August 10, 2023
Top 10 Stock Fortinet Strong Buy Recommendation
How to read the ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Snapshot: Fortinet – Top 10 Stock in SDG 4: Quality Education
Fortinet is listed as a top 10 stock on August 10, 2023 in the market index SDG 4 because of its high performance in at least one of the Obermatt investment strategies. Three consolidated Obermatt Ranks are above-average. Only the Value Rank is below average. The investment rationale may be an investment in future growth, supported by professional market opinion. Based on the Obermatt 360° View of 77 (top 77% performer), Obermatt assesses an overall strong buy recommendation for Fortinet on August 10, 2023.
Snapshot: Obermatt Ranks
When Obermatt identifies the Top 10 stocks in a market, it’s based on a certain investment strategy. The best performing stocks usually aren’t the ones that everyone is talking about (those are often "over-priced" and have low Value ranks).
For each investment strategy, we provide you with more detailed analysis and our recommendation. You see the ranks of the top 10 stocks ranked by that particular investment strategy (360° View, Sentiment, Value, Growth, Safety and Combined Financial Performance).
360° View: Obermatt 360° View Fortinet Strong Buy
| 360 METRICS | August 10, 2023 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 8 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 71 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 58 |
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| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | 100 |
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| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | 77 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt 360° View of 77 (better than 77% compared with alternatives) for 2023, overall professional sentiment and financial characteristics for the stock Fortinet are very positive. The 360° View is based on consolidating four consolidated indicators, with all but one indicator above average for Fortinet. The consolidated Growth Rank has a good rank of 71, which means that the company experiences above-average growth momentum when looking at financial metrics such as revenue, profit, and invested capital growth, as well as stock returns. This means that growth is higher than for 71% of competitors in the same industry. The consolidated Safety Rank at 58 means that the company has a financing structure that is safer than 58% comparable companies when looking at the amount of its debt, its refinancing requirements, and its ability to service debt. Finally, the consolidated Sentiment Rank has a good rank of 100, which means that professional investors are more optimistic about the stock than for 100% of alternative investment opportunities. But the consolidated Value Rank is less desirable at 8, meaning that the share price of Fortinet is on the higher side compared with indicators such as revenues, profits, and invested capital. This means the stock price is higher than for 92% of alternative stocks in the same industry. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated 360° View of 77, Fortinet is better positioned than 77% of all alternative stock investment opportunities based on the Obermatt Method. As three out of four consolidated Obermatt Ranks exhibit excellent performance, such as above-average growth (Growth Rank of 71), a safe financing structure (Safety Rank of 58), and positive professional market sentiment (Sentiment Rank of 100), it is a solid stock investment where growth may be the strongest driver of the investment rationale, also reflected by institutional investors. It is typical for growth companies to have low value, as is the case here. Investors are willing to pay more for companies that outperform their competitors. So the question is, how much more do you pay for the stock of Fortinet compared with alternatives? You can use the following rule of thumb: The growth rank measures the growth momentum of the company (71% better than peers). The value rank could be the reverse reflection of that (29%). A Value Rank below that level may be assessed as expensive, a rank above that is still good value. Sometimes market sentiment just reflects the past, sometimes the reality. You pay more than the market average for this stock, but it may be worth it. ...read more
Sentiment Strategy: Professional Market Sentiment for Fortinet very positive
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 100 (better than 100% compared with alternatives) for 2023, overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock Fortinet is very positive. The Sentiment Rank is based on consolidating four sentiment indicators, with all four indicators above average for Fortinet. Analyst Opinions are at a rank of 75 (better than 75% of alternative investments), which means that, currently, stock research analysts tend to recommend a stock investment in the company. Analyst Opinions Change is also positive with a rank of 93, which means that stock research experts are changing their opinions for the better and recommending investing in the company. They are getting more optimistic about stock investments in Fortinet. The Professional Investors rank is 100, which means that currently, professional investors hold more stock in this company than in 100% of alternative investment opportunities. Pros tend to favor investing in this company. Finally, Market Pulse has a rank of 86 which means that the current professional news and professional social networks are on the positive side when discussing this company (more positive news than for 86% of competitors). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Sentiment Rank of 100 (more positive than 100% compared with investment alternatives), Fortinet has a reputation among professional investors that is significantly higher than that of its competitors. Since all market sentiment indicators are positive, the professional community highly recommends investment in the company. Does this mean Fortinet stocks are a safe investment? Far from it. Even professionals make mistakes. Especially in stock investing, there is a tendency to follow the leaders. Since trees don't grow to the heavens, such positive sentiment may also be interpreted as a danger sign. A lot of optimism can often be a sign of troubles to come, albeit unforeseen by most. ...read more
Value Strategy: Fortinet Stock Price Value low
