Fact based stock research
Green Plains Partners (NasdaqGM:GPP)
US3932211069
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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Green Plains Partners stock research in summary
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 48 (worse than 52% compared with investment alternatives), Green Plains Partners (Oil & Gas Transportation, USA) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Green Plains Partners are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 94 (better than 94% of alternatives), show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 87) but are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 37), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 48, is a hold recommendation based on Green Plains Partners's financial characteristics. As the company Green Plains Partners's key financial metrics exhibit excellent performance in two areas, such as good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 94) and above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 87), it could be argued that the risk-taking in financing (Obermatt Safety Rank of only 37) indicates that the company is optimistic about the future and sees debt as an opportunity to boost returns. More debt means more shareholder returns if everything goes well. However, higher debt burdens are risky when interest rates rise or the business deteriorates in a crisis. If you believe the company's future is market-typical or even better, this could be an argument for a share purchase. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
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360° Viewnew| Country | USA |
| Industry | Oil & Gas Transportation |
| Index | NASDAQ |
| Size class | X-Small |
25-Apr-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.
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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.
Research History: Green Plains Partners
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 24 |
|
57 |
|
94 |
|
94 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 46 |
|
31 |
|
51 |
|
87 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 86 |
|
50 |
|
30 |
|
37 |
|
| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
67 |
|
90 |
|
new |
|
| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | n/a |
|
51 |
|
87 |
|
new |
|
Combined financial peformance in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 48 (worse than 52% compared with investment alternatives), Green Plains Partners (Oil & Gas Transportation, USA) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Green Plains Partners are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 94 (better than 94% of alternatives), show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 87) but are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 37), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 48, is a hold recommendation based on Green Plains Partners's financial characteristics. As the company Green Plains Partners's key financial metrics exhibit excellent performance in two areas, such as good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 94) and above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 87), it could be argued that the risk-taking in financing (Obermatt Safety Rank of only 37) indicates that the company is optimistic about the future and sees debt as an opportunity to boost returns. More debt means more shareholder returns if everything goes well. However, higher debt burdens are risky when interest rates rise or the business deteriorates in a crisis. If you believe the company's future is market-typical or even better, this could be an argument for a share purchase. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 24 |
|
57 |
|
94 |
|
94 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 46 |
|
31 |
|
51 |
|
87 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 86 |
|
50 |
|
30 |
|
37 |
|
| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 51 |
|
40 |
|
76 |
|
48 |
|
Value Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 94 (better than 94% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Green Plains Partners shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators above average for Green Plains Partners. Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price to earnings, P/E ratio) is 66 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is lower than for 66% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning Green Plains Partners's profit levels. The same is valid for the expected Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 100, and for Dividend Yield with a Dividend Yield Rank of 99. But, compared with other companies in the same industry, the stock price is higher than average as regards expected revenues; only 85% of all competitors have an even higher stock price as regards to sales revenues (a Price-to-Sales Rank of 15). Profits, the level of invested capital, and dividend policy suggest that this stock is attractively priced. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 94, is a buy recommendation based on Green Plains Partners's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since it is on the expensive side for Price-to-Sales, it may mean that Green Plains Partners has pricing power in its distribution market because it can charge higher prices than its competitors. If this is the case, all four value indicators are positive signals for purchasing Green Plains Partners shares. 9. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more
| VALUE METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | 13 |
|
17 |
|
13 |
|
15 |
|
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | 78 |
|
83 |
|
66 |
|
66 |
|
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | 1 |
|
1 |
|
100 |
|
100 |
|
| DIVIDEND YIELD | ||||||||
| DIVIDEND YIELD | 79 |
|
99 |
|
100 |
|
99 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | 24 |
|
57 |
|
94 |
|
94 |
|
Growth Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 87 (better than 87% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Green Plains Partners shows one of the highest growth dynamics in its industry. Investors also speak of high momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all but one indicator above average for Green Plains Partners. Sales Growth has a value of 85 which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow more than 85% of its competitors. Profit Growth with a value of 80 and Capital Growth with a rank of 79 means that currently, professionals expect the company to grow both profits and invested capital more than of its competitors. But Stock Returns has only a rank of 33, which means that stock returns have recently been below 67% of alternative investments. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 87, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Green Plains Partners has only one below-average growth indicator, the stock returns. This is probably the least reliable growth indicator, because it measures company and investor expectations at the same time. The three other growth indicators, which are all positive for Green Plains Partners, are more reliable measures of growth momentum. For this reason, the company seems to be on a good trajectory, unless you think the current period is not representative, because of unique events that will not be repeated in the future. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case. ...read more
| GROWTH METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
| REVENUE GROWTH | 19 |
|
87 |
|
1 |
|
85 |
|
| PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
| PROFIT GROWTH | 59 |
|
10 |
|
72 |
|
80 |
|
| CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
| CAPITAL GROWTH | n/a |
|
31 |
|
59 |
|
79 |
|
| STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
| STOCK RETURNS | 79 |
|
51 |
|
67 |
|
33 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 46 |
|
31 |
|
51 |
|
87 |
|
Safety Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 37 (better than 37% compared with alternatives), the company Green Plains Partners has financing practices on the riskier side, which means that their overall debt burden is above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of Green Plains Partners is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with two out of three indicators above-average for Green Plains Partners. Refinancing is at 54, meaning the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 54% of its competitors. Liquidity is also good at 65, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 65% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is safer when it comes to debt service. However, Leverage is rather large at 2, which means the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 98% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 37 (worse than 63% compared with alternatives), Green Plains Partners has a financing structure that is riskier than that of its competitors. This is not bad if things go well. The higher debt level means better returns to shareholders if things go well. Many top-performing companies operate with higher debt levels, and Green Plains Partners could be in that group. But if you expect the environment to turn rougher, the higher leverage could become a problem. The same is valid if you expect interest rates to rise. That could squeeze shareholder returns, which so far have benefitted from better conditions. In the long-term, investors may have a debt challenge with Green Plains Partners and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more
| SAFETY METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 67 |
|
2 |
|
4 |
|
2 |
|
| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 69 |
|
58 |
|
48 |
|
54 |
|
| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 89 |
|
94 |
|
52 |
|
65 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 86 |
|
50 |
|
30 |
|
37 |
|
Sentiment Metrics in Detail
| SENTIMENT | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANALYST OPINIONS | ||||||||
| ANALYST OPINIONS | n/a |
|
100 |
|
100 |
|
new |
|
| OPINIONS CHANGE | ||||||||
| OPINIONS CHANGE | n/a |
|
n/a |
|
n/a |
|
new |
|
| PRO HOLDINGS | ||||||||
| PRO HOLDINGS | n/a |
|
1 |
|
90 |
|
new |
|
| MARKET PULSE | ||||||||
| MARKET PULSE | n/a |
|
58 |
|
67 |
|
new |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
67 |
|
90 |
|
new |
|
Stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for Green Plains Partners from April 25, 2024.
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