November 16, 2023
Top 10 Stock Gesco Strong Buy Recommendation



How to read the ranks

For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:

Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

Snapshot: Gesco – Top 10 Stock in Germany CDAX


gesco.de


Gesco is listed as a top 10 stock on November 16, 2023 in the market index CDAX because of its high performance in at least one of the Obermatt investment strategies. As three out of four consolidated Obermatt Ranks exhibit excellent performance, it is a solid investment from a financial fact perspective where only investor sentiment is a reason for caution. Based on the Obermatt 360° View of 86 (top 86% performer), Obermatt assesses an overall strong buy recommendation for Gesco on November 16, 2023.


Snapshot: Obermatt Ranks


Country Germany
Industry Industrial Machinery
Index CDAX
Size class Medium
Latest Research


Top 10 Stocks ≠ most popular stocks

When Obermatt identifies the Top 10 stocks in a market, it’s based on a certain investment strategy. The best performing stocks usually aren’t the ones that everyone is talking about (those are often "over-priced" and have low Value ranks).

For each investment strategy, we provide you with more detailed analysis and our recommendation. You see the ranks of the top 10 stocks ranked by that particular investment strategy (360° View, Sentiment, Value, Growth, Safety and Combined Financial Performance).


360° View: Obermatt 360° View Gesco Strong Buy

360 METRICS November 16, 2023
VALUE
VALUE
GROWTH
GROWTH
SAFETY
SAFETY
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT
360° VIEW
360° VIEW

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt 360° View of 86 (better than 86% compared with alternatives) for 2023, overall professional sentiment and financial characteristics for the stock Gesco are very positive. The 360° View is based on consolidating four consolidated indicators, with three out of four indicators above average for Gesco. The consolidated Value Rank has an attractive rank of 100, which means that the share price of Gesco is on the lower side compared with the typical size in indicators such as revenues, profits, and invested capital. This means the stock price is lower than for 100% of alternative stocks in the same industry. The consolidated Growth Rank has a good rank of 73, which means that the company experiences above-average growth momentum when looking at financial metrics such as revenue, profit, and invested capital growth, as well as stock returns. The company is also safely financed with a Safety Rank of 84. But the professional market sentiment is below average compared with other stock investment alternatives with a Sentiment Rank of only 18. Professional investors are more confident in 82% other stocks. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated 360° View of 86, Gesco is better positioned than 86% of all alternative stock investment opportunities based on the Obermatt Method. As three out of four consolidated Obermatt Ranks exhibit excellent performance, such as good value (Value Rank of 100), above-average growth (Growth Rank of 73), and safe financing practices (Safety Rank of 84), it is a solid stock investment where the risk of paying too much for the shares is limited, and disappointments are less likely, unless information not publicly available. Only the professional market sentiment is on the riskier side (Sentiment Rank of 18), but that could also mean an overreaction to negative news in the past. Good value is sometimes an indication that the company's future is challenging. If they have been enjoying above average growth and are still a good value, this may not continue. We recommend evaluating whether the future of Gesco is as challenging as the low price of the stock despite good growth and safe financing practices suggest. Since the professional community is pessimistic, you may want to reflect these negative opinions in light of what you find reasonable to expect for the future. If you believe this pessimistic view is transitory, you have a solid investment case based on current financial factors. ...read more




Sentiment Strategy: Professional Market Sentiment for Gesco negative

SENTIMENT METRICS November 16, 2023
ANALYST OPINION
ANALYST OPINION
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 18 (better than 18% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock Gesco is critical, mostly below average. The Sentiment Rank is based on consolidating four sentiment indicators, with three out of four metrics below average for Gesco. Analyst Opinions are at a rank of 82 (better than 82% of alternative investments), which means that, currently, stock research analysts tend to recommend a stock investment in the company. This is a good sign, were it not for Analyst Opinions Change with a low rank of 14, which means that currently, stock research experts are changing their opinions for the worse. In other words, they are getting more critical of a stock investment in Gesco. The Professional Investors rank is also low at 22, meaning that professional investors hold less stock in this company than in 78% of alternative investment opportunities. Pros tend to invest in other companies. Even worse, Market Pulse has a low rank of 15, which means that the current professional news and professional social networks are critical of this company (more negative news than for 85% of competitors). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Sentiment Rank of 18 (less encouraging than 82% compared with investment alternatives), Gesco has a reputation among professional investors that is far below that of its competitors. There are several negative sentiment signals, with only the Analyst Opinions Rank above average. This could be a stock with a long reputation for being positive but where things are worsening. Most analysts may not see it yet, but some have, and the professionals are already quite pessimistic. Proceed with caution when investing in this stock. ...read more



