January 11, 2024
Top 10 Stock Fevertree Drinks Hold Recommendation
How to read the ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Snapshot: Fevertree Drinks – Top 10 Stock in SDG 15: Life on Land
Fevertree Drinks is listed as a top 10 stock on January 11, 2024 in the market index SDG 15 because of its high performance in at least one of the Obermatt investment strategies. Two consolidated Obermatt Ranks are above-average. While the company shows high growth, the stock price is high yet professional investor sentiment is low, which may be due to overly optimistic investor behavior, reflected in a low stock price value. Based on the Obermatt 360° View of 39 (39% performer), Obermatt assesses an overall hold recommendation for Fevertree Drinks on January 11, 2024.
Snapshot: Obermatt Ranks
When Obermatt identifies the Top 10 stocks in a market, it’s based on a certain investment strategy. The best performing stocks usually aren’t the ones that everyone is talking about (those are often "over-priced" and have low Value ranks).
For each investment strategy, we provide you with more detailed analysis and our recommendation. You see the ranks of the top 10 stocks ranked by that particular investment strategy (360° View, Sentiment, Value, Growth, Safety and Combined Financial Performance).
360° View: Obermatt 360° View Fevertree Drinks Hold
| 360 METRICS | January 11, 2024 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 6 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 65 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 91 |
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| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | 16 |
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| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | 39 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt 360° View of 39 (better than 39% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and financial characteristics for the stock Fevertree Drinks are below the industry average. The 360° View is based on consolidating four consolidated indicators, with half of the metrics below and half above average for Fevertree Drinks. The consolidated Growth Rank has a good rank of 65, which means that the company experiences above-average growth momentum when looking at financial metrics such as revenue, profit, and invested capital growth as well as stock returns. This means that growth is higher than for 65% of competitors in the same industry. In addition, the consolidated Safety Rank has a safer rank of 91 which means that the company has a financing structure that is safer than 91% comparable companies when looking at the amount of its debt, its refinancing requirements, and its ability to service debt. But the consolidated Value Rank has a less desirable rank of 6 which means that the share price of Fevertree Drinks is on the higher side compared with typical size in indicators such as revenues, profits, and invested capital. This means that the stock price is higher than for 94% of alternative stocks in the same industry. The consolidated Sentiment Rank also has a low rank of 16, which means that professional investors are more pessimistic about the stock than for 84% of alternative investment opportunities. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated 360° View of 39, Fevertree Drinks is worse than 61% of all alternative stock investment opportunities based on the Obermatt Method. As only half of the consolidated Obermatt Ranks exhibit excellent performance, the picture is ambiguous. Growth is above-average (Growth Rank of 65), and the company is safely financed (Safety Rank of 91). However, professional market sentiment is low(Sentiment Rank of 16). The negative market view on Fevertree Drinks may be due to the high stock price (low value). A growth company like this may get too expensive at one point in time. If too many investors are desperate to board the train, they may drive stock prices above reasonable levels. It is typical for growth companies to have low value ratings, because investors are willing to pay more for companies that outperform their competitors. So the question is, how much more do you pay for the stock of Fevertree Drinks compared with alternatives? You can use the following rule of thumb: The value rank shouldn’t be lower than one hundred minus the growth rank. For example, if the growth rank is at 75, and the value rank is at 5, you should tread carefully. If the value rank is at 40, it still might be a good value if the value rank is above 60. As market sentiment is low, you should be careful with paying more than market-average for this stock and conduct further research into the company’s future growth potential. ...read more
Sentiment Strategy: Professional Market Sentiment for Fevertree Drinks negative
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 16 (better than 16% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock Fevertree Drinks is critical, mostly below average. The Sentiment Rank is based on consolidating four sentiment indicators, with half the indicators below and half above average for Fevertree Drinks. Analyst Opinions are at a rank of 18 (worse than 82% of alternative investments), which means that currently, stock research analysts tend to warn against investing in the stock of the company. Worse, Analyst Opinions Change has a rank of 47, which means that stock research experts are getting even more pessimistic. In addition, the Professional Investors rank is 1, which means that professional investors hold less stock in this company than in 99% of alternative investment opportunities. Pros tend to invest in other companies. The only positive sentiment indicator for Fevertree Drinks is Market Pulse, with a rank of 54, which means that the current professional news and professional social networks tend to be positive when discussing this company (more positive news than for 54% of competitors). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Sentiment Rank of 16 (less encouraging than 84% compared with investment alternatives), Fevertree Drinks has a reputation among professional investors that is far below that of its competitors. This is an ambiguous picture: analysts are negative and getting even more critical while the news in the market is positive. Who should investors believe? This is a difficult question in such a situation. Investors should proceed cautiously and verify not only the financial performance in the Obermatt Value, Growth and Safety Ranks but also independent news coverage of the company. ...read more
Value Strategy: Fevertree Drinks Stock Price Value low
