May 11, 2023
Top 10 Stock KPN Hold Recommendation
How to read the ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Snapshot: KPN – Top 10 Stock in AEX Index
KPN is listed as a top 10 stock on May 11, 2023 in the market index AEX because of its high performance in at least one of the Obermatt investment strategies. Two consolidated Obermatt Ranks are above-average. The company is growing above average, and professional investor sentiment is positive. Both are encouraging signals for a stock purchase decision, albeit at an above-average share price. Based on the Obermatt 360° Rank of 47 (47% performer), Obermatt assesses an overall hold recommendation for KPN on May 11, 2023.
Snapshot: Obermatt Ranks
| Country | Netherlands |
| Industry | Integrated Telecommunication |
| Index | AEX, Artificial Intelligence, Employee Focus EU, Renewables Users, Recycling, Telecommunications |
| Size class | X-Large |
When Obermatt identifies the Top 10 stocks in a market, it’s based on a certain investment strategy. The best performing stocks usually aren’t the ones that everyone is talking about (those are often "over-priced" and have low Value ranks).
For each investment strategy, we provide you with more detailed analysis and our recommendation. You see the ranks of the top 10 stocks ranked by that particular investment strategy (360° View, Sentiment, Value, Growth, Safety and Combined Financial Performance).
360° View: Obermatt 360° Assessment KPN Hold
| 360 METRICS | May 11, 2023 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 9 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 69 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 29 |
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| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | 74 |
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| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | 47 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt 360° Rank of 47 (better than 47% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock KPN are below the industry average. The 360° Rank is based on consolidating four consolidated indicators, with half of the metrics below and half above average for KPN. The consolidated Growth Rank has a good rank of 69, which means that the company experiences above-average growth momentum when looking at financial metrics such as revenue, profit, and invested capital growth as well as stock returns. This means that growth is higher than for 69% of competitors in the same industry. The consolidated Sentiment Rank also has a good rank of 74, which means that professional investors are more optimistic about the stock than for 74% of alternative investment opportunities. But the consolidated Value Rank has a less desirable rank of 9, which means that the share price of KPN is on the higher side compared with typical size in indicators such as revenues, profits, and invested capital. This means the stock price is higher than for 91% of alternative stocks in the same industry. Finally, the consolidated Safety Rank has a riskier rank of 29, which means that the company has a financing structure that is riskier than 71% comparable companies when looking at the amount of its debt, its refinancing requirements, and its ability to service debt. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a 360° Rank of 47, KPN is worse than 53% of all alternative stock investment opportunities based on the Obermatt Method. Only half of the consolidated Obermatt Ranks exhibit excellent performance, so one needs to take a close look. Growth is above-average (Growth Rank of 69), and professional market sentiment is positive (Sentiment Rank of 74), but value and safety are below average. The Safety Rank is the least important of the four consolidated ranks, because it only reflects financing practices. In the case of high growth, aggressive financing is a good thing. So the question is: How to assess below-average value against above-average growth and sentiment? Growth may be the strongest driver of the investment rationale in this case, which is reflected in institutional investors' opinions. It is typical for growth companies to have low value, as is the case here. Investors are willing to pay more for companies that outperform their competitors. So the question is, how much do you sacrifice value for growth? You can use the following rule of thumb: If you take one minus the growth rank, that is the minimum level that the value rank should have. For example, if the growth rank is at 75, and the value rank is at 5, you should tread carefully. If the value rank is at 40, it still might be a good value (even though it is lower than 50). Sometimes market sentiment just extrapolates the past, but sometimes they are right. You pay more than the market average for this stock, but it may be worth it. ...read more
Sentiment Strategy: Professional Market Sentiment for KPN positive
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 74 (better than 74% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock KPN is above average. The Sentiment Rank is based on consolidating four sentiment indicators, with all four indicators above average for KPN. Analyst Opinions are at a rank of 51 (better than 51% of alternative investments), which means that, currently, stock research analysts tend to recommend a stock investment in the company. Analyst Opinions Change is also positive with a rank of 53, which means that stock research experts are changing their opinions for the better and recommending investing in the company. They are getting more optimistic about stock investments in KPN. The Professional Investors rank is 73, which means that currently, professional investors hold more stock in this company than in 73% of alternative investment opportunities. Pros tend to favor investing in this company. Finally, Market Pulse has a rank of 50 which means that the current professional news and professional social networks are on the positive side when discussing this company (more positive news than for 50% of competitors). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 74 (more positive than 74% compared with investment alternatives), KPN has a reputation among professional investors that is above-average compared with that of its competitors. Since all market sentiment indicators are positive, the professional community highly recommends investment in the company. Does this mean KPN stocks are a safe investment? Far from it. Even professionals make mistakes. Especially in stock investing, there is a tendency to follow the leaders. Since trees don't grow to the heavens, such positive sentiment may also be interpreted as a danger sign. A lot of optimism can often be a sign of troubles to come, albeit unforeseen by most. ...read more
Value Strategy: KPN Stock Price Value low