Value Strategy: Gesco Stock Price Value at the top

VALUE METRICS November 16, 2023
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 100 (better than 100% compared with alternatives) for 2023, Gesco shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators that are all above average for Gesco. Price-to-Sales is 95 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 95% of comparable companies, indicating a good value for Gesco's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits, more favorable than for 97% of alternatives, and this is also true for the Price-to-Book capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 97. Compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields of Gesco are expected to be higher than for 96% of all competitors (a Dividend Yield rank of 96). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 100, is a buy recommendation based on Gesco's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since all value metrics are above the industry average, there is no objection to investing in Gesco based on its detailed value metrics.



Growth Strategy: Gesco Growth Momentum good

GROWTH METRICS November 16, 2023
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 73 (better than 73% compared with alternatives), Gesco shows an above-average growth dynamic in its industry. Investors also speak of positive momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Gesco. Sales Growth has a rank of 94 which means that currently, professionals expect the company to grow more than 94% of its competitors. Capital Growth is also above 36% of competitors with a rank of 98. But Profit Growth only has a rank of 36, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its profits less than 64% of its competitors. And Stock Returns have also been below average with a rank of only 17. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 73, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Profits are sometimes low if the company invests in the future. The positive revenue and capital investment outlook confirms such an interpretation. Both revenues and capital are solid growth indicators, and lower profits in such a case would be encouraging. But the investors see it differently by punishing the share price. Sometimes, Mister Market is not very reliable, because it is not uncommon for it to be volatile. Investors should look out for signs of growth expenditure that could justify low profit growth, and they may also find reasons why recent stock price developments don't confirm the growth outlook of operations. While operating growth indicators are not perfect, they are more reliable indicators for future performance than stock prices that can repeatedly surprise investors. ...read more



Safety Strategy: Gesco Debt Financing Safety very solid

SAFETY METRICS November 16, 2023
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE
REFINANCING
REFINANCING
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 84 (better than 84% compared with alternatives) for 2023, the company Gesco has safe financing practices, which means that their overall debt burden is low. This doesn't mean that the business of Gesco is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators where two out of three are above average for Gesco.Leverage is at 67, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 67% of its competitors.Refinancing is at a rank of 90, meaning that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 90% of its competitors. Liquidity is at 49, meaning that the company generates less profit to service its debt than 51% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the riskier side regarding debt service. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 84 (better than 84% compared with alternatives), Gesco has a financing structure that is significantly safer than that of its competitors. Low leverage and low refinancing risk mean a safer financing situation. However, low liquidity means that current company cash flows are low in relation to the level of debt. This is a sign of caution in case it is expected for profits to remain low. ...read more



Combined financial peformance: Gesco Top Financial Performance

COMBINED PERFORMANCE November 16, 2023
VALUE
VALUE
GROWTH
GROWTH
SAFETY
SAFETY
COMBINED
COMBINED

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 94 (better than 94% compared with investment alternatives), Gesco (Industrial Machinery, Germany) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of Gesco are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 100 (better than 100% of alternatives), show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 73), and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 84), which means low debt burdens. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 94, is a strong buy recommendation based on Gesco's financial characteristics. As the company Gesco's key financial metrics all exhibit excellent performance, such as good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 100), above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 73), and indicate that the company is safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 84), it is a solid stock investment where the risk of paying too much for the share is limited, unless the company has a bleak future. Such good financial performance can indicate that the company's future might actually be challenging, as it may be difficult to maintain the good performance. If they are safely financed and have been growing above average, and are still a good value, it means that the market is keeping prices low, for a reason which may become clearer over time. We recommend evaluating the future of Gesco. If you believe the company's future is market-typical or even better, this could be an argument for a share purchase. ...read more

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