June 8, 2023
Top 10 Stock Centerra Buy Recommendation
How to read the ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Snapshot: Centerra – Top 10 Stock in Low Waste Leaders
Centerra is listed as a top 10 stock on June 08, 2023 in the market index Low Waste because of its high performance in at least one of the Obermatt investment strategies. While half the consolidated Obermatt Ranks are above-average, investor sentiment is negative and growth performance is below market average, both a sign for caution. Based on the Obermatt 360° View of 74 (high 74% performer), Obermatt assesses an overall buy recommendation for Centerra on June 08, 2023.
Snapshot: Obermatt Ranks
| Country | Canada |
| Industry | Gold Production |
| Index | Low Emissions, Copper, Gold, Low Waste, Recycling, TSX Composite |
| Size class | Large |
When Obermatt identifies the Top 10 stocks in a market, it’s based on a certain investment strategy. The best performing stocks usually aren’t the ones that everyone is talking about (those are often "over-priced" and have low Value ranks).
For each investment strategy, we provide you with more detailed analysis and our recommendation. You see the ranks of the top 10 stocks ranked by that particular investment strategy (360° View, Sentiment, Value, Growth, Safety and Combined Financial Performance).
360° View: Obermatt 360° Assessment Centerra Buy
| 360 METRICS | June 8, 2023 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 88 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 45 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 100 |
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| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | 10 |
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| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | 74 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt 360° View of 74 (better than 74% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock Centerra are above average. The 360° View is based on consolidating four consolidated indicators, with half the metrics below and half above average for Centerra. The consolidated Value Rank has an attractive rank of 88, which means that the share price of Centerra is on the lower side compared with the typical size in indicators such as revenues, profits, and invested capital. This means the stock price is lower than for 88% of alternative stocks in the same industry. The company is also safely financed with a Safety rank of 100. But the professional market sentiment is below average compared with other stock investment alternatives with a Sentiment Rank of 10. Professional investors are more confident in 90% other stocks. The consolidated Growth Rank also has a low rank of 45, which means that the company is below average in terms of growth momentum when looking at financial metrics such as revenue, profit, invested capital growth, and stock returns. 55 of its competitors have better growth. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a 360° View of 74, Centerra is better positioned than 74% of all alternative stock investment opportunities based on the Obermatt Method. The picture is mixed here. The stock seems to be a good value (Value Rank of 88), and the financing structure is on the safer side (Safety Rank of 100). However, sentiment in the professional investor community is below-average (Sentiment Rank of 10), as is the growth momentum for the company (Growth Rank of 45). Since the company is good value and the share price low, it should attract investors, yet professionals are skeptical. Even though the financing structure is not as important as Value, Growth, and Sentiment, investors should still be careful with this decision and conduct further research if they are serious about investing in this company. ...read more
Sentiment Strategy: Professional Market Sentiment for Centerra negative
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 10 (better than 10% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock Centerra is critical, mostly below average. The Sentiment Rank is based on consolidating four sentiment indicators, with three out of four metrics below average for Centerra. Analyst Opinions are at a rank of 23 (worse than 77% of alternative investments), which means that currently, stock research analysts tend to warn against investing in the stock of the company. But they are changing their opinions! Analyst Opinions Change has a rank of 56, which means that stock research experts have found something to make them more positive about investing in the company. In other words, they are getting more optimistic of stock investments in Centerra. But the Professional Investors rank is low at 14, which means that professional investors hold less stock in this company than in 86% of alternative investment opportunities. Pros tend to invest in other companies. Market Pulse is also low at a rank of 16, which means that the current professional news and professional social networks tend to be negative when discussing this company (more negative news than for 84% of competitors). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 10 (less encouraging than 90% compared with investment alternatives), Centerra has a reputation among professional investors that is far below that of its competitors. These are quite a few negative sentiment signals. One may want to trust the analysts that are changing their opinions. They may be early indications of better times, especially if the company is a smaller one. But If they are an extra large company, they should have more professional stockholders than are currently present. ...read more
Value Strategy: Centerra Stock Price Value at the top
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 88 (better than 88% compared with alternatives) for 2023, Centerra shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators that are all above average for Centerra. Price-to-Sales is 65 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 65% of comparable companies, indicating a good value for Centerra's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits, more favorable than for 55% of alternatives, and this is also true for the Price-to-Book capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 89. Compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields of Centerra are expected to be higher than for 86% of all competitors (a Dividend Yield rank of 86). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 88, is a strong buy recommendation based on Centerra's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since all value metrics are above the industry average, there is no objection to investing in Centerra based on its detailed value metrics.
Growth Strategy: Centerra Growth Momentum low
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 45 (better than 45% compared with alternatives), Centerra shows a below-average growth dynamic in its industry. There is limited momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, where half of the indicators are below and half above average for Centerra. Profit Growth, with a rank of 100 (better than 100% of its competitors), and Capital Growth, with a rank of 64, are both positive, which is a healthy sign for positive development. But Sales Growth has only a rank of 14, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow less than 86% of its competitors, and Stock Returns are at a rank of 25. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 45, is a HOLD recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Stock returns that are a thing of the past can be less of a problem. Below-average revenue growth may be caused by divestments of underperforming businesses. If that is the case, then the positive developments of profit and capital growth are signs of a company with growth potential. If these are the reasons, overall growth is well on track to making this stock attractive for growth investors. ...read more
Safety Strategy: Centerra Debt Financing Safety very solid
| SAFETY METRICS | June 8, 2023 | |||||||
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| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 86 |
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| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 93 |
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| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 91 |
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| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 100 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 100 (better than 100% compared with alternatives) for 2023, the company Centerra has safe financing practices, which means that their overall debt burden is low. This doesn't mean that the business of Centerra is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, where all three are above average for Centerra. Leverage is at 86, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 86% of its competitors. Refinancing is at a rank of 93, meaning that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 93% of its competitors. Finally, Liquidity is also good at a rank of 91, which means that the company generates more profit to service its debt than 91% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 100 (better than 100% compared with alternatives), Centerra has a financing structure that is significantly safer than that of its competitors. These three positive financing indicators signal that the company is less likely to default on its debt obligations. However, it also means that its shareholder returns will be more modest if things go well. A low safety means fewer troubles in downtimes and less upside in good times. ...read more
Combined financial peformance: Centerra Top Financial Performance
| COMBINED PERFORMANCE | June 8, 2023 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 88 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 45 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 91 |
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| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 96 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 96 (better than 96% compared with investment alternatives), Centerra (Gold Production, Canada) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of Centerra are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Obermatt Value Rank of 88 (better than 88% of alternatives), are safely financed (Safety Rank of 100, which means low debt burdens), but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 45). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: An Obermatt Combined Rank of 96, is a strong buy recommendation based on Centerra's financial characteristics. As the company Centerra's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 88) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 45) while being safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 100), it may be a safer investment because companies with low debt can better withstand times of crises. Yet the good value, better than 88% of comparable companies, may also indicate that the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity and the downside is limited due to below-average financing risks. ...read more
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