February 15, 2024
Top 10 Stock Centerra Strong Buy Recommendation



How to read the ranks

For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:

Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

Snapshot: Centerra – Top 10 Stock in Recycling Leaders


centerragold.com


Centerra is listed as a top 10 stock on February 15, 2024 in the market index Recycling because of its high performance in at least one of the Obermatt investment strategies. As all consolidated Obermatt Ranks exhibit excellent performance, including positive market sentiment in the professional investor community, it is a solid stock investment where the risk of paying too much for the shares is limited. Based on the Obermatt 360° View of 98 (top 98% performer), Obermatt assesses an overall strong buy recommendation for Centerra on February 15, 2024.


Snapshot: Obermatt Ranks


Country Canada
Industry Gold Production
Index Low Emissions, Copper, Gold, Low Waste, Recycling, TSX Composite
Size class Large
Latest Research


Top 10 Stocks ≠ most popular stocks

When Obermatt identifies the Top 10 stocks in a market, it’s based on a certain investment strategy. The best performing stocks usually aren’t the ones that everyone is talking about (those are often "over-priced" and have low Value ranks).

For each investment strategy, we provide you with more detailed analysis and our recommendation. You see the ranks of the top 10 stocks ranked by that particular investment strategy (360° View, Sentiment, Value, Growth, Safety and Combined Financial Performance).


360° View: Obermatt 360° View Centerra Strong Buy

360 METRICS February 15, 2024
VALUE
VALUE
GROWTH
GROWTH
SAFETY
SAFETY
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT
360° VIEW
360° VIEW

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt 360° View of 98 (better than 98% compared with alternatives) for 2024, overall professional sentiment and financial characteristics for the stock Centerra are very positive. The 360° View is based on consolidating four consolidated indicators, with all four indicators above average for Centerra. The consolidated Value Rank has an attractive rank of 100, which means that the share price of Centerra is on the lower side compared with the typical size in indicators such as revenues, profits, and invested capital. This means the stock price is lower than for 100% of alternative stocks in the same industry. The consolidated Growth Rank has a good rank of 83, which means that the company experiences above-average growth momentum when looking at financial metrics such as revenue, profit, and invested capital growth as well as stock returns. The company is also safely financed with a Safety rank of 98. Finally, professional market sentiment is above average compared with other stock investment alternatives with a Sentiment Rank of 61. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated 360° View of 98, Centerra is better positioned than 98% of all alternative stock investment opportunities based on the Obermatt Method. As all consolidated Obermatt Ranks exhibit excellent performance, such as good value (Value Rank of 100), above-average growth (Growth Rank of 83), safe financing practices (Safety Rank of 98), and a positive market sentiment in the professional investor community (Sentiment Rank of 61), it is a solid stock investment where the risk of paying too much for the shares is limited and disappointments are less likely to occur, unless information not publicly available. High-Value Ranks sometimes indicate that the company's future is challenging. If they are safely financed and have above average growth, and are still a good value, it may indicate that this will not continue. We recommend evaluating whether the future of Centerra is as difficult as the stock’s low price, despite what good growth and safe financing practice suggest. Since the professional community is optimistic, you might have less to worry about, and the stock is just not sufficiently visible, which may indicate good timing right now. ...read more




Sentiment Strategy: Professional Market Sentiment for Centerra positive

SENTIMENT METRICS February 15, 2024
ANALYST OPINION
ANALYST OPINION
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 61 (better than 61% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock Centerra is above average. The Sentiment Rank is based on consolidating four sentiment indicators, with all but one indicator above average for Centerra. Analyst Opinions are at a rank of 64 (better than 64% of alternative investments), which means that currently, stock research analysts tend to recommend a stock investment in the company. In addition, Analyst Opinions Change has a rank of 59, which means that currently, stock research experts are getting even more optimistic. Obermatt Market Pulse further supports this with a rank of 59, which means that the current professional news and professional social networks are generally positive when discussing this company (more positive news than for 59% of competitors). But there are few stock holdings by institutional investors. The Professional Investors rank is low at 45, which means that currently, professional investors hold less stock in this company than in 55% of alternative investment opportunities. Pros tend to invest in other companies. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Sentiment Rank of 61 (more positive than 61% compared with investment alternatives), Centerra has a reputation among professional investors that is above-average compared with that of its competitors. Not having too many professionals invested in Centerra may be less of an issue, especially if the stock is from a smaller company where professionals typically invest less. It is natural for professional investors to focus on large and extra-large companies, as they provide more safety. Smaller companies attract fewer professionals in the shareholder community. Overall, the signals from the professionals are still quite favorable for investments in Centerra. ...read more



