February 15, 2024
Top 10 Stock Commerzbank Strong Buy Recommendation



How to read the ranks

For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:

Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

Snapshot: Commerzbank – Top 10 Stock in Deutscher Aktienindex Mid Cap MDAX


commerzbank.de


Commerzbank is listed as a top 10 stock on February 15, 2024 in the market index MDAX because of its high performance in at least one of the Obermatt investment strategies. As three out of four consolidated Obermatt Ranks exhibit excellent performance, it is a solid investment from a financial fact perspective where only investor sentiment is a reason for caution. Based on the Obermatt 360° View of 94 (top 94% performer), Obermatt assesses an overall strong buy recommendation for Commerzbank on February 15, 2024.


Snapshot: Obermatt Ranks


Country Germany
Industry Diversified Banks
Index CDAX, MDAX
Size class XX-Large
Latest Research


Top 10 Stocks ≠ most popular stocks

When Obermatt identifies the Top 10 stocks in a market, it’s based on a certain investment strategy. The best performing stocks usually aren’t the ones that everyone is talking about (those are often "over-priced" and have low Value ranks).

For each investment strategy, we provide you with more detailed analysis and our recommendation. You see the ranks of the top 10 stocks ranked by that particular investment strategy (360° View, Sentiment, Value, Growth, Safety and Combined Financial Performance).


360° View: Obermatt 360° View Commerzbank Strong Buy

360 METRICS February 15, 2024
VALUE
VALUE
GROWTH
GROWTH
SAFETY
SAFETY
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT
360° VIEW
360° VIEW

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt 360° View of 94 (better than 94% compared with alternatives) for 2024, overall professional sentiment and financial characteristics for the stock Commerzbank are very positive. The 360° View is based on consolidating four consolidated indicators, with three out of four indicators above average for Commerzbank. The consolidated Value Rank has an attractive rank of 80, which means that the share price of Commerzbank is on the lower side compared with the typical size in indicators such as revenues, profits, and invested capital. This means the stock price is lower than for 80% of alternative stocks in the same industry. The consolidated Growth Rank has a good rank of 74, which means that the company experiences above-average growth momentum when looking at financial metrics such as revenue, profit, and invested capital growth, as well as stock returns. The company is also safely financed with a Safety Rank of 94. But the professional market sentiment is below average compared with other stock investment alternatives with a Sentiment Rank of only 34. Professional investors are more confident in 66% other stocks. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated 360° View of 94, Commerzbank is better positioned than 94% of all alternative stock investment opportunities based on the Obermatt Method. As three out of four consolidated Obermatt Ranks exhibit excellent performance, such as good value (Value Rank of 80), above-average growth (Growth Rank of 74), and safe financing practices (Safety Rank of 94), it is a solid stock investment where the risk of paying too much for the shares is limited, and disappointments are less likely, unless information not publicly available. Only the professional market sentiment is on the riskier side (Sentiment Rank of 34), but that could also mean an overreaction to negative news in the past. Good value is sometimes an indication that the company's future is challenging. If they have been enjoying above average growth and are still a good value, this may not continue. We recommend evaluating whether the future of Commerzbank is as challenging as the low price of the stock despite good growth and safe financing practices suggest. Since the professional community is pessimistic, you may want to reflect these negative opinions in light of what you find reasonable to expect for the future. If you believe this pessimistic view is transitory, you have a solid investment case based on current financial factors. ...read more




Sentiment Strategy: Professional Market Sentiment for Commerzbank only reserved

SENTIMENT METRICS February 15, 2024
ANALYST OPINION
ANALYST OPINION
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 34 (better than 34% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock Commerzbank is below industry average. The Sentiment Rank is based on consolidating four sentiment indicators, with half the indicators below and half above average for Commerzbank. Analyst Opinions are at a rank of 36 (worse than 64% of alternative investments), which means that currently, stock research analysts tend to warn against investing in the stock of the company. Worse, Analyst Opinions Change has a rank of 24, which means that stock research experts are getting even more pessimistic. In addition, the Professional Investors rank is 22, which means that professional investors hold less stock in this company than in 78% of alternative investment opportunities. Pros tend to invest in other companies. The only positive sentiment indicator for Commerzbank is Market Pulse, with a rank of 88, which means that the current professional news and professional social networks tend to be positive when discussing this company (more positive news than for 88% of competitors). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Sentiment Rank of 34 (less encouraging than 66% compared with investment alternatives), Commerzbank has a reputation among professional investors that is below that of its competitors. This is an ambiguous picture: analysts are negative and getting even more critical while the news in the market is positive. Who should investors believe? This is a difficult question in such a situation. Investors should proceed cautiously and verify not only the financial performance in the Obermatt Value, Growth and Safety Ranks but also independent news coverage of the company. ...read more



