October 26, 2023
Top 10 Stock Centamin Strong Buy Recommendation
How to read the ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Snapshot: Centamin – Top 10 Stock in Gold Mining and Production
Centamin is listed as a top 10 stock on October 26, 2023 in the market index Gold because of its high performance in at least one of the Obermatt investment strategies. As three out of four consolidated Obermatt Ranks exhibit excellent performance, it is a solid investment where the risk of paying too much for the shares is low, despite a currently slow growth momentum. Based on the Obermatt 360° View of 80 (top 80% performer), Obermatt assesses an overall strong buy recommendation for Centamin on October 26, 2023.
Snapshot: Obermatt Ranks
When Obermatt identifies the Top 10 stocks in a market, it’s based on a certain investment strategy. The best performing stocks usually aren’t the ones that everyone is talking about (those are often "over-priced" and have low Value ranks).
For each investment strategy, we provide you with more detailed analysis and our recommendation. You see the ranks of the top 10 stocks ranked by that particular investment strategy (360° View, Sentiment, Value, Growth, Safety and Combined Financial Performance).
360° View: Obermatt 360° View Centamin Strong Buy
| 360 METRICS | October 26, 2023 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 54 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 45 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 82 |
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| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | 66 |
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| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | 80 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt 360° View of 80 (better than 80% compared with alternatives) for 2023, overall professional sentiment and financial characteristics for the stock Centamin are very positive. The 360° View is based on consolidating four consolidated indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Centamin. The consolidated Value Rank has an attractive rank of 54, which means that the share price of Centamin is on the lower side compared with typical size in indicators such as revenues, profits, and invested capital. This means the stock price is lower than for 54% of alternative stocks in the same industry. The company is also safely financed with a Safety rank of 82. In addition, professional market sentiment is above average compared with other stock investment alternatives with a Sentiment Rank of 66. But the consolidated Growth Rank has a low rank of 45, which means that the company is below average in terms of growth and momentum when looking at financial metrics such as revenue, profit, and invested capital growth as well as stock returns. 55 of its competitors have better growth. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated 360° View of 80, Centamin is better positioned than 80% of all alternative stock investment opportunities based on the Obermatt Method. Three out of four consolidated Obermatt Ranks show above-average performance. The stock has as good value (Value Rank of 54), secure financing practices (Safety Rank of 82), and positive market sentiment in the professional investor community (Sentiment Rank of 66). It is a solid stock investment where the risk of paying too much for the shares is limited, and disappointments are less likely to occur. The company’s growth expectations are below the industry average (Growth Rank of 45), but that could also be temporary since professional investors remain optimistic despite the low growth numbers. The low price as reflected in the good Value Rank could indicate that the company's future is challenging. The below-par growth performance may be the reason for this. Companies that grow less are typically cheaper than fast-growing competitors. We recommend evaluating whether the future of Centamin is as difficult as the stock’s low price suggests, despite the positive professional investor sentiment. Since the professional community is optimistic, you might have less to worry about, and the stock may just go through a more challenging phase now, indicating good timing. ...read more
Sentiment Strategy: Professional Market Sentiment for Centamin positive
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 66 (better than 66% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock Centamin is above average. The Sentiment Rank is based on consolidating four sentiment indicators where all but one are above average for Centamin. Analyst Opinions are at a rank of 50 (better than 50% of alternative investments), which means that currently, stock research analysts tend to recommend a stock investment in the company. The Professional Investors rank is also good at 54, which means that currently, professional investors hold more stock in this company than in 54% of alternative investment opportunities. Pros tend to favor investing in this company. In addition, Market Pulse has a rank of 91 which means that the current professional news and professional social networks are on the positive side when discussing this company (more positive news than for 91% of competitors). But Analyst Opinions Change has a below-average rank of 39, which means that stock research experts are currently changing their opinions for the worse when it comes to recommending this stock. In other words, they are getting more critical of investments in Centamin. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Sentiment Rank of 66 (more positive than 66% compared with investment alternatives), Centamin has a reputation among professional investors that is above-average compared with that of its competitors. This is an early sign of caution, even if the stock has significantly appreciated. If analysts change their opinions, the stock may become too expensive. If the price is on the way down, the trend may continue. This may be a stock with a good reputation and history, but it may have reached its breaking point by now. Investors should look at the Value Ranks as well. If they indicate trouble, it might just materialize in the future. ...read more
Value Strategy: Centamin Stock Price Value better than average
