June 1, 2023
Top 10 Stock FQM Sell Recommendation



How to read the ranks

For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:

Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

Snapshot: FQM – Top 10 Stock in Uranium Mining and Production


first-quantum.com


FQM is listed as a top 10 stock on June 01, 2023 in the market index Uranium because of its high performance in at least one of the Obermatt investment strategies. Only the Obermatt Value Rank exhibits above-average performance, which means that the stock is seen as critical by the professional community and other financial facts are below average, conveying mixed investment signals. Based on the Obermatt 360° View of 18 (18% performer), Obermatt issues an overall sell recommendation for FQM on June 01, 2023.


Snapshot: Obermatt Ranks


Country Canada
Industry Copper
Index Copper, Human Rights, Iron, Lithium, Low Waste, Rare Earth, Renewables Users, Recycling, Silver, Uranium, TSX Composite
Size class X-Large
Latest Research


Top 10 Stocks ≠ most popular stocks

When Obermatt identifies the Top 10 stocks in a market, it’s based on a certain investment strategy. The best performing stocks usually aren’t the ones that everyone is talking about (those are often "over-priced" and have low Value ranks).

For each investment strategy, we provide you with more detailed analysis and our recommendation. You see the ranks of the top 10 stocks ranked by that particular investment strategy (360° View, Sentiment, Value, Growth, Safety and Combined Financial Performance).


360° View: Obermatt 360° Assessment FQM Sell

360 METRICS June 1, 2023
VALUE
VALUE
GROWTH
GROWTH
SAFETY
SAFETY
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT
360° VIEW
360° VIEW

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt 360° View of 18 (better than 18% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock FQM are critical, mostly below average. The 360° View is based on consolidating four consolidated indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for FQM. Only the consolidated Value Rank has an attractive rank of 58, which means that the share price of FQM is on the lower side compared with typical size in indicators such as revenues, profits, and invested capital. This means that the stock price is lower than for 58% of alternative stocks in the same industry. All other consolidated ranks are below average. The consolidated Growth Rank has a low rank of 31, which means that the company exhibits below-average growth momentum when looking at financial metrics such as revenue, profit, and invested capital growth as well as stock returns. The consolidated Safety Rank has a riskier rank of 14, meaning the company has a riskier financing structure than 86% comparable companies when looking at the amount of its debt, its refinancing requirements, and its ability to service debt. Finally, professionals are more pessimistic about the stock than for 58% of alternative investment opportunities, reflected in the consolidated Sentiment Rank of 42. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a 360° View of 18, FQM is worse than 82% of all alternative stock investment opportunities based on the Obermatt Method. This means that FQM shares are on the riskier side for investors. Only one of the consolidated Obermatt Ranks exhibits above-average performance, namely the Value Rank at a level of 58. All other ranks are below average, so proceed with caution. The company has below-average growth expectations (Growth Rank of 31), a riskier financing structure (Safety Rank of 14), and negative market sentiment in the professional investor community (Sentiment Rank of 42). This combination is sensitive to a crisis, because high debt levels (low safety) require growth to finance the debt burden. It’s no wonder that the investor community indicators are skeptical (low sentiment). Good value is sometimes an indication that the company's future is challenging. The below-par growth performance may be the reason for this assessment. We recommend evaluating whether the future of FQM is as challenging as the low price of the stock suggests. Since the professional community is pessimistic, you might need to worry about the future of FQM. Only invest if you have solid reasons to believe that the sluggish growth is temporary and the current market sentiment is an overreaction, possibly due to reputational issues in the past. ...read more




Sentiment Strategy: Professional Market Sentiment for FQM only reserved

SENTIMENT METRICS June 1, 2023
ANALYST OPINION
ANALYST OPINION
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 42 (better than 42% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock FQM is below industry average. The Sentiment Rank is based on consolidating four sentiment indicators, with all but one indicator above average for FQM. Analyst Opinions are at a rank of 55 (better than 55% of alternative investments), which means that, currently, stock research analysts tend to recommend a stock investment in the company. In addition, Analyst Opinions Change has a rank of 55, which means that stock research experts are changing their opinions for the better in recommending investing in the company. In other words, they are getting even more optimistic about investments in FQM. Finally, the Professional Investors rank is 76, which means that currently, professional investors hold more stock in this company than in 76% of alternative investment opportunities. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 42 (less encouraging than 58% compared with investment alternatives), FQM has a reputation among professional investors that is below that of its competitors. Pros tend to favor investing in this company. But there is also a signal for caution. Market Pulse has a rank of 12, which means that the current professional news and professional social networks tend to be negative when discussing this company (more negative news than for 88% of competitors). This could mean future risks and should make investors careful. Attention to negative news for FQM is worthwhile because they may be early warning signals. Without those, all other professional signals are encouraging, especially since analysts are getting more optimistic. ...read more



