October 5, 2023
Top 10 Stock Lotte Confectionery Hold Recommendation
How to read the ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Snapshot: Lotte Confectionery – Top 10 Stock in Korea Composite Stock Price Index KOSPI
Lotte Confectionery is listed as a top 10 stock on October 05, 2023 in the market index KOSPI because of its high performance in at least one of the Obermatt investment strategies. While half the consolidated Obermatt Ranks are above-average, investor sentiment is below average and thus a signal for caution. Based on the Obermatt 360° View of 45 (45% performer), Obermatt assesses an overall hold recommendation for Lotte Confectionery on October 05, 2023.
Snapshot: Obermatt Ranks
When Obermatt identifies the Top 10 stocks in a market, it’s based on a certain investment strategy. The best performing stocks usually aren’t the ones that everyone is talking about (those are often "over-priced" and have low Value ranks).
For each investment strategy, we provide you with more detailed analysis and our recommendation. You see the ranks of the top 10 stocks ranked by that particular investment strategy (360° View, Sentiment, Value, Growth, Safety and Combined Financial Performance).
360° View: Obermatt 360° View Lotte Confectionery Hold
| 360 METRICS | October 5, 2023 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 97 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 55 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 10 |
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| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | 23 |
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| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | 45 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt 360° View of 45 (better than 45% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and financial characteristics for the stock Lotte Confectionery are below the industry average. The 360° View is based on consolidating four consolidated indicators, with half of the metrics below and half above average for Lotte Confectionery. The consolidated Value Rank has an attractive rank of 97, which means that the share price of Lotte Confectionery is on the lower side compared with the typical size in indicators such as revenues, profits, and invested capital. This means the stock price is lower than for 97% of alternative stocks in the same industry. The consolidated Growth Rank has a good rank of 55, which means that the company experiences above-average growth momentum when looking at financial metrics such as revenue, profit, and invested capital growth as well as stock returns. But the professional market sentiment is below average compared with other stock investment alternatives with a Sentiment Rank of 23. Professional investors are more confident in 77% other stocks. Worryingly, the company has risky financing, with a Safety rank of 10. This means 90% of comparable companies have a safer financing structure than Lotte Confectionery. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated 360° View of 45, Lotte Confectionery is worse than 55% of all alternative stock investment opportunities based on the Obermatt Method. Even though half of the consolidated Obermatt Ranks are above-average, namely the Value Rank at 97 and the Growth Rank above-average at 55, the picture is still mixed. The professional investor community is skeptical, with the Sentiment Rank below-average at 23. In addition, the company financing structure is on the riskier side (Safety Rank of 10). Since the company is good value and the share price low, it should attract investors, yet professionals are skeptical. One may be tempted by above-average growth, but that could also change quickly, as past performance is not a good indicator of future performance. Since the financing structure is on the risky side, investors should be careful with this decision and conduct further research if they are serious about investing in this company. ...read more
Sentiment Strategy: Professional Market Sentiment for Lotte Confectionery negative
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 23 (better than 23% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock Lotte Confectionery is critical, mostly below average. The Sentiment Rank is based on consolidating four sentiment indicators, with half of the metrics below and half above average for Lotte Confectionery. Analyst Opinions are at a rank of 58 (better than 58% of alternative investments), which means that, currently, stock research analysts tend to recommend a stock investment in the company. Analyst Opinions Change is also positive and has a rank of 50 which means that currently, stock research experts are getting even more optimistic about investments in Lotte Confectionery. But Market Pulse has a low rank of 36, which means that the current professional news and professional social networks are on the negative side when discussing this company (more negative news than for 64% of competitors). This is an essential sign of caution, as it could be the forebearer of bad news. Professional Investors are also somewhat absent with a rank of 19, which means that, currently, professional investors hold less stock in this company than in 81% of alternative investment opportunities. Pros tend to invest in other companies. This is expected if the company is of a smaller size (medium or smaller). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Sentiment Rank of 23 (less encouraging than 77% compared with investment alternatives), Lotte Confectionery has a reputation among professional investors that is far below that of its competitors. While the general news feeds in the professional market are negative, the analyst recommendations are optimistic about the company, and even increase their ratings despite the negative news. This is an ambiguous situation with positive and negative signals from the professional side. Investors should be on the lookout for negative news but not worry too much about it as long as the overall news is still positive. ...read more
Value Strategy: Lotte Confectionery Stock Price Value at the top
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 97 (better than 97% compared with alternatives) for 2023, Lotte Confectionery shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators that are all above average for Lotte Confectionery. Price-to-Sales is 85 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 85% of comparable companies, indicating a good value for Lotte Confectionery's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits, more favorable than for 81% of alternatives, and this is also true for the Price-to-Book capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 91. Compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields of Lotte Confectionery are expected to be higher than for 98% of all competitors (a Dividend Yield rank of 98). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 97, is a buy recommendation based on Lotte Confectionery's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since all value metrics are above the industry average, there is no objection to investing in Lotte Confectionery based on its detailed value metrics.