Value Strategy: Centerra Stock Price Value at the top

VALUE METRICS February 15, 2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 100 (better than 100% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Centerra shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators that are all above average for Centerra. Price-to-Sales is 72 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 72% of comparable companies, indicating a good value for Centerra's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits, more favorable than for 72% of alternatives, and this is also true for the Price-to-Book capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 81. Compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields of Centerra are expected to be higher than for 92% of all competitors (a Dividend Yield rank of 92). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 100, is a buy recommendation based on Centerra's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since all value metrics are above the industry average, there is no objection to investing in Centerra based on its detailed value metrics.



Growth Strategy: Centerra Growth Momentum high

GROWTH METRICS February 15, 2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 83 (better than 83% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Centerra shows one of the highest growth dynamics in its industry. Investors also speak of high momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, where half of the indicators are below and half above average for Centerra. Profit Growth, with a rank of 94 (better than 94% of its competitors), and Capital Growth, with a rank of 98, are both positive, which is a healthy sign for positive development. But Sales Growth has only a rank of 34, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow less than 66% of its competitors, and Stock Returns are at a rank of 37. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 83, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Stock returns that are a thing of the past can be less of a problem. Below-average revenue growth may be caused by divestments of underperforming businesses. If that is the case, then the positive developments of profit and capital growth are signs of a company with growth potential. If these are the reasons, overall growth is well on track to making this stock attractive for growth investors. ...read more



Safety Strategy: Centerra Debt Financing Safety very solid

SAFETY METRICS February 15, 2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE
REFINANCING
REFINANCING
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 98 (better than 98% compared with alternatives) for 2024, the company Centerra has safe financing practices, which means that their overall debt burden is low. This doesn't mean that the business of Centerra is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, where all three are above average for Centerra. Leverage is at 85, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 85% of its competitors. Refinancing is at a rank of 89, meaning that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 89% of its competitors. Finally, Liquidity is also good at a rank of 91, which means that the company generates more profit to service its debt than 91% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 98 (better than 98% compared with alternatives), Centerra has a financing structure that is significantly safer than that of its competitors. These three positive financing indicators signal that the company is less likely to default on its debt obligations. However, it also means that its shareholder returns will be more modest if things go well. A low safety means fewer troubles in downtimes and less upside in good times. ...read more



Combined financial peformance: Centerra Top Financial Performance

COMBINED PERFORMANCE February 15, 2024
VALUE
VALUE
GROWTH
GROWTH
SAFETY
SAFETY
COMBINED
COMBINED

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 100 (better than 100% compared with investment alternatives), Centerra (Gold Production, Canada) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of Centerra are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 100 (better than 100% of alternatives), show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 83), and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 98), which means low debt burdens. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 100, is a strong buy recommendation based on Centerra's financial characteristics. As the company Centerra's key financial metrics all exhibit excellent performance, such as good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 100), above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 83), and indicate that the company is safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 98), it is a solid stock investment where the risk of paying too much for the share is limited, unless the company has a bleak future. Such good financial performance can indicate that the company's future might actually be challenging, as it may be difficult to maintain the good performance. If they are safely financed and have been growing above average, and are still a good value, it means that the market is keeping prices low, for a reason which may become clearer over time. We recommend evaluating the future of Centerra. If you believe the company's future is market-typical or even better, this could be an argument for a share purchase. ...read more

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