December 28, 2023
Top 10 Stock Permian Resources Strong Buy Recommendation
How to read the ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Snapshot: Permian Resources – Top 10 Stock in Oil & Gas Mining and Production
Permian Resources is listed as a top 10 stock on December 28, 2023 in the market index Oil & Gas because of its high performance in at least one of the Obermatt investment strategies. As three out of four consolidated Obermatt Ranks exhibit excellent performance, it is a solid investment where the risk of paying too much for the shares is low. Based on the Obermatt 360° View of 94 (top 94% performer), Obermatt assesses an overall strong buy recommendation for Permian Resources on December 28, 2023.
Snapshot: Obermatt Ranks
When Obermatt identifies the Top 10 stocks in a market, it’s based on a certain investment strategy. The best performing stocks usually aren’t the ones that everyone is talking about (those are often "over-priced" and have low Value ranks).
For each investment strategy, we provide you with more detailed analysis and our recommendation. You see the ranks of the top 10 stocks ranked by that particular investment strategy (360° View, Sentiment, Value, Growth, Safety and Combined Financial Performance).
360° View: Obermatt 360° View Permian Resources Strong Buy
| 360 METRICS | December 28, 2023 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 56 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 100 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 34 |
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| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | 82 |
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| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | 94 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt 360° View of 94 (better than 94% compared with alternatives) for 2023, overall professional sentiment and financial characteristics for the stock Permian Resources are very positive. The 360° View is based on consolidating four consolidated indicators, with all but one indicator above average for Permian Resources. The consolidated Value Rank has an attractive rank of 56, which means that the share price of Permian Resources is on the lower side compared with the typical size in indicators such as revenues, profits, and invested capital. This means the stock price is lower than for 56% of alternative stocks in the same industry. The consolidated Growth Rank has a good rank of 100, which means that the company experiences above-average growth momentum when looking at financial metrics such as revenue, profit, and invested capital growth, as well as stock returns. In addition, professional market sentiment is above average compared with other stock investment alternatives with a Sentiment Rank of 82. But the company’s financing is risky with a Safety rank of 34. This means 66% of comparable companies have a safer financing structure than Permian Resources. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated 360° View of 94, Permian Resources is better positioned than 94% of all alternative stock investment opportunities based on the Obermatt Method. As three out of four consolidated Obermatt Ranks exhibit excellent performance, such as good value (Value Rank of 56), above-average growth (Growth Rank of 100), and positive market sentiment in the professional investor community (Sentiment Rank of 82), it is a solid stock investment where the risk of paying too much for the shares is limited, and disappointments are less likely, unless information not publicly available. Only the company financing structure is on the riskier side (Safety Rank of 34), but that would also mean better returns for shareholders if things work out well. Good value is sometimes an indication that the company's future is challenging. If they have been growing above average and are still a good value, it may indicate that this will not continue. We recommend evaluating whether the future of Permian Resources is as difficult as the low price of the stock, despite good growth and positive professional investor sentiment, suggests. Since the professional community is optimistic, you might have less to worry about, and the stock is just not sufficiently visible right now, which may indicate good timing. ...read more
Sentiment Strategy: Professional Market Sentiment for Permian Resources very positive
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 82 (better than 82% compared with alternatives) for 2023, overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock Permian Resources is very positive. The Sentiment Rank is based on consolidating four sentiment indicators, with half of the indicators below and the other half above average for Permian Resources. Analyst Opinions are at a rank of 85 (better than 85% of alternative investments). Currently, stock research analysts tend to recommend a stock investment in the company. There are also many institutional investors invested in the stock, represented by a Professional Investors rank of 90 which means that currently, professional investors hold more stock in this company than in 90% of alternative investment opportunities. But Analyst Opinions Change has a rank of 44, which means that stock research experts are changing their opinions for the worse in recommending investing in the company. In other words, they are getting more critical of investments in Permian Resources. Furthermore, Market Pulse has a rank of 27, which means that the current professional news and professional social networks are on the negative side when discussing this company (more negative news than for 73% of competitors). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Sentiment Rank of 82 (more positive than 82% compared with investment alternatives), Permian Resources has a reputation among professional investors that is significantly higher than that of its competitors. Three below-market sentiment indicators are a sign of caution, even if the stock has significantly appreciated. If analysts change their opinions, the stock may become too expensive. If the price is on the way down, the trend may continue. This may be a stock with a good reputation and history, but it may have reached its breaking point by now. Investors should look at the Value Ranks as well. If they indicate trouble, it may be around the corner. ...read more
Value Strategy: Permian Resources Stock Price Value better than average