Value Strategy: FQM Stock Price Value better than average

VALUE METRICS June 1, 2023
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 58 (better than 58% compared with alternatives), FQM shares are more attractively priced than the majority of comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators where three out of four are below average for FQM. Only the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) indicates good stock value with an Price-to-Book Rank of 54, which means that the stock price is lower compared with invested capital than for 54% of comparable investments. All other value indicators are below the market median. Price-to-Sales is 48 which means the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is higher than 52% of comparable companies, indicating a low value concerning FQM's revenue levels. The same is valid for the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Book Rank of 54 and for dividend yields which is lower than for 53% of comparable companies, making the stock more expensive compared with the company's expected dividend payouts. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 58, is a BUY recommendation based on FQM's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Why are market participants paying such a high price for FQM, where three out of four value indicators are below par? One reason could be that the company is well financed, indicated by the high book capital level, and has a promising future that is not yet visible in reported revenues and profits. That would also explain the low dividend yield because the company needs the cash to invest in its future. If investors can verify a picture in this sense, the stock may still be a good investment, even though current company-reported financials don't fully explain current stock prices. ...read more



Growth Strategy: FQM Growth Momentum low

GROWTH METRICS June 1, 2023
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 31 (better than 31% compared with alternatives), FQM shows a below-average growth dynamic in its industry. There is limited momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for FQM. Only Capital Growth has a good rank of 94, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its invested capital more than 12% of its competitors. The other three indicators are pointing South: Sales Growth has a rank of 46 which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow less than 54% of its competitors. Profit Growth with a rank of 12 and Stock Returns with a rank of 29 are also low (below 71% of alternative investments). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 31, is a HOLD recommendation for growth and momentum investors. The good news from the invested capital side is surprising. A company with disappointing revenues, profits, and disappointed shareholders typically doesn't invest above average. Overall, the growth momentum for FQM is thus negative. As it is intriguing to see that company executives are optimistic about their investment policy, it is worthwhile looking into the details of the capital investment projects. They may indicate future growth and profits and thus if accompanied by a good value, a sign of good timing to invest in the stock. ...read more



Safety Strategy: FQM Debt Financing Safety risky

SAFETY METRICS June 1, 2023
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE
REFINANCING
REFINANCING
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 14 (better than 14% compared with alternatives), the company FQM has much riskier financing practices than comparable other companies, which means that their overall debt burden is significantly above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of FQM is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with all three metrics below average for FQM. Liquidity is at 24, meaning that the company generates less profit to service its debt than 76% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the riskier side when it comes to debt service. Even worse, Leverage is at a rank of 16, meaning the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 84% of its competitors. Finally, Refinancing is at a rank of 41 which means that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is above average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 59% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 14 (worse than 86% compared with alternatives), FQM has a financing structure that is significantly riskier than that of its competitors. This combination is rather dangerous in most situations. Only very promising companies with bright future outlooks and stellar reputations can operate with such risky financing. ...read more



Combined financial peformance: FQM Lowest Financial Performance

COMBINED PERFORMANCE June 1, 2023
VALUE
VALUE
GROWTH
GROWTH
SAFETY
SAFETY
COMBINED
COMBINED

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 16 (worse than 84% compared with investment alternatives), FQM (Copper, Canada) shares have lower financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of FQM are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Obermatt Value Rank of 58 (better than 58% of alternatives) but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 31), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 14), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: An Obermatt Combined Rank of 16, is a sell recommendation based on FQM's financial characteristics. As the company FQM's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 58) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 31) and risky financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 14), it may be a risky investment, because debt in times of crises can make things worse. The good value, better than 58% of comparable companies, may indicate the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity. ...read more

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