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 9 (worse than 91% compared with alternatives), KPN shares are significantly more expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all four indicators below average for KPN. Price-to-Sales has a value of 9 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is higher than 91% of comparable companies, indicating a low value concerning KPN's sales levels. Price-to-Book Capital (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) also has a low Obermatt Price-to-Book Rank of 13, which means that both reliable company size indicators, sales, and invested capital cannot explain the high stock price of KPN. In addition, the two profit-related value indicators, Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price-earnings, P/E) with a low rank of 28 and Dividend Yield, which is lower than 59% of comparable companies, also make the stock more expensive compared with investment alternatives. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 9, is a SELL recommendation based on KPN's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. How can market participants pay such a high price for KPN? One reason may be that the company is simply too popular. If enough people want a particular stock, its price can exceed reasonable levels. This is often the case for new and exciting products where everybody wants a piece of the action. Should you pay a lot for a hot stock such as KPN? It's risky, and even if it continues to grow because of popular demand, it will most likely return to what it's worth. And that return can be sudden and quick, making it impossible for retail investors to exit on time. Sometimes, high prices are deserved. This is the case when it is reasonable for the company to dominate a market with high profit margins. It has happened in the past for many technology companies and indeed for successful pharmaceutical discoveries. Sometimes they last, sometimes, they get eaten alive. KPN may be such a type of stock. That would mean, retail investors should be careful, only considering investing a small part of their wealth in this exciting category and always being ready to lose more than half, if not all of the investment. ...read more
Growth Strategy: KPN Growth Momentum good
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 69 (better than 69% compared with alternatives), KPN shows an above-average growth dynamic in its industry. Investors also speak of positive momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for KPN. Capital Growth has a rank of 96, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its invested capital more than 32% of its competitors. Investors welcomed this, visible in the Stock Returns rank of 73 (above 73% of alternative investments). But Sales Growth has only a rank of 30, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow less than 70% of its competitors, and Profit Growth is also low at a rank of 32. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 69, is a BUY recommendation for growth and momentum investors. This is an ambiguous picture. Revenue growth and capital growth are strong, but the growth in profit, which seems good, can also be an indication that growth momentum may be negative. The fact that stock returns have been above average doesn't help much, as stock returns are less reliable in showing a company’s future growth potential. Prices may perform well for the simple reason that investors were too pessimistic in the past and are now correcting their opinions and moving the stock price to a more reasonable level. As the growth picture is mixed for KPN, investors may want to look at value and sentiment indicators for a well-rounded picture of this stock. ...read more
Safety Strategy: KPN Debt Financing Safety below-average
| SAFETY METRICS | May 11, 2023 | |||||||
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| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 18 |
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| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 41 |
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| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 48 |
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| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 29 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 29 (better than 29% compared with alternatives), the company KPN has financing practices on the riskier side, which means that their overall debt burden is above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of KPN is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with all three metrics below average for KPN. Liquidity is at 48, meaning that the company generates less profit to service its debt than 52% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the riskier side when it comes to debt service. Even worse, Leverage is at a rank of 18, meaning the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 82% of its competitors. Finally, Refinancing is at a rank of 41 which means that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is above average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 59% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 29 (worse than 71% compared with alternatives), KPN has a financing structure that is riskier than that of its competitors. This combination is rather dangerous in most situations. Only very promising companies with bright future outlooks and stellar reputations can operate with such risky financing. ...read more
Combined financial peformance: KPN Lowest Financial Performance
| COMBINED PERFORMANCE | May 11, 2023 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 9 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 69 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 48 |
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| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 23 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 23 (worse than 77% compared with investment alternatives), KPN (Integrated Telecommunication, Netherlands) shares have lower financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of KPN are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Obermatt Value Rank of 9 (worse than 91% of alternatives), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 29, which means above-average debt burdens) but show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 69). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: An Obermatt Combined Rank of 23, is a sell recommendation based on KPN's financial characteristics. As the company KPN shows low value with an Obermatt Value Rank of 9 (91% of comparable investments are less expensive), investors should look at the other ranks. In this case, growth is expected to be above-average, better than 69% of comparable companies (Obermatt Growth Rank is 69). This is a typical case. Companies with above average growth tend to cost more than the sluggish variety. If this is a high-growth company, the low Obermatt Safety Rank of 29 is a good sign. The more debt a well-performing company has, the higher the returns to shareholders. However, if growth turns negative or interest rates increase, high debt may become a burden. If you believe the future is bright for KPN, even a low-value company (in terms of its key financial indicators) can be a good investment. ...read more
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