Growth Strategy: Lotte Confectionery Growth Momentum good
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 55 (better than 55% compared with alternatives), Lotte Confectionery shows an above-average growth dynamic in its industry. Investors also speak of positive momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all but one indicator above average for Lotte Confectionery. Sales Growth has a value of 70 which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow more than 70% of its competitors. Profit Growth with a value of 86 and Capital Growth with a rank of 59 means that currently, professionals expect the company to grow both profits and invested capital more than of its competitors. But Stock Returns has only a rank of 3, which means that stock returns have recently been below 97% of alternative investments. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 55, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Lotte Confectionery has only one below-average growth indicator, the stock returns. This is probably the least reliable growth indicator, because it measures company and investor expectations at the same time. The three other growth indicators, which are all positive for Lotte Confectionery, are more reliable measures of growth momentum. For this reason, the company seems to be on a good trajectory, unless you think the current period is not representative, because of unique events that will not be repeated in the future. ...read more
Safety Strategy: Lotte Confectionery Debt Financing Safety risky
| SAFETY METRICS | October 5, 2023 | |||||||
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| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 23 |
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| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 6 |
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| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 14 |
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| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 10 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 10 (better than 10% compared with alternatives), the company Lotte Confectionery has much riskier financing practices than comparable other companies, which means that their overall debt burden is significantly above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of Lotte Confectionery is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with all three metrics below average for Lotte Confectionery. Liquidity is at 14, meaning that the company generates less profit to service its debt than 86% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the riskier side when it comes to debt service. Even worse, Leverage is at a rank of 23, meaning the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 77% of its competitors. Finally, Refinancing is at a rank of 6 which means that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is above average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 94% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 10 (worse than 90% compared with alternatives), Lotte Confectionery has a financing structure that is significantly riskier than that of its competitors. This combination is rather dangerous in most situations. Only very promising companies with bright future outlooks and stellar reputations can operate with such risky financing.
Combined financial peformance: Lotte Confectionery Above-Average Financial Performance
| COMBINED PERFORMANCE | October 5, 2023 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 97 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 55 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 14 |
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| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 65 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 65 (better than 65% compared with investment alternatives), Lotte Confectionery (Industrial Conglomerates, South Korea) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Lotte Confectionery are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 97 (better than 97% of alternatives), show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 55) but are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 10), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 65, is a buy recommendation based on Lotte Confectionery's financial characteristics. As the company Lotte Confectionery's key financial metrics exhibit excellent performance in two areas, such as good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 97) and above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 55), it could be argued that the risk-taking in financing (Obermatt Safety Rank of only 10) indicates that the company is optimistic about the future and sees debt as an opportunity to boost returns. More debt means more shareholder returns if everything goes well. However, higher debt burdens are risky when interest rates rise or the business deteriorates in a crisis. If you believe the company's future is market-typical or even better, this could be an argument for a share purchase. ...read more
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