August 31, 2023
Top 10 Stock KAP Industrial Hold Recommendation



How to read the ranks

For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:

Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

Snapshot: KAP Industrial – Top 10 Stock in Johannesburg Securities Exchange All Shares Index JSE All Shares


kap.co.za


KAP Industrial is listed as a top 10 stock on August 31, 2023 in the market index JSE All Shares because of its high performance in at least one of the Obermatt investment strategies. While half the consolidated Obermatt Ranks are above-average, investor sentiment is negative and growth performance is below market average, both a sign for caution. Based on the Obermatt 360° View of 40 (40% performer), Obermatt assesses an overall hold recommendation for KAP Industrial on August 31, 2023.


Snapshot: Obermatt Ranks


Country South Africa
Industry Industrial Conglomerates
Index Good Governace Growth Markets, Independent Boards Growth Markets, JSE All Shares
Size class Large
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Top 10 Stocks ≠ most popular stocks

When Obermatt identifies the Top 10 stocks in a market, it’s based on a certain investment strategy. The best performing stocks usually aren’t the ones that everyone is talking about (those are often "over-priced" and have low Value ranks).

For each investment strategy, we provide you with more detailed analysis and our recommendation. You see the ranks of the top 10 stocks ranked by that particular investment strategy (360° View, Sentiment, Value, Growth, Safety and Combined Financial Performance).


360° View: Obermatt 360° View KAP Industrial Hold

360 METRICS August 31, 2023
VALUE
VALUE
GROWTH
GROWTH
SAFETY
SAFETY
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT
360° VIEW
360° VIEW

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt 360° View of 40 (better than 40% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and financial characteristics for the stock KAP Industrial are below the industry average. The 360° View is based on consolidating four consolidated indicators, with half the metrics below and half above average for KAP Industrial. The consolidated Value Rank has an attractive rank of 99, which means that the share price of KAP Industrial is on the lower side compared with the typical size in indicators such as revenues, profits, and invested capital. This means the stock price is lower than for 99% of alternative stocks in the same industry. The company is also safely financed with a Safety rank of 53. But the professional market sentiment is below average compared with other stock investment alternatives with a Sentiment Rank of 31. Professional investors are more confident in 69% other stocks. The consolidated Growth Rank also has a low rank of 7, which means that the company is below average in terms of growth momentum when looking at financial metrics such as revenue, profit, invested capital growth, and stock returns. 93 of its competitors have better growth. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated 360° View of 40, KAP Industrial is worse than 60% of all alternative stock investment opportunities based on the Obermatt Method. The picture is mixed here. The stock seems to be a good value (Value Rank of 99), and the financing structure is on the safer side (Safety Rank of 53). However, sentiment in the professional investor community is below-average (Sentiment Rank of 31), as is the growth momentum for the company (Growth Rank of 7). Since the company is good value and the share price low, it should attract investors, yet professionals are skeptical. Even though the financing structure is not as important as Value, Growth, and Sentiment, investors should still be careful with this decision and conduct further research if they are serious about investing in this company. ...read more




Sentiment Strategy: Professional Market Sentiment for KAP Industrial only reserved

SENTIMENT METRICS August 31, 2023
ANALYST OPINION
ANALYST OPINION
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 31 (better than 31% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock KAP Industrial is below industry average. The Sentiment Rank is based on consolidating four sentiment indicators, with half of the metrics below and half above average for KAP Industrial. Analyst Opinions are at a rank of 52 (better than 52% of alternative investments), which means that, currently, stock research analysts tend to recommend a stock investment in the company. Analyst Opinions Change is also positive and has a rank of 50 which means that currently, stock research experts are getting even more optimistic about investments in KAP Industrial. But Market Pulse has a low rank of 39, which means that the current professional news and professional social networks are on the negative side when discussing this company (more negative news than for 61% of competitors). This is an essential sign of caution, as it could be the forebearer of bad news. Professional Investors are also somewhat absent with a rank of 35, which means that, currently, professional investors hold less stock in this company than in 65% of alternative investment opportunities. Pros tend to invest in other companies. This is expected if the company is of a smaller size (medium or smaller). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Sentiment Rank of 31 (less encouraging than 69% compared with investment alternatives), KAP Industrial has a reputation among professional investors that is below that of its competitors. While the general news feeds in the professional market are negative, the analyst recommendations are optimistic about the company, and even increase their ratings despite the negative news. This is an ambiguous situation with positive and negative signals from the professional side. Investors should be on the lookout for negative news but not worry too much about it as long as the overall news is still positive. ...read more



