December 7, 2023
Top 10 Stock Kemper Sell Recommendation
How to read the ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Snapshot: Kemper – Top 10 Stock in Dow Jones U.S. Insurance Index
Kemper is listed as a top 10 stock on December 07, 2023 in the market index D.J. US Insurance because of its high performance in at least one of the Obermatt investment strategies. Only the Obermatt Value Rank exhibits above-average performance, which means that the stock is seen as critical by the professional community and other financial facts are below average, conveying mixed investment signals. Based on the Obermatt 360° View of 8 (8% performer), Obermatt issues an overall sell recommendation for Kemper on December 07, 2023.
Snapshot: Obermatt Ranks
| Country | USA |
| Industry | Property & Casualty Insurance |
| Index | D.J. US Insurance, S&P MIDCAP |
| Size class | X-Large |
When Obermatt identifies the Top 10 stocks in a market, it’s based on a certain investment strategy. The best performing stocks usually aren’t the ones that everyone is talking about (those are often "over-priced" and have low Value ranks).
For each investment strategy, we provide you with more detailed analysis and our recommendation. You see the ranks of the top 10 stocks ranked by that particular investment strategy (360° View, Sentiment, Value, Growth, Safety and Combined Financial Performance).
360° View: Obermatt 360° View Kemper Sell
| 360 METRICS | December 7, 2023 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 66 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 39 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 27 |
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| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | 4 |
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| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | 8 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt 360° View of 8 (better than 8% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and financial characteristics for the stock Kemper are critical, mostly below average. The 360° View is based on consolidating four consolidated indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for Kemper. Only the consolidated Value Rank has an attractive rank of 66, which means that the share price of Kemper is on the lower side compared with the typical size in indicators such as revenues, profits, and invested capital. This means that the stock price is lower than for 66% of alternative stocks in the same industry. All other consolidated ranks are below average. The consolidated Growth Rank has a low rank of 39, which means that the company exhibits below-average growth momentum when looking at financial metrics such as revenue, profit, and invested capital growth as well as stock returns. The consolidated Safety Rank has a riskier rank of 27, meaning the company has a riskier financing structure than 73% comparable companies when looking at the amount of its debt, its refinancing requirements, and its ability to service debt. Finally, professionals are more pessimistic about the stock than for 96% of alternative investment opportunities, reflected in the consolidated Sentiment Rank of 4. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated 360° View of 8, Kemper is worse than 92% of all alternative stock investment opportunities based on the Obermatt Method. This means that Kemper shares are on the riskier side for investors. Only one of the consolidated Obermatt Ranks exhibits above-average performance, namely the Value Rank at a level of 66. All other ranks are below average, so proceed with caution. The company has below-average growth expectations (Growth Rank of 39), a riskier financing structure than the competition (Safety Rank of 27), and the market sentiment in the professional investor community ranking at (Sentiment Rank of 4) is negative. This combination is sensitive to a crisis, because high debt levels (low safety) require growth to finance the debt burden. It’s no wonder that the investor community indicators are skeptical (low sentiment). Good value is sometimes an indication that the company's future is challenging. The below-par growth performance may be the reason for this assessment. We recommend evaluating whether the future of Kemper is as challenging as the low price of the stock suggests. Since the professional community is pessimistic, you might need to worry about the future of Kemper. Only invest if you have solid reasons to believe that the low growth is temporary and the current market sentiment is an overreaction, possibly due to reputational issues in the past. ...read more
Sentiment Strategy: Professional Market Sentiment for Kemper negative
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 4 (better than 4% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock Kemper is critical, mostly below average. The Sentiment Rank is based on consolidating four sentiment indicators, with three out of four metrics below average for Kemper. Analyst Opinions are at a rank of 78 (better than 78% of alternative investments), which means that, currently, stock research analysts tend to recommend a stock investment in the company. This is a good sign, were it not for Analyst Opinions Change with a low rank of 2, which means that currently, stock research experts are changing their opinions for the worse. In other words, they are getting more critical of a stock investment in Kemper. The Professional Investors rank is also low at 8, meaning that professional investors hold less stock in this company than in 92% of alternative investment opportunities. Pros tend to invest in other companies. Even worse, Market Pulse has a low rank of 1, which means that the current professional news and professional social networks are critical of this company (more negative news than for 99% of competitors). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Sentiment Rank of 4 (less encouraging than 96% compared with investment alternatives), Kemper has a reputation among professional investors that is far below that of its competitors. There are several negative sentiment signals, with only the Analyst Opinions Rank above average. This could be a stock with a long reputation for being positive but where things are worsening. Most analysts may not see it yet, but some have, and the professionals are already quite pessimistic. Proceed with caution when investing in this stock. ...read more
