September 28, 2023
Top 10 Stock JBS Sell Recommendation



How to read the ranks

For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:

Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

Snapshot: JBS – Top 10 Stock in Water Efficiency Leaders


jbs.com.br


JBS is listed as a top 10 stock on September 28, 2023 in the market index Water Efficiency because of its high performance in at least one of the Obermatt investment strategies. Only the Obermatt Value Rank exhibits above-average performance, which means that the stock is seen as critical by the professional community and other financial facts are below average, conveying mixed investment signals. Based on the Obermatt 360° View of 11 (11% performer), Obermatt issues an overall sell recommendation for JBS on September 28, 2023.


Snapshot: Obermatt Ranks


Country Brazil
Industry Packaged Foods & Meats
Index BOVESPA, Low Emissions, Energy Efficient, Independent Boards Growth Markets, Water Efficiency
Size class XX-Large
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Top 10 Stocks ≠ most popular stocks

When Obermatt identifies the Top 10 stocks in a market, it’s based on a certain investment strategy. The best performing stocks usually aren’t the ones that everyone is talking about (those are often "over-priced" and have low Value ranks).

For each investment strategy, we provide you with more detailed analysis and our recommendation. You see the ranks of the top 10 stocks ranked by that particular investment strategy (360° View, Sentiment, Value, Growth, Safety and Combined Financial Performance).


360° View: Obermatt 360° View JBS Sell

360 METRICS September 28, 2023
VALUE
VALUE
GROWTH
GROWTH
SAFETY
SAFETY
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT
360° VIEW
360° VIEW

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt 360° View of 11 (better than 11% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and financial characteristics for the stock JBS are critical, mostly below average. The 360° View is based on consolidating four consolidated indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for JBS. Only the consolidated Value Rank has an attractive rank of 91, which means that the share price of JBS is on the lower side compared with the typical size in indicators such as revenues, profits, and invested capital. This means that the stock price is lower than for 91% of alternative stocks in the same industry. All other consolidated ranks are below average. The consolidated Growth Rank has a low rank of 5, which means that the company exhibits below-average growth momentum when looking at financial metrics such as revenue, profit, and invested capital growth as well as stock returns. The consolidated Safety Rank has a riskier rank of 33, meaning the company has a riskier financing structure than 67% comparable companies when looking at the amount of its debt, its refinancing requirements, and its ability to service debt. Finally, professionals are more pessimistic about the stock than for 89% of alternative investment opportunities, reflected in the consolidated Sentiment Rank of 11. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated 360° View of 11, JBS is worse than 89% of all alternative stock investment opportunities based on the Obermatt Method. This means that JBS shares are on the riskier side for investors. Only one of the consolidated Obermatt Ranks exhibits above-average performance, namely the Value Rank at a level of 91. All other ranks are below average, so proceed with caution. The company has below-average growth expectations (Growth Rank of 5), a riskier financing structure than the competition (Safety Rank of 33), and the market sentiment in the professional investor community ranking at (Sentiment Rank of 11) is negative. This combination is sensitive to a crisis, because high debt levels (low safety) require growth to finance the debt burden. It’s no wonder that the investor community indicators are skeptical (low sentiment). Good value is sometimes an indication that the company's future is challenging. The below-par growth performance may be the reason for this assessment. We recommend evaluating whether the future of JBS is as challenging as the low price of the stock suggests. Since the professional community is pessimistic, you might need to worry about the future of JBS. Only invest if you have solid reasons to believe that the low growth is temporary and the current market sentiment is an overreaction, possibly due to reputational issues in the past. ...read more