Value Strategy: KAP Industrial Stock Price Value at the top

VALUE METRICS August 31, 2023
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 99 (better than 99% compared with alternatives) for 2023, KAP Industrial shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators that are all above average for KAP Industrial. Price-to-Sales is 90 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 90% of comparable companies, indicating a good value for KAP Industrial's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits, more favorable than for 97% of alternatives, and this is also true for the Price-to-Book capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 90. Compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields of KAP Industrial are expected to be higher than for 96% of all competitors (a Dividend Yield rank of 96). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 99, is a buy recommendation based on KAP Industrial's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since all value metrics are above the industry average, there is no objection to investing in KAP Industrial based on its detailed value metrics.



Growth Strategy: KAP Industrial Growth Momentum negative

GROWTH METRICS August 31, 2023
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 7 (better than 7% compared with alternatives), KAP Industrial shows one of the most restricted growth dynamics in its industry. There is little momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for KAP Industrial. Only Capital Growth has a good rank of 55, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its invested capital more than 4% of its competitors. The other three indicators are pointing South: Sales Growth has a rank of 17 which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow less than 83% of its competitors. Profit Growth with a rank of 4 and Stock Returns with a rank of 5 are also low (below 95% of alternative investments). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 7, is a sell recommendation for growth and momentum investors. The good news from the invested capital side is surprising. A company with disappointing revenues, profits, and disappointed shareholders typically doesn't invest above average. Overall, the growth momentum for KAP Industrial is thus negative. As it is intriguing to see that company executives are optimistic about their investment policy, it is worthwhile looking into the details of the capital investment projects. They may indicate future growth and profits and thus if accompanied by a good value, a sign of good timing to invest in the stock. ...read more



Safety Strategy: KAP Industrial Debt Financing Safety above-average

SAFETY METRICS August 31, 2023
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE
REFINANCING
REFINANCING
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 53 (better than 53% compared with alternatives), the company KAP Industrial has financing practices on the safer side, which mean that their overall debt burden is lower than average. This doesn't mean that the business of KAP Industrial is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with two out of three indicators above-average for KAP Industrial. Refinancing is at 80, meaning the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 80% of its competitors. Liquidity is also good at 64, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 64% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is safer when it comes to debt service. However, Leverage is rather large at 14, which means the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 86% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 53 (better than 53% compared with alternatives), KAP Industrial has a financing structure that is safer than that of its competitors. This is not bad if things go well. The higher debt level means better returns to shareholders if things go well. Many top-performing companies operate with higher debt levels, and KAP Industrial could be in that group. But if you expect the environment to turn rougher, the higher leverage could become a problem. The same is valid if you expect interest rates to rise. That could squeeze shareholder returns, which so far have benefitted from better conditions. ...read more



Combined financial peformance: KAP Industrial Above-Average Financial Performance

COMBINED PERFORMANCE August 31, 2023
VALUE
VALUE
GROWTH
GROWTH
SAFETY
SAFETY
COMBINED
COMBINED

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 58 (better than 58% compared with investment alternatives), KAP Industrial (Industrial Conglomerates, South Africa) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of KAP Industrial are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 99 (better than 99% of alternatives), are safely financed (Safety Rank of 53, which means low debt burdens), but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 7). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 58, is a buy recommendation based on KAP Industrial's financial characteristics. As the company KAP Industrial's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 99) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 7) while being safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 53), it may be a safer investment because companies with low debt can better withstand times of crises. Yet the good value, better than 99% of comparable companies, may also indicate that the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity and the downside is limited due to below-average financing risks. ...read more

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