Value Strategy: Commerzbank Stock Price Value at the top

VALUE METRICS February 15, 2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 80 (better than 80% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Commerzbank shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators above average for Commerzbank. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 86, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 86% of comparable companies, indicating a good value regarding Commerzbank's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price to Profits (or Price / Earnings, P/E), more favorable than for 85% of alternatives, and it's also true for the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 92. But, compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields are expected to be lower than average; only 26% of all competitors have even lower dividend yields than Commerzbank (a Dividend Yield Rank of 26). 74% alternative investments in the same business provide a higher dividend yield. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 80, is a buy recommendation based on Commerzbank's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. The below-average dividend yield may be a good sign, as it could mean the company has more attractive investment opportunities for the generated cash than to pay it out as dividends. A low dividend yield can also indicate a growth phase. ...read more



Growth Strategy: Commerzbank Growth Momentum good

GROWTH METRICS February 15, 2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 74 (better than 74% compared with alternatives), Commerzbank shows an above-average growth dynamic in its industry. Investors also speak of positive momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Commerzbank. Sales Growth has a rank of 91, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow more than 91% of its competitors. Profit Growth with a rank of 80 is also above average. But Capital Growth has only a rank of 46, and Stock Returns with 30 are also below-average. Stock returns for Commerzbank have recently been below 70% of alternative investments. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 74, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Are investors forecasting troubles based on the lack of operating investment activity at the company? This could be one explanation as to why stock returns are low. But stock returns can also be the result of correcting an error in the past, in this case, an overly optimistic outlook on the future, which is now more realistic. The Value Ranks may confirm such a picture. The more important growth indicators are revenues and profits, which are both above average for Commerzbank. This is a positive sign from the company's operational side and may give investors courage, despite the poor recent stock price performance. ...read more



Safety Strategy: Commerzbank Debt Financing Safety very solid

SAFETY METRICS February 15, 2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE
REFINANCING
REFINANCING
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 94 (better than 94% compared with alternatives) for 2024, the company Commerzbank has safe financing practices, which means that their overall debt burden is low. This doesn't mean that the business of Commerzbank is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators where two out of three are above average for Commerzbank.Leverage is at 95, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 95% of its competitors.Refinancing is at a rank of 99, meaning that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 99% of its competitors. Liquidity is at 38, meaning that the company generates less profit to service its debt than 62% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the riskier side regarding debt service. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 94 (better than 94% compared with alternatives), Commerzbank has a financing structure that is significantly safer than that of its competitors. Low leverage and low refinancing risk mean a safer financing situation. However, low liquidity means that current company cash flows are low in relation to the level of debt. This is a sign of caution in case it is expected for profits to remain low. ...read more



Combined financial peformance: Commerzbank Top Financial Performance

COMBINED PERFORMANCE February 15, 2024
VALUE
VALUE
GROWTH
GROWTH
SAFETY
SAFETY
COMBINED
COMBINED

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 98 (better than 98% compared with investment alternatives), Commerzbank (Diversified Banks, Germany) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of Commerzbank are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 80 (better than 80% of alternatives), show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 74), and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 94), which means low debt burdens. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 98, is a strong buy recommendation based on Commerzbank's financial characteristics. As the company Commerzbank's key financial metrics all exhibit excellent performance, such as good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 80), above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 74), and indicate that the company is safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 94), it is a solid stock investment where the risk of paying too much for the share is limited, unless the company has a bleak future. Such good financial performance can indicate that the company's future might actually be challenging, as it may be difficult to maintain the good performance. If they are safely financed and have been growing above average, and are still a good value, it means that the market is keeping prices low, for a reason which may become clearer over time. We recommend evaluating the future of Commerzbank. If you believe the company's future is market-typical or even better, this could be an argument for a share purchase. ...read more

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