Sentiment Strategy: Professional Market Sentiment for JBS negative

SENTIMENT METRICS September 28, 2023
ANALYST OPINION
ANALYST OPINION
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 11 (better than 11% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock JBS is critical, mostly below average. The Sentiment Rank is based on consolidating four sentiment indicators, with half of the metrics below and half above average for JBS. Analyst Opinions are at a rank of 47 (worse than 53% of alternative investments), which means that currently, stock research analysts tend to warn against investing in the stock of the company. Worse, Analyst Opinions Change has a rank of 21 which means that stock research experts are getting even more pessimistic. It doesn't end with the analysts. Market Pulse is also low with a rank of 10, which means that the current professional news and professional social networks are on the negative side when discussing this company (more negative news than for 90% of competitors). No wonder, the Professional Investors rank is only 28, which means that professional investors hold less stock in this company than in 72% of alternative investment opportunities. Pros tend to stay away from JBS, which may be due to a small company size but just as likely because of its relatively low Sentiment Rank. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Sentiment Rank of 11 (less encouraging than 89% compared with investment alternatives), JBS has a reputation among professional investors that is far below that of its competitors. Investors should be careful with this stock right now. Further research is required if an investment is desired, because the facts found in the professional community are all negative. ...read more



Value Strategy: JBS Stock Price Value at the top

VALUE METRICS September 28, 2023
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 91 (better than 91% compared with alternatives) for 2023, JBS shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators that are all above average for JBS. Price-to-Sales is 97 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 97% of comparable companies, indicating a good value for JBS's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits, more favorable than for 81% of alternatives, and this is also true for the Price-to-Book capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 85. Compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields of JBS are expected to be higher than for 61% of all competitors (a Dividend Yield rank of 61). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 91, is a buy recommendation based on JBS's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since all value metrics are above the industry average, there is no objection to investing in JBS based on its detailed value metrics.



Growth Strategy: JBS Growth Momentum negative

GROWTH METRICS September 28, 2023
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 5 (better than 5% compared with alternatives), JBS shows one of the most restricted growth dynamics in its industry. There is little momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for JBS. Only Capital Growth has a good rank of 74, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its invested capital more than 8% of its competitors. The other three indicators are pointing South: Sales Growth has a rank of 6 which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow less than 94% of its competitors. Profit Growth with a rank of 8 and Stock Returns with a rank of 13 are also low (below 87% of alternative investments). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 5, is a sell recommendation for growth and momentum investors. The good news from the invested capital side is surprising. A company with disappointing revenues, profits, and disappointed shareholders typically doesn't invest above average. Overall, the growth momentum for JBS is thus negative. As it is intriguing to see that company executives are optimistic about their investment policy, it is worthwhile looking into the details of the capital investment projects. They may indicate future growth and profits and thus if accompanied by a good value, a sign of good timing to invest in the stock. ...read more



Safety Strategy: JBS Debt Financing Safety below-average

SAFETY METRICS September 28, 2023
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE
REFINANCING
REFINANCING
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 33 (better than 33% compared with alternatives), the company JBS has financing practices on the riskier side, which means that their overall debt burden is above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of JBS is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with just one indicator above average for JBS and the other two below average. Refinancing is at 91, meaning the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 91% of its competitors. But Leverage is high with a rank of 6, meaning the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 94% of its competitors. Liquidity is also on the riskier side with a rank of 24, meaning the company generates less profit to service its debt than 76% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 33 (worse than 67% compared with alternatives), JBS has a financing structure that is riskier than that of its competitors. A good Refinancing Rank means that the problems of the company may not be around the corner. But high Leverage is only good if things go well, and low Liquidity is a signal for caution. The financing signals for JBS are on the riskier side, requiring the company's future to be on the safer side. Investors may want to look at Growth and Sentiment ranks before making an investment decision. ...read more



Combined financial peformance: JBS Below-Average Financial Performance

COMBINED PERFORMANCE September 28, 2023
VALUE
VALUE
GROWTH
GROWTH
SAFETY
SAFETY
COMBINED
COMBINED

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 35 (worse than 65% compared with investment alternatives), JBS (Packaged Foods & Meats, Brazil) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of JBS are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 91 (better than 91% of alternatives) but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 5), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 33), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 35, is a hold recommendation based on JBS's financial characteristics. As the company JBS's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 91) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 5) and risky financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 33), it may be a risky investment, because debt in times of crises can make things worse. The good value, better than 91% of comparable companies, may indicate the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity. ...read more

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