June 1, 2023
Top 10 Stock ForFarmers Hold Recommendation



How to read the ranks

For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:

Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

Snapshot: ForFarmers – Top 10 Stock in SDG 15: Life on Land


forfarmers.nl


ForFarmers is listed as a top 10 stock on June 01, 2023 in the market index SDG 15 because of its high performance in at least one of the Obermatt investment strategies. Only the Obermatt Value Rank exhibits above-average performance, which means that the stock is seen as critical by the professional community and other financial facts are below average, conveying mixed investment signals. Based on the Obermatt 360° View of 41 (41% performer), Obermatt assesses an overall hold recommendation for ForFarmers on June 01, 2023.


Snapshot: Obermatt Ranks


Country Netherlands
Industry Agricultural Products
Index Dividends Europe, SDG 12, SDG 13, SDG 15, SDG 2, SDG 7, Sound Pay Europe
Size class X-Large
Latest Research


Top 10 Stocks ≠ most popular stocks

When Obermatt identifies the Top 10 stocks in a market, it’s based on a certain investment strategy. The best performing stocks usually aren’t the ones that everyone is talking about (those are often "over-priced" and have low Value ranks).

For each investment strategy, we provide you with more detailed analysis and our recommendation. You see the ranks of the top 10 stocks ranked by that particular investment strategy (360° View, Sentiment, Value, Growth, Safety and Combined Financial Performance).


360° View: Obermatt 360° Assessment ForFarmers Hold

360 METRICS June 1, 2023
VALUE
VALUE
GROWTH
GROWTH
SAFETY
SAFETY
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT
360° VIEW
360° VIEW

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt 360° View of 41 (better than 41% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock ForFarmers are below the industry average. The 360° View is based on consolidating four consolidated indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for ForFarmers. Only the consolidated Value Rank has an attractive rank of 100, which means that the share price of ForFarmers is on the lower side compared with typical size in indicators such as revenues, profits, and invested capital. This means that the stock price is lower than for 100% of alternative stocks in the same industry. All other consolidated ranks are below average. The consolidated Growth Rank has a low rank of 12, which means that the company exhibits below-average growth momentum when looking at financial metrics such as revenue, profit, and invested capital growth as well as stock returns. The consolidated Safety Rank has a riskier rank of 46, meaning the company has a riskier financing structure than 54% comparable companies when looking at the amount of its debt, its refinancing requirements, and its ability to service debt. Finally, professionals are more pessimistic about the stock than for 86% of alternative investment opportunities, reflected in the consolidated Sentiment Rank of 14. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a 360° View of 41, ForFarmers is worse than 59% of all alternative stock investment opportunities based on the Obermatt Method. Only one of the consolidated Obermatt Ranks exhibits above-average performance, namely the Value Rank at a level of 100. All other ranks are below average, so proceed with caution. The company has below-average growth expectations (Growth Rank of 12), a riskier financing structure (Safety Rank of 46), and negative market sentiment in the professional investor community (Sentiment Rank of 14). This combination is sensitive to a crisis, because high debt levels (low safety) require growth to finance the debt burden. It’s no wonder that the investor community indicators are skeptical (low sentiment). Good value is sometimes an indication that the company's future is challenging. The below-par growth performance may be the reason for this assessment. We recommend evaluating whether the future of ForFarmers is as challenging as the low price of the stock suggests. Since the professional community is pessimistic, you might need to worry about the future of ForFarmers. Only invest if you have solid reasons to believe that the sluggish growth is temporary and the current market sentiment is an overreaction, possibly due to reputational issues in the past. ...read more