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 6 (worse than 94% compared with alternatives), Fevertree Drinks shares are significantly more expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all four indicators below average for Fevertree Drinks. Price-to-Sales is 13 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is higher than 87% of comparable companies, indicating a low value concerning Fevertree Drinks's sales levels. Price-to-Book Capital (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) also has a low Price-to-Book Rank of 10, which means that both reliable company size indicators, sales, and invested capital cannot explain the high stock price of Fevertree Drinks. In addition, the two profit-related value indicators, Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price-earnings, P/E) with a low rank of 7 and Dividend Yield, which is lower than 81% of comparable companies, also make the stock more expensive compared with investment alternatives. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 6, is a sell recommendation based on Fevertree Drinks's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. How can market participants pay such a high price for Fevertree Drinks? One reason may be that the company is simply too popular. If enough people want a particular stock, its price can exceed reasonable levels. This is often the case for companies offering new and exciting products and everybody wants a piece of the action. Should you pay a lot for a hot stock such as Fevertree Drinks? It's risky, and even if the stock price continues to grow because of popular demand, it may return to more typical lower levels later. And that return can be sudden and quick, making it impossible for retail investors to exit on time. Sometimes, high prices are deserved. This is the case when it is justified to believe that the company will dominate a market with high profit margins. It has happened in the past for many technology companies and indeed for commercially successful pharmaceutical discoveries. Sometimes they last, sometimes, they get eaten alive. Fevertree Drinks may be such a type of stock. That would mean, retail investors should be careful, only considering investing a small part of their wealth in this exciting category and always being ready to lose more than half, if not all of the investment. ...read more
Growth Strategy: Fevertree Drinks Growth Momentum good
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 65 (better than 65% compared with alternatives), Fevertree Drinks shows an above-average growth dynamic in its industry. Investors also speak of positive momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Fevertree Drinks. Sales Growth has a rank of 98 which means that currently, professionals expect the company to grow more than 98% of its competitors. Capital Growth is also above 11% of competitors with a rank of 68. But Profit Growth only has a rank of 11, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its profits less than 89% of its competitors. And Stock Returns have also been below average with a rank of only 45. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 65, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Profits are sometimes low if the company invests in the future. The positive revenue and capital investment outlook confirms such an interpretation. Both revenues and capital are solid growth indicators, and lower profits in such a case would be encouraging. But the investors see it differently by punishing the share price. Sometimes, Mister Market is not very reliable, because it is not uncommon for it to be volatile. Investors should look out for signs of growth expenditure that could justify low profit growth, and they may also find reasons why recent stock price developments don't confirm the growth outlook of operations. While operating growth indicators are not perfect, they are more reliable indicators for future performance than stock prices that can repeatedly surprise investors. ...read more
Safety Strategy: Fevertree Drinks Debt Financing Safety very solid
| SAFETY METRICS | January 11, 2024 | |||||||
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| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 94 |
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| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 55 |
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| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 97 |
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| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 91 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 91 (better than 91% compared with alternatives) for 2024, the company Fevertree Drinks has safe financing practices, which means that their overall debt burden is low. This doesn't mean that the business of Fevertree Drinks is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, where all three are above average for Fevertree Drinks. Leverage is at 94, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 94% of its competitors. Refinancing is at a rank of 55, meaning that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 55% of its competitors. Finally, Liquidity is also good at a rank of 97, which means that the company generates more profit to service its debt than 97% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 91 (better than 91% compared with alternatives), Fevertree Drinks has a financing structure that is significantly safer than that of its competitors. These three positive financing indicators signal that the company is less likely to default on its debt obligations. However, it also means that its shareholder returns will be more modest if things go well. A low safety means fewer troubles in downtimes and less upside in good times. ...read more
Combined financial peformance: Fevertree Drinks Above-Average Financial Performance
| COMBINED PERFORMANCE | January 11, 2024 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 6 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 65 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 97 |
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| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 57 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 57 (better than 57% compared with investment alternatives), Fevertree Drinks (Soft Drinks, United Kingdom) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Fevertree Drinks are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 6 (worse than 94% of alternatives). But they show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 65) and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 91, which means below-average debt burdens). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 57, is a buy recommendation based on Fevertree Drinks's financial characteristics. Investors looking for growth and low financial risk may find this stock attractive. While the company Fevertree Drinks exhibits low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 6), which means that the stock price is rather high, it also demonstrates above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 65). This is a typical case, as high-growth companies are often expensive. Good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 91) are a double-edged sword: if the company continues growing, low debt limits shareholder returns. But if the company increases its debt, it will also increase risk. In other words, this is an investment on the safer side, despite the above-average price (low value). ...read more
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