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 56 (better than 56% compared with alternatives), Permian Resources shares are more attractively priced than the majority of comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Permian Resources. Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price-earnings, P/E) is 50 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is lower than for 50% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning Permian Resources's profit levels. The same is valid for Price-to-Book Capital (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Book Rank of 85, which means that the stock price is lower as regards to invested capital than for 85% of comparable investments. On the other hand, Price-to-Sales is less favorable than for 59% of alternatives (only 41% of peers have an even less favorable ratio). The same is valid for dividend yield, which is lower than for 65% of comparable companies, making the stock more expensive compared with the company's expected dividend payouts. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 56, is a buy recommendation based on Permian Resources's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. This is a puzzling picture, because it means that profits are high while dividends are low. Since the stock price is low compared with invested capital but high concerning expected revenues, the company has more invested capital than peers for generating the same amount of revenue. Since profits are higher, it could be a "cash cow" situation (using the classic Boston Consulting Group or BCG matrix naming convention) where the company is on a downward trend, still living from the profits of past products. As the company pays low dividends, it may harbor the opinion that a turnaround is possible, and it rather invests the cash than distribute it to shareholders through dividends, thus sealing the company's fate early. Any investment optimism should only be a buy trigger once thorough research is completed. ...read more
Growth Strategy: Permian Resources Growth Momentum high
| GROWTH METRICS | December 28, 2023 | |||||||
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| REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
| REVENUE GROWTH | 100 |
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| PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
| PROFIT GROWTH | 89 |
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| CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
| CAPITAL GROWTH | 92 |
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| STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
| STOCK RETURNS | 100 |
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| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 100 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 100 (better than 100% compared with alternatives) for 2023, Permian Resources shows one of the highest growth dynamics in its industry. Investors also speak of high momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all four indicators above average for Permian Resources. Sales Growth has a value of 100, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow more than 100% of its competitors. The same is valid for Profit Growth with a value of 89 and for Capital Growth with 92. In addition, Stock Returns had an above-average rank value of 100, which means they have been higher than 100% of comparable investments. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 100, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Since all Growth Ranks are positive, Permian Resources exhibits above-average growth momentum. This could be due to a uniquely strong market position, proprietary technology, or an extensive corporate acquisition strategy. Growth investors will find this an attractive investment opportunity, unless they expect that the current phase is transitory and will deteriorate in the future. The current performance could also be a temporary recovery from a very low point, such as a turn-around situation. In the case of a turn-around, the current performance may or may not be followed by a continuing positive development. ...read more
Safety Strategy: Permian Resources Debt Financing Safety below-average
| SAFETY METRICS | December 28, 2023 | |||||||
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| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 48 |
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| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 44 |
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| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 23 |
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| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 34 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 34 (better than 34% compared with alternatives), the company Permian Resources has financing practices on the riskier side, which means that their overall debt burden is above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of Permian Resources is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with all three metrics below average for Permian Resources. Liquidity is at 23, meaning that the company generates less profit to service its debt than 77% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the riskier side when it comes to debt service. Even worse, Leverage is at a rank of 48, meaning the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 52% of its competitors. Finally, Refinancing is at a rank of 44 which means that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is above average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 56% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 34 (worse than 66% compared with alternatives), Permian Resources has a financing structure that is riskier than that of its competitors. This combination is rather dangerous in most situations. Only very promising companies with bright future outlooks and stellar reputations can operate with such risky financing.
Combined financial peformance: Permian Resources Top Financial Performance
| COMBINED PERFORMANCE | December 28, 2023 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 56 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 100 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 23 |
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| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 84 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 84 (better than 84% compared with investment alternatives), Permian Resources (Oil & Gas Production, USA) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of Permian Resources are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 56 (better than 56% of alternatives), show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 100) but are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 34), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 84, is a strong buy recommendation based on Permian Resources's financial characteristics. As the company Permian Resources's key financial metrics exhibit excellent performance in two areas, such as good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 56) and above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 100), it could be argued that the risk-taking in financing (Obermatt Safety Rank of only 34) indicates that the company is optimistic about the future and sees debt as an opportunity to boost returns. More debt means more shareholder returns if everything goes well. However, higher debt burdens are risky when interest rates rise or the business deteriorates in a crisis. If you believe the company's future is market-typical or even better, this could be an argument for a share purchase. ...read more
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