Obermatt 360° View Mayr-Melnhof Karton Sell
| 360 METRICS | November 9, 2023 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 70 |
|
||||||
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 11 |
|
||||||
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 56 |
|
||||||
| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | 18 |
|
||||||
| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | 22 |
|
||||||
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt 360° View of 22 (better than 22% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and financial characteristics for the stock Mayr-Melnhof Karton are critical, mostly below average. The 360° View is based on consolidating four consolidated indicators, with half the metrics below and half above average for Mayr-Melnhof Karton. The consolidated Value Rank has an attractive rank of 70, which means that the share price of Mayr-Melnhof Karton is on the lower side compared with the typical size in indicators such as revenues, profits, and invested capital. This means the stock price is lower than for 70% of alternative stocks in the same industry. The company is also safely financed with a Safety rank of 56. But the professional market sentiment is below average compared with other stock investment alternatives with a Sentiment Rank of 18. Professional investors are more confident in 82% other stocks. The consolidated Growth Rank also has a low rank of 11, which means that the company is below average in terms of growth momentum when looking at financial metrics such as revenue, profit, invested capital growth, and stock returns. 89 of its competitors have better growth. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated 360° View of 22, Mayr-Melnhof Karton is worse than 78% of all alternative stock investment opportunities based on the Obermatt Method. This means that Mayr-Melnhof Karton shares are on the riskier side for investors. The picture is mixed here. The stock seems to be a good value (Value Rank of 70), and the financing structure is on the safer side (Safety Rank of 56). However, sentiment in the professional investor community is below-average (Sentiment Rank of 18), as is the growth momentum for the company (Growth Rank of 11). Since the company is good value and the share price low, it should attract investors, yet professionals are skeptical. Even though the financing structure is not as important as Value, Growth, and Sentiment, investors should still be careful with this decision and conduct further research if they are serious about investing in this company. ...read more
Sentiment Strategy: Professional Market Sentiment for Mayr-Melnhof Karton negative
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 18 (better than 18% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock Mayr-Melnhof Karton is critical, mostly below average. The Sentiment Rank is based on consolidating four sentiment indicators, with three out of four metrics below average for Mayr-Melnhof Karton. Analyst Opinions are at a rank of 34 (worse than 66% of alternative investments), which means that currently, stock research analysts tend to warn against investing in the stock of the company. But they are changing their opinions! Analyst Opinions Change has a rank of 50, which means that stock research experts have found something to make them more positive about investing in the company. In other words, they are getting more optimistic of stock investments in Mayr-Melnhof Karton. But the Professional Investors rank is low at 20, which means that professional investors hold less stock in this company than in 80% of alternative investment opportunities. Pros tend to invest in other companies. Market Pulse is also low at a rank of 39, which means that the current professional news and professional social networks tend to be negative when discussing this company (more negative news than for 61% of competitors). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Sentiment Rank of 18 (less encouraging than 82% compared with investment alternatives), Mayr-Melnhof Karton has a reputation among professional investors that is far below that of its competitors. These are quite a few negative sentiment signals. One may want to trust the analysts that are changing their opinions. They may be early indications of better times, especially if the company is a smaller one. But If they are an extra large company, they should have more professional stockholders than are currently present. ...read more
Value Strategy: Mayr-Melnhof Karton Stock Price Value better than average
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 70 (better than 70% compared with alternatives), Mayr-Melnhof Karton shares are more attractively priced than the majority of comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators that are all above average for Mayr-Melnhof Karton. Price-to-Sales is 71 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 71% of comparable companies, indicating a good value for Mayr-Melnhof Karton's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits, more favorable than for 57% of alternatives, and this is also true for the Price-to-Book capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 61. Compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields of Mayr-Melnhof Karton are expected to be higher than for 56% of all competitors (a Dividend Yield rank of 56). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 70, is a buy recommendation based on Mayr-Melnhof Karton's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since all value metrics are above the industry average, there is no objection to investing in Mayr-Melnhof Karton based on its detailed value metrics.
Growth Strategy: Mayr-Melnhof Karton Growth Momentum negative
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 11 (better than 11% compared with alternatives), Mayr-Melnhof Karton shows one of the most restricted growth dynamics in its industry. There is little momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all four metrics below average for Mayr-Melnhof Karton. Sales Growth has a rank of 34, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow less than 66% of its competitors. The same is valid for Profit Growth, with a rank of 26, and Capital Growth with 19. In addition, Stock Returns have a below market rank of 23, which means that the stock returns have recently been below 77% of alternative investments. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 11, is a sell recommendation for growth and momentum investors. These are all bad growth momentum indicators. These are negative signals for investors interested in growth companies. Value is likely good for this company, as investors may have left this stock in the cold. If that is the case, investors should look at the company's outlook, especially Sentiment performance, because it may be a turnaround situation that could entail above-average stock returns in the future. But it remains a risky bet, as no growth signals are in the green zone yet. ...read more
Safety Strategy: Mayr-Melnhof Karton Debt Financing Safety above-average
| SAFETY METRICS | November 9, 2023 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 22 |
|
||||||
| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 75 |
|
||||||
| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 57 |
|
||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 56 |
|
||||||
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 56 (better than 56% compared with alternatives), the company Mayr-Melnhof Karton has financing practices on the safer side, which mean that their overall debt burden is lower than average. This doesn't mean that the business of Mayr-Melnhof Karton is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with two out of three indicators above-average for Mayr-Melnhof Karton. Refinancing is at 75, meaning the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 75% of its competitors. Liquidity is also good at 57, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 57% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is safer when it comes to debt service. However, Leverage is rather large at 22, which means the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 78% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 56 (better than 56% compared with alternatives), Mayr-Melnhof Karton has a financing structure that is safer than that of its competitors. This is not bad if things go well. The higher debt level means better returns to shareholders if things go well. Many top-performing companies operate with higher debt levels, and Mayr-Melnhof Karton could be in that group. But if you expect the environment to turn rougher, the higher leverage could become a problem. The same is valid if you expect interest rates to rise. That could squeeze shareholder returns, which so far have benefitted from better conditions. ...read more
Combined financial peformance: Mayr-Melnhof Karton Below-Average Financial Performance
| COMBINED PERFORMANCE | November 9, 2023 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 70 |
|
||||||
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 11 |
|
||||||
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 57 |
|
||||||
| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 48 |
|
||||||
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 48 (worse than 52% compared with investment alternatives), Mayr-Melnhof Karton (Paper Packaging, Austria) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Mayr-Melnhof Karton are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 70 (better than 70% of alternatives), are safely financed (Safety Rank of 56, which means low debt burdens), but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 11). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 48, is a hold recommendation based on Mayr-Melnhof Karton's financial characteristics. As the company Mayr-Melnhof Karton's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 70) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 11) while being safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 56), it may be a safer investment because companies with low debt can better withstand times of crises. Yet the good value, better than 70% of comparable companies, may also indicate that the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity and the downside is limited due to below-average financing risks. ...read more
Obermatt Portfolio Performance
We’re so convinced about our research, that we buy our stock tips.
See the performance of the Obermatt portfolio.