December 28, 2023
Top 10 Stock Ovinitiv Hold Recommendation
How to read the ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Snapshot: Ovinitiv – Top 10 Stock in Oil & Gas Mining and Production
Ovinitiv is listed as a top 10 stock on December 28, 2023 in the market index Oil & Gas because of its high performance in at least one of the Obermatt investment strategies. While only half of the consolidated Obermatt Ranks exhibit above-average performance, the professional market sentiment is positive and it may be a solid investment proposition, especially if a growth recovery is to be expected soon. Based on the Obermatt 360° View of 39 (39% performer), Obermatt assesses an overall hold recommendation for Ovinitiv on December 28, 2023.
Snapshot: Obermatt Ranks
| Country | Canada |
| Industry | Oil & Gas Production |
| Index | Low Emissions, Diversity USA, Human Rights, Oil & Gas |
| Size class | X-Large |
When Obermatt identifies the Top 10 stocks in a market, it’s based on a certain investment strategy. The best performing stocks usually aren’t the ones that everyone is talking about (those are often "over-priced" and have low Value ranks).
For each investment strategy, we provide you with more detailed analysis and our recommendation. You see the ranks of the top 10 stocks ranked by that particular investment strategy (360° View, Sentiment, Value, Growth, Safety and Combined Financial Performance).
360° View: Obermatt 360° View Ovinitiv Hold
| 360 METRICS | December 28, 2023 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 90 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 23 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 24 |
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| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | 58 |
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| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | 39 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt 360° View of 39 (better than 39% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and financial characteristics for the stock Ovinitiv are below the industry average. The 360° View is based on consolidating four consolidated indicators, with half the metrics below and half above average for Ovinitiv. The consolidated Value Rank has an attractive rank of 90, which means that the share price of Ovinitiv is on the lower side compared with the typical size in indicators such as revenues, profits, and invested capital. This means that the stock price is lower than for 90% of alternative stocks in the same industry. The consolidated Sentiment Rank has a good rank of 58, which means that professional investors are more optimistic about the stock than for 58% of alternative investment opportunities. But the consolidated Growth Rank has a low rank of 23, which means that the company exhibits below-average growth momentum when looking at financial metrics such as revenue, profit, invested capital growth, and stock returns. The consolidated Safety Rank has a riskier rank of 24, meaning the company has a riskier financing structure than 76 comparable companies when looking at the amount of its debt, its refinancing requirements, and its ability to service debt. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated 360° View of 39, Ovinitiv is worse than 61% of all alternative stock investment opportunities based on the Obermatt Method. Half of the consolidated Obermatt Ranks exhibit above-average performance, but the other half are below market levels. The company enjoys a good value (Value Rank of 90) and positive market sentiment in the professional investor community (Sentiment Rank of 58), but growth expectations are below-average (Growth Rank of 23) and the financing structure is on the risky side(Safety Rank of 24). This combination is rather dangerous, because high debt levels (low safety) require growth to finance the debt burden. The current low growth level may be temporary, because professionals are actually optimistic (positive sentiment). Good value is sometimes an indication that the company's future is challenging. The below-par growth performance may be the reason for this assessment. Companies with less growth typically have a lower price than fast-growing competitors. Even though professional investor sentiment is strong, we recommend further evaluating whether the future of Ovinitiv is as challenging as the stock's low price suggests. Since the professional community is optimistic, the stock might just be going through a more challenging phase now, indicating that timing might be good now. ...read more
Sentiment Strategy: Professional Market Sentiment for Ovinitiv positive
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 58 (better than 58% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock Ovinitiv is above average. The Sentiment Rank is based on consolidating four sentiment indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Ovinitiv. Analyst Opinions are at a rank of 70 (better than 70% of alternative investments), which means that currently, stock research analysts tend to recommend a stock investment in the company. Market Pulse is also positive with a rank of 62, which means that the current professional news and professional social networks are positive when discussing this company (more positive news than for 62% of competitors). But Analyst Opinions Change is negative with a below 50 rank of 46, which means that stock research experts are changing their opinions for the worse in recommending the company. In other words, they are getting more critical of investments in Ovinitiv. There are also only so many institutional investors holding company stock with a Professional Investors rank of 42, which means that, currently, professional investors hold less stock in this company than in 58% of alternative investment opportunities. Pros tend to invest in other companies. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Sentiment Rank of 58 (more positive than 58% compared with investment alternatives), Ovinitiv has a reputation among professional investors that is above-average compared with that of its competitors. The signals are ambivalent. The positive news in the market contradicts the negative change in analyst recommendations. Since the overall analyst recommendations are still above average, the stock may be safer for investing, especially if it is not an extra-large company where Pros tend to be less present. In such a case, the Pro Investor rank is not a problem. ...read more