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 8 (worse than 92% compared with alternatives), Fortinet shares are significantly more expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all four indicators below average for Fortinet. Price-to-Sales is 15 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is higher than 85% of comparable companies, indicating a low value concerning Fortinet's sales levels. Price-to-Book Capital (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) also has a low Price-to-Book Rank of 4, which means that both reliable company size indicators, sales, and invested capital cannot explain the high stock price of Fortinet. In addition, the two profit-related value indicators, Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price-earnings, P/E) with a low rank of 30 and Dividend Yield, which is lower than 99% of comparable companies, also make the stock more expensive compared with investment alternatives. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 8, is a sell recommendation based on Fortinet's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. How can market participants pay such a high price for Fortinet? One reason may be that the company is simply too popular. If enough people want a particular stock, its price can exceed reasonable levels. This is often the case for companies offering new and exciting products and everybody wants a piece of the action. Should you pay a lot for a hot stock such as Fortinet? It's risky, and even if the stock price continues to grow because of popular demand, it may return to more typical lower levels later. And that return can be sudden and quick, making it impossible for retail investors to exit on time. Sometimes, high prices are deserved. This is the case when it is justified to believe that the company will dominate a market with high profit margins. It has happened in the past for many technology companies and indeed for commercially successful pharmaceutical discoveries. Sometimes they last, sometimes, they get eaten alive. Fortinet may be such a type of stock. That would mean, retail investors should be careful, only considering investing a small part of their wealth in this exciting category and always being ready to lose more than half, if not all of the investment. ...read more
Growth Strategy: Fortinet Growth Momentum good
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 71 (better than 71% compared with alternatives), Fortinet shows an above-average growth dynamic in its industry. Investors also speak of positive momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all but one indicator above average for Fortinet. Sales Growth has a rank of 84 which means that currently, professionals expect the company to grow more than 84% of its competitors. Both Profit Growth, with a rank of 63, and Stock Returns, with a rank of 55, are also above average. But Capital Growth only has a rank of 33, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow its invested capital less than 67% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 71, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. That may be a good sign if the company is already well positioned and doesn't require more investments at this time. They may focus on growing the top (revenues) and bottom (profits) lines, recently rewarded with above-average stock returns for shareholders. But it may also be a sign of danger as the company is falling back with capital investment activities concerning competition. This requires further analysis of corporate communications. ...read more
Safety Strategy: Fortinet Debt Financing Safety above-average
| SAFETY METRICS | August 10, 2023 | |||||||
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| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 2 |
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| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 39 |
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| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 93 |
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| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 58 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 58 (better than 58% compared with alternatives), the company Fortinet has financing practices on the safer side, which mean that their overall debt burden is lower than average. This doesn't mean that the business of Fortinet is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with just one indicator above average for Fortinet. Liquidity is at 93, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 93% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is safer when it comes to debt service. But Refinancing is riskier at a rank of 39, which means that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is above average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 61% of its competitors. Leverage is also high at a rank of 2, which means that the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 98% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 58 (better than 58% compared with alternatives), Fortinet has a financing structure that is safer than that of its competitors. High Leverage (a low Obermatt Leverage Rank) is good in good times, because it usually indicates that shareholders get higher returns. The good Liquidity performance of the company is an indicator that this is the case. However, if you expect an economic downturn, you may stay clear of this stock because they have an above-average debt level that needs refinancing soon. ...read more
Combined financial peformance: Fortinet Above-Average Financial Performance
| COMBINED PERFORMANCE | August 10, 2023 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 8 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 71 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 93 |
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| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 54 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 54 (better than 54% compared with investment alternatives), Fortinet (Systems Software, USA) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Fortinet are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 8 (worse than 92% of alternatives). But they show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 71) and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 58, which means below-average debt burdens). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 54, is a buy recommendation based on Fortinet's financial characteristics. Investors looking for growth and low financial risk may find this stock attractive. While the company Fortinet exhibits low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 8), which means that the stock price is rather high, it also demonstrates above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 71). This is a typical case, as high-growth companies are often expensive. Good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 58) are a double-edged sword: if the company continues growing, low debt limits shareholder returns. But if the company increases its debt, it will also increase risk. In other words, this is an investment on the safer side, despite the above-average price (low value). ...read more
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