Fact based stock research
Covestro (XTRA:1COV)
DE0006062144
How to read the ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Covestro stock research in summary
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 50 (better than 50% compared with investment alternatives), Covestro (Specialty Chemicals, Germany) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Covestro are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 30 (worse than 70% of alternatives), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 26, which means above-average debt burdens) but show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 100). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 50, is a buy recommendation based on Covestro's financial characteristics. As the company Covestro shows low value with an Obermatt Value Rank of 30 (70% of comparable investments are less expensive), investors should look at the other ranks. In this case, growth is expected to be above-average, better than 100% of comparable companies (Obermatt Growth Rank is 100). This is a typical case. Companies with above average growth tend to cost more than stocks with slower growth expectations. If this is a high-growth company, the low Obermatt Safety Rank of 26 is a good sign. The more debt a well-performing company has, the higher the returns to shareholders. However, if growth turns negative or interest rates increase, high debt may become a burden. If you believe the future is bright for Covestro, even a low-value company (in terms of its key financial indicators) can be a good investment. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
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360° Viewnew| Country | Germany |
| Industry | Specialty Chemicals |
| Index | CDAX, DAX 40, Low Emissions, Energy Efficient, Diversity Europe |
| Size class | XX-Large |
This stock has achievements: Top 10 Stock.
18-Apr-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.
Analysts rarely agree on a stock’s future. So, who do you believe? Obermatt translates those collective views into a single Sentiment Rank. That plus the financial ranks give you the ultimate 360° View. Sign up to access them.
It’s easier said than done. When your stock drops, it’s easy to want to sell it and find a better performer. Think twice, or even three times, before trading. Those fees (especially the hidden ones) can eat up your gains.
Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.
Research History: Covestro
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 100 |
|
79 |
|
27 |
|
30 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 84 |
|
39 |
|
97 |
|
100 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 53 |
|
80 |
|
40 |
|
26 |
|
| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
9 |
|
34 |
|
new |
|
| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | n/a |
|
53 |
|
51 |
|
new |
|
Combined financial peformance in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 50 (better than 50% compared with investment alternatives), Covestro (Specialty Chemicals, Germany) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Covestro are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 30 (worse than 70% of alternatives), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 26, which means above-average debt burdens) but show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 100). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 50, is a buy recommendation based on Covestro's financial characteristics. As the company Covestro shows low value with an Obermatt Value Rank of 30 (70% of comparable investments are less expensive), investors should look at the other ranks. In this case, growth is expected to be above-average, better than 100% of comparable companies (Obermatt Growth Rank is 100). This is a typical case. Companies with above average growth tend to cost more than stocks with slower growth expectations. If this is a high-growth company, the low Obermatt Safety Rank of 26 is a good sign. The more debt a well-performing company has, the higher the returns to shareholders. However, if growth turns negative or interest rates increase, high debt may become a burden. If you believe the future is bright for Covestro, even a low-value company (in terms of its key financial indicators) can be a good investment. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 100 |
|
79 |
|
27 |
|
30 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 84 |
|
39 |
|
97 |
|
100 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 53 |
|
80 |
|
40 |
|
26 |
|
| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 98 |
|
76 |
|
62 |
|
50 |
|
Value Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 30 (worse than 70% compared with alternatives), Covestro shares are more expensive than the average comparable stock. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, where half the indicators are below and half above average for Covestro. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 65, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 65% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning Covestro's revenue size. The same is valid for the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio), which is more favorable than for 56% of alternatives (44% of peers have a higher ratio). But expected dividend yields with a Dividend Yield rank of 32 are lower than average (dividends are expected to be lower than 68% of other stocks) while the Price to Profit ratio (or Price to Earnings (P/E) ratio) is higher than average with a Price-to-Profit Rank of 7, making the stock more expensive compared with the company's expected profit levels. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 30, is a hold recommendation based on Covestro's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Low profits and low dividends as seen here for Covestro may indicate a restructuring phase. This could be transitory, making the company a good value when profits recover and dividends return to higher levels. If the stock price is compared with the size indicators for revenue and invested capital, it is on the lower side, making this stock a good value investment (apart from current profit and dividend expectations). We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more
| VALUE METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | 94 |
|
83 |
|
64 |
|
65 |
|
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | 100 |
|
93 |
|
10 |
|
7 |
|
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | 84 |
|
72 |
|
49 |
|
56 |
|
| DIVIDEND YIELD | ||||||||
| DIVIDEND YIELD | 88 |
|
24 |
|
22 |
|
32 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | 100 |
|
79 |
|
27 |
|
30 |
|
Growth Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 100 (better than 100% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Covestro shows one of the highest growth dynamics in its industry. Investors also speak of high momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all but one indicator above average for Covestro. Profit Growth has a rank of 94 which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its profits more than 94% of its competitors. The same is valid for capital growth and stock returns. Capital Growth has a rank of 86, and Stock Returns has a rank of 97 which means that the stock returns have recently been above 97% of alternative investments. Only revenue growth is low with a Sales Growth has a rank of 48 (52% of its competitors are better). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 100, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. The many positive growth indicators indicate a positive growth momentum with only low revenue growth. That can also be attributed to divestments or the sale of unprofitable businesses. If that is the reason, overall growth is well on track to making this stock attractive for growth investors. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case. ...read more
| GROWTH METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
| REVENUE GROWTH | 68 |
|
16 |
|
54 |
|
48 |
|
| PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
| PROFIT GROWTH | 6 |
|
86 |
|
96 |
|
94 |
|
| CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
| CAPITAL GROWTH | n/a |
|
58 |
|
67 |
|
86 |
|
| STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
| STOCK RETURNS | 76 |
|
31 |
|
95 |
|
97 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 84 |
|
39 |
|
97 |
|
100 |
|
Safety Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 26 (better than 26% compared with alternatives), the company Covestro has financing practices on the riskier side, which means that their overall debt burden is above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of Covestro is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators where two out of three are above average for Covestro.Leverage is at 51, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 51% of its competitors.Refinancing is at a rank of 54, meaning that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 54% of its competitors. Liquidity is at 16, meaning that the company generates less profit to service its debt than 84% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the riskier side regarding debt service. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 26 (worse than 74% compared with alternatives), Covestro has a financing structure that is riskier than that of its competitors. Low leverage and low refinancing risk mean a safer financing situation. However, low liquidity means that current company cash flows are low in relation to the level of debt. This is a sign of caution in case it is expected for profits to remain low. Investors should compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before deciding. They may also want to investigate why cash flows are expected to be low, making debt service for Covestro more challenging. ...read more
| SAFETY METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 20 |
|
57 |
|
53 |
|
51 |
|
| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 90 |
|
78 |
|
54 |
|
54 |
|
| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 44 |
|
58 |
|
23 |
|
16 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 53 |
|
80 |
|
40 |
|
26 |
|
Sentiment Metrics in Detail
| SENTIMENT | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANALYST OPINIONS | ||||||||
| ANALYST OPINIONS | n/a |
|
56 |
|
62 |
|
new |
|
| OPINIONS CHANGE | ||||||||
| OPINIONS CHANGE | n/a |
|
13 |
|
38 |
|
new |
|
| PRO HOLDINGS | ||||||||
| PRO HOLDINGS | n/a |
|
29 |
|
10 |
|
new |
|
| MARKET PULSE | ||||||||
| MARKET PULSE | n/a |
|
26 |
|
54 |
|
new |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
9 |
|
34 |
|
new |
|
Stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for Covestro from April 18, 2024.
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