Fact based stock research
Duck Creek Technologies (NasdaqGS:DCT)
US2641201064
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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Duck Creek Technologies stock research in summary
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 47 (worse than 53% compared with investment alternatives), Duck Creek Technologies (Application Software, USA) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Duck Creek Technologies are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 34 (worse than 66% of alternatives). But they show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 75) and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 92, which means below-average debt burdens). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 47, is a hold recommendation based on Duck Creek Technologies's financial characteristics. Investors looking for growth and low financial risk may find this stock attractive. While the company Duck Creek Technologies exhibits low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 34), which means that the stock price is rather high, it also demonstrates above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 75). This is a typical case, as high-growth companies are often expensive. Good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 92) are a double-edged sword: if the company continues growing, low debt limits shareholder returns. But if the company increases its debt, it will also increase risk. In other words, this is an investment on the safer side, despite the above-average price (low value). Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
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360° Viewnew| Country | USA |
| Industry | Application Software |
| Index | NASDAQ |
| Size class | Medium |
18-Apr-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.
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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.
Research History: Duck Creek Technologies
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 10 |
|
29 |
|
34 |
|
34 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 50 |
|
21 |
|
59 |
|
75 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 41 |
|
92 |
|
92 |
|
92 |
|
| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
91 |
|
48 |
|
new |
|
| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | n/a |
|
75 |
|
34 |
|
new |
|
Combined financial peformance in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 47 (worse than 53% compared with investment alternatives), Duck Creek Technologies (Application Software, USA) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Duck Creek Technologies are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 34 (worse than 66% of alternatives). But they show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 75) and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 92, which means below-average debt burdens). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 47, is a hold recommendation based on Duck Creek Technologies's financial characteristics. Investors looking for growth and low financial risk may find this stock attractive. While the company Duck Creek Technologies exhibits low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 34), which means that the stock price is rather high, it also demonstrates above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 75). This is a typical case, as high-growth companies are often expensive. Good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 92) are a double-edged sword: if the company continues growing, low debt limits shareholder returns. But if the company increases its debt, it will also increase risk. In other words, this is an investment on the safer side, despite the above-average price (low value). Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 10 |
|
29 |
|
34 |
|
34 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 50 |
|
21 |
|
59 |
|
75 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 41 |
|
92 |
|
92 |
|
92 |
|
| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 17 |
|
47 |
|
47 |
|
47 |
|
Value Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 34 (worse than 66% compared with alternatives), Duck Creek Technologies shares are more expensive than the average comparable stock. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators where three out of four are below average for Duck Creek Technologies. Only the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) indicates good stock value with a Price-to-Book Rank of 53, which means that the stock price is lower compared with invested capital than for 53% of comparable investments. All other value indicators are below the market median. Price-to-Sales is 25 which means the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is higher than 75% of comparable companies, indicating a low value concerning Duck Creek Technologies's revenue levels. The same is valid for the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Book Rank of 53 and for the dividend yields rank which is lower than for 99% of comparable companies, making the stock more expensive as regards to with the company's expected dividend payouts. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 34, is a hold recommendation based on Duck Creek Technologies's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Why are market participants paying such a high price for Duck Creek Technologies, where three out of four value indicators are below par? One reason could be that the company is well financed, indicated by the high book capital level, and has a promising future that is not yet visible in reported revenues and profits. That would also explain the low dividend yield because the company needs the cash to invest in its future. If investors can verify a picture in this sense, the stock may still be a good investment, even though current company-reported financials don't fully explain current stock prices. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is essential in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more
| VALUE METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | 28 |
|
29 |
|
25 |
|
25 |
|
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | 26 |
|
10 |
|
22 |
|
22 |
|
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | 33 |
|
60 |
|
53 |
|
53 |
|
| DIVIDEND YIELD | ||||||||
| DIVIDEND YIELD | 1 |
|
1 |
|
1 |
|
1 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | 10 |
|
29 |
|
34 |
|
34 |
|
Growth Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 75 (better than 75% compared with alternatives) for 2023, Duck Creek Technologies shows one of the highest growth dynamics in its industry. Investors also speak of high momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all but one indicator above average for Duck Creek Technologies. Sales Growth has a rank of 77 which means that currently, professionals expect the company to grow more than 77% of its competitors. Capital Growth is also above 32% of competitors with a rank of 93, and Stock Returns with the rank of 51 is also an outperformance. Only Profit Growth is low with a rank of 32 which means that currently, professionals expect the company to grow its profits less than 68% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 75, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. All three operating growth indicators, namely revenue, profit, and capital growth, are showing improvements. This is a good indication of a company with a positive future. That might, at the same time, be the simple reason why profit growth is low. A growing company needs money and thus can't yet show high profit growth. Look out for signs in corporate communication about extra growth efforts costing time and money. If that is the case, Duck Creek Technologies is a good growth stock. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case. ...read more
| GROWTH METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
| REVENUE GROWTH | 53 |
|
21 |
|
27 |
|
77 |
|
| PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
| PROFIT GROWTH | n/a |
|
47 |
|
28 |
|
32 |
|
| CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
| CAPITAL GROWTH | n/a |
|
48 |
|
77 |
|
93 |
|
| STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
| STOCK RETURNS | 55 |
|
27 |
|
91 |
|
51 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 50 |
|
21 |
|
59 |
|
75 |
|
Safety Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 92 (better than 92% compared with alternatives) for 2023, the company Duck Creek Technologies has safe financing practices, which means that their overall debt burden is low. This doesn't mean that the business of Duck Creek Technologies is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators where two out of three are above average for Duck Creek Technologies.Leverage is at 100, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 100% of its competitors.Refinancing is at a rank of 79, meaning that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 79% of its competitors. Liquidity is at 1, meaning that the company generates less profit to service its debt than 99% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the riskier side regarding debt service. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 92 (better than 92% compared with alternatives), Duck Creek Technologies has a financing structure that is significantly safer than that of its competitors. Low leverage and low refinancing risk mean a safer financing situation. However, low liquidity means that current company cash flows are low in relation to the level of debt. This is a sign of caution in case it is expected for profits to remain low. Investors should compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before deciding. They may also want to investigate why cash flows are expected to be low, making debt service for Duck Creek Technologies more challenging. ...read more
| SAFETY METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 71 |
|
100 |
|
100 |
|
100 |
|
| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 57 |
|
75 |
|
75 |
|
79 |
|
| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 20 |
|
1 |
|
1 |
|
1 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 41 |
|
92 |
|
92 |
|
92 |
|
Sentiment Metrics in Detail
| SENTIMENT | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANALYST OPINIONS | ||||||||
| ANALYST OPINIONS | n/a |
|
90 |
|
7 |
|
new |
|
| OPINIONS CHANGE | ||||||||
| OPINIONS CHANGE | n/a |
|
99 |
|
50 |
|
new |
|
| PRO HOLDINGS | ||||||||
| PRO HOLDINGS | n/a |
|
7 |
|
60 |
|
new |
|
| MARKET PULSE | ||||||||
| MARKET PULSE | n/a |
|
62 |
|
73 |
|
new |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
91 |
|
48 |
|
new |
|
Stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for Duck Creek Technologies from April 18, 2024.
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