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 54 (better than 54% compared with alternatives), Centamin shares are more attractively priced than the majority of comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators above average for Centamin. Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price to earnings, P/E ratio) is 57 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is lower than for 57% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning Centamin's profit levels. The same is valid for the expected Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 73, and for Dividend Yield with a Dividend Yield Rank of 76. But, compared with other companies in the same industry, the stock price is higher than average as regards expected revenues; only 87% of all competitors have an even higher stock price as regards to sales revenues (a Price-to-Sales Rank of 13). Profits, the level of invested capital, and dividend policy suggest that this stock is attractively priced. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 54, is a buy recommendation based on Centamin's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since it is on the expensive side for Price-to-Sales, it may mean that Centamin has pricing power in its distribution market because it can charge higher prices than its competitors. If this is the case, all four value indicators are positive signals for purchasing Centamin shares. ...read more
Growth Strategy: Centamin Growth Momentum low
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 45 (better than 45% compared with alternatives), Centamin shows a below-average growth dynamic in its industry. There is limited momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four metrics below average for Centamin. While Profit Growth has a good rank of 98, as professionals currently expect the company to grow its profits more than 98% of its competitors, all other growth indicators are below market averages. Sales Growth has a rank of 38, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow less than 62% of its competitors, while Capital Growth has a rank of 27 and Stock Returns have been below market median, with a rank of 47 (53% of alternative investments were better). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 45, is a hold recommendation for growth and momentum investors. While revenue growth and capital growth are good growth momentum indicators, profit is less reliable, because profits may increase due to cost-cutting measures which typically indicate negative growth momentum. "You can save a dollar only once" is the saying about such situations. Growth Investors should look at company priorities closely if they are interested in growth, because the increase in profits is not usually an indicator of growth, and stock prices have been below market, too. ...read more
Safety Strategy: Centamin Debt Financing Safety very solid
| SAFETY METRICS | October 26, 2023 | |||||||
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| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 100 |
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| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 31 |
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| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 92 |
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| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 82 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 82 (better than 82% compared with alternatives) for 2023, the company Centamin has safe financing practices, which means that their overall debt burden is low. This doesn't mean that the business of Centamin is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with two out of three indicators above average for Centamin. Leverage is at a rank of 100, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 100% of its competitors. Liquidity is also good at a rank of 92, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 92% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the safer side when it comes to debt service. But Refinancing is lower at a rank of 31, which means that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is above-average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 69% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 82 (better than 82% compared with alternatives), Centamin has a financing structure that is significantly safer than that of its competitors. The refinancing issues could be a short-term problem, especially if the company has reputation issues. Banks and investors don't like to refinance debt if there are clouds on the horizon. For this reason, investors should look at the refinancing environment for Centamin. Does it look safe that debt that is coming due can be covered with new debt? If that is the case, then the financing situation of the company is on the safer side. If not, it may be better to wait until refinancing has been completed and the Refinancing rank is good again. ...read more
Combined financial peformance: Centamin Above-Average Financial Performance
| COMBINED PERFORMANCE | October 26, 2023 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 54 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 45 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 92 |
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| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 70 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 70 (better than 70% compared with investment alternatives), Centamin (Gold Production, United Kingdom) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Centamin are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 54 (better than 54% of alternatives), are safely financed (Safety Rank of 82, which means low debt burdens), but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 45). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 70, is a buy recommendation based on Centamin's financial characteristics. As the company Centamin's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 54) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 45) while being safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 82), it may be a safer investment because companies with low debt can better withstand times of crises. Yet the good value, better than 54% of comparable companies, may also indicate that the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity and the downside is limited due to below-average financing risks. ...read more
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