Sentiment Strategy: Professional Market Sentiment for ForFarmers negative

SENTIMENT METRICS June 1, 2023
ANALYST OPINION
ANALYST OPINION
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 14 (better than 14% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock ForFarmers is critical, mostly below average. The Sentiment Rank is based on consolidating four sentiment indicators, with half of the metrics below and half above average for ForFarmers. Analyst Opinions are at a rank of 13 (worse than 87% of alternative investments), which means that currently, stock research analysts tend to warn against investing in the stock of the company. But they are changing their opinions! Analyst Opinions Change has a rank of 50, which means that stock research experts are more positive in their investment recommendations in the company. In other words, they are getting more optimistic of stock investments in ForFarmers. More encouragingly, the Professional Investors rank is 57, which means that professional investors hold more stock in this company than in 57% of alternative investment opportunities. Pros tend to favor investing in this company. But Market Pulse is on the lower side with a rank of 5, which means that the current professional news and professional social networks are on the negative side when discussing this company (more negative news than for 95% of competitors). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 14 (less encouraging than 86% compared with investment alternatives), ForFarmers has a reputation among professional investors that is far below that of its competitors. The sentiment signals are mixed for ForFarmers. While analysts and the news channels are negative, there is a change in what stock research analysts think. Above-average institutional investors in this company support them. While the sentiment signals remain mixed with analysts and news channels pessimistic, some analysts are optimistic, which is an encouraging sign for investing in this stock. ...read more



Value Strategy: ForFarmers Stock Price Value at the top

VALUE METRICS June 1, 2023
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 100 (better than 100% compared with alternatives) for 2023, ForFarmers shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators that are all above average for ForFarmers. Price-to-Sales has a value of 97 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 97% of comparable companies, indicating a good value for ForFarmers's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits, more favorable than for 88% of alternatives, and this is also true for the Price-to-Book capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 87. Compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields of ForFarmers are expected to be higher than for 100% of all competitors (a Dividend Yield rank of 100). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 100, is a strong buy recommendation based on ForFarmers's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since all value metrics are above the industry average, there is no objection to investing in ForFarmers based on its detailed value metrics.



Growth Strategy: ForFarmers Growth Momentum negative

GROWTH METRICS June 1, 2023
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 12 (better than 12% compared with alternatives), ForFarmers shows one of the most restricted growth dynamics in its industry. There is little momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for ForFarmers. Sales Growth has a below market rank of 1, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow less than 99% of its competitors. The same is valid for Capital Growth, with a rank of 38, and Profit Growth, with a rank of 17. Currently, professionals expect the company to grow its profits less than 83% of its competitors). Only shareholders are optimistic. Stock Returns are above average at a rank of 72, which means that the stock returns have recently been above 72% of alternative investments. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 12, is a SELL recommendation for growth and momentum investors. That picture may be the result for a company that has reached the bottom. All went south for ForFarmers, and it still looks bad, but some investors already see light at the end of the tunnel, rewarding the stock with an above-market return. It could also mean that investors are correcting an overreaction to negative news. If that were the case, the positive shareholder returns are not yet a sign of recovery. Investors should look closely at the Value and Sentiment indicators before they make a stock purchasing decision, because growth is unlikely to be the driving argument behind this investment. ...read more



Safety Strategy: ForFarmers Debt Financing Safety below-average

SAFETY METRICS June 1, 2023
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE
REFINANCING
REFINANCING
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 46 (better than 46% compared with alternatives), the company ForFarmers has financing practices on the riskier side, which means that their overall debt burden is above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of ForFarmers is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators where two out of three are above average for ForFarmers.Leverage is at 60, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 60% of its competitors.Refinancing is at a rank of 65, meaning that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 65% of its competitors. Liquidity is at 31, meaning that the company generates less profit to service its debt than 69% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the riskier side regarding debt service. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 46 (worse than 54% compared with alternatives), ForFarmers has a financing structure that is riskier than that of its competitors. Low leverage and low refinancing risk mean a safer financing situation. However, low liquidity means that current company cash flows are low in relation to the level of debt. This is a sign of caution in case it is expected for profits to remain low. ...read more



Combined financial peformance: ForFarmers Above-Average Financial Performance

COMBINED PERFORMANCE June 1, 2023
VALUE
VALUE
GROWTH
GROWTH
SAFETY
SAFETY
COMBINED
COMBINED

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 59 (better than 59% compared with investment alternatives), ForFarmers (Agricultural Products, Netherlands) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of ForFarmers are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Obermatt Value Rank of 100 (better than 100% of alternatives) but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 12), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 46), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: An Obermatt Combined Rank of 59, is a buy recommendation based on ForFarmers's financial characteristics. As the company ForFarmers's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 100) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 12) and risky financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 46), it may be a risky investment, because debt in times of crises can make things worse. The good value, better than 100% of comparable companies, may indicate the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity. ...read more

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