Value Strategy: Ovinitiv Stock Price Value at the top
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 90 (better than 90% compared with alternatives) for 2023, Ovinitiv shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators that are all above average for Ovinitiv. Price-to-Sales is 83 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 83% of comparable companies, indicating a good value for Ovinitiv's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits, more favorable than for 87% of alternatives, and this is also true for the Price-to-Book capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 71. Compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields of Ovinitiv are expected to be higher than for 63% of all competitors (a Dividend Yield rank of 63). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 90, is a buy recommendation based on Ovinitiv's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since all value metrics are above the industry average, there is no objection to investing in Ovinitiv based on its detailed value metrics.
Growth Strategy: Ovinitiv Growth Momentum negative
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 23 (better than 23% compared with alternatives), Ovinitiv shows one of the most restricted growth dynamics in its industry. There is little momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four metrics below average for Ovinitiv. While Profit Growth has a good rank of 94, as professionals currently expect the company to grow its profits more than 94% of its competitors, all other growth indicators are below market averages. Sales Growth has a rank of 27, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow less than 73% of its competitors, while Capital Growth has a rank of 8 and Stock Returns have been below market median, with a rank of 31 (69% of alternative investments were better). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 23, is a sell recommendation for growth and momentum investors. While revenue growth and capital growth are good growth momentum indicators, profit is less reliable, because profits may increase due to cost-cutting measures which typically indicate negative growth momentum. "You can save a dollar only once" is the saying about such situations. Growth Investors should look at company priorities closely if they are interested in growth, because the increase in profits is not usually an indicator of growth, and stock prices have been below market, too. ...read more
Safety Strategy: Ovinitiv Debt Financing Safety risky
| SAFETY METRICS | December 28, 2023 | |||||||
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| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 42 |
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| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 10 |
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| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 39 |
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| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 24 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 24 (better than 24% compared with alternatives), the company Ovinitiv has much riskier financing practices than comparable other companies, which means that their overall debt burden is significantly above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of Ovinitiv is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with all three metrics below average for Ovinitiv. Liquidity is at 39, meaning that the company generates less profit to service its debt than 61% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the riskier side when it comes to debt service. Even worse, Leverage is at a rank of 42, meaning the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 58% of its competitors. Finally, Refinancing is at a rank of 10 which means that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is above average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 90% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 24 (worse than 76% compared with alternatives), Ovinitiv has a financing structure that is significantly riskier than that of its competitors. This combination is rather dangerous in most situations. Only very promising companies with bright future outlooks and stellar reputations can operate with such risky financing.
Combined financial peformance: Ovinitiv Below-Average Financial Performance
| COMBINED PERFORMANCE | December 28, 2023 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 90 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 23 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 39 |
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| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 37 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 37 (worse than 63% compared with investment alternatives), Ovinitiv (Oil & Gas Production, Canada) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Ovinitiv are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 90 (better than 90% of alternatives) but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 23), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 24), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 37, is a hold recommendation based on Ovinitiv's financial characteristics. As the company Ovinitiv's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 90) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 23) and risky financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 24), it may be a risky investment, because debt in times of crises can make things worse. The good value, better than 90% of comparable companies, may indicate the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity. ...read more
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