Value Strategy: Kemper Stock Price Value better than average
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 66 (better than 66% compared with alternatives), Kemper shares are more attractively priced than the majority of comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, where three out of four indicators are above average for Kemper. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 71 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 71% of comparable companies, indicating a good value for Kemper's revenue size. The same is valid for the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 70. Finally, compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields of Kemper are expected to be higher than for 74% of all competitors (a Dividend Yield rank of 74). The only low rank is for expected profits with a Price-to-Profit Rank of 32, indicating that the market expects the company's profit to be low despite a high dividend. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 66, is a buy recommendation based on Kemper's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. The low Profit Rank could result from a one-off charge, for instance, for an accident, a legal settlement, or a restructuring project. If the company keeps its dividends high, the low expected profit may be transitory. If that is the case, the three good value ranks for Sales, Capital, and Dividends are reliable indicators for good stock price value, a low stock price. ...read more
Growth Strategy: Kemper Growth Momentum low
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 39 (better than 39% compared with alternatives), Kemper shows a below-average growth dynamic in its industry. There is limited momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, where half of the indicators are below and half above average for Kemper. Profit Growth, with a rank of 78 (better than 78% of its competitors), and Capital Growth, with a rank of 91, are both positive, which is a healthy sign for positive development. But Sales Growth has only a rank of 1, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow less than 99% of its competitors, and Stock Returns are at a rank of 9. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 39, is a hold recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Stock returns that are a thing of the past can be less of a problem. Below-average revenue growth may be caused by divestments of underperforming businesses. If that is the case, then the positive developments of profit and capital growth are signs of a company with growth potential. If these are the reasons, overall growth is well on track to making this stock attractive for growth investors. ...read more
Safety Strategy: Kemper Debt Financing Safety below-average
| SAFETY METRICS | December 7, 2023 | |||||||
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| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 31 |
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| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 14 |
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| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 32 |
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| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 27 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 27 (better than 27% compared with alternatives), the company Kemper has financing practices on the riskier side, which means that their overall debt burden is above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of Kemper is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with all three metrics below average for Kemper. Liquidity is at 32, meaning that the company generates less profit to service its debt than 68% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the riskier side when it comes to debt service. Even worse, Leverage is at a rank of 31, meaning the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 69% of its competitors. Finally, Refinancing is at a rank of 14 which means that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is above average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 86% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 27 (worse than 73% compared with alternatives), Kemper has a financing structure that is riskier than that of its competitors. This combination is rather dangerous in most situations. Only very promising companies with bright future outlooks and stellar reputations can operate with such risky financing.
Combined financial peformance: Kemper Below-Average Financial Performance
| COMBINED PERFORMANCE | December 7, 2023 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 66 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 39 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 32 |
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| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 38 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 38 (worse than 62% compared with investment alternatives), Kemper (Property & Casualty Insurance, USA) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Kemper are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 66 (better than 66% of alternatives) but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 39), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 27), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 38, is a hold recommendation based on Kemper's financial characteristics. As the company Kemper's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 66) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 39) and risky financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 27), it may be a risky investment, because debt in times of crises can make things worse. The good value, better than 66% of comparable companies, may indicate the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity. ...read more
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