August 17, 2023
Top 10 Stock Capstone Copper Hold Recommendation
How to read the ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Snapshot: Capstone Copper – Top 10 Stock in Lithium Mining and Production
Capstone Copper is listed as a top 10 stock on August 17, 2023 in the market index Lithium because of its high performance in at least one of the Obermatt investment strategies. Two consolidated Obermatt Ranks are above-average. The company is growing above average and professional investor sentiment is positive. Both are encouraging signals for a stock purchase decision, albeit at an above-average share price. Based on the Obermatt 360° View of 39 (39% performer), Obermatt assesses an overall hold recommendation for Capstone Copper on August 17, 2023.
Snapshot: Obermatt Ranks
| Country | Canada |
| Industry | Copper |
| Index | Copper, Iron, Lithium, Rare Earth, Silver, Uranium, TSX Composite |
| Size class | Medium |
When Obermatt identifies the Top 10 stocks in a market, it’s based on a certain investment strategy. The best performing stocks usually aren’t the ones that everyone is talking about (those are often "over-priced" and have low Value ranks).
For each investment strategy, we provide you with more detailed analysis and our recommendation. You see the ranks of the top 10 stocks ranked by that particular investment strategy (360° View, Sentiment, Value, Growth, Safety and Combined Financial Performance).
360° View: Obermatt 360° View Capstone Copper Hold
| 360 METRICS | August 17, 2023 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 32 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 71 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 40 |
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| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | 56 |
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| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | 39 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt 360° View of 39 (better than 39% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and financial characteristics for the stock Capstone Copper are below the industry average. The 360° View is based on consolidating four consolidated indicators, with half of the metrics below and half above average for Capstone Copper. The consolidated Growth Rank has a good rank of 71, which means that the company experiences above-average growth momentum when looking at financial metrics such as revenue, profit, and invested capital growth as well as stock returns. This means that growth is higher than for 71% of competitors in the same industry. The consolidated Sentiment Rank also has a good rank of 56, which means that professional investors are more optimistic about the stock than for 56% of alternative investment opportunities. But the consolidated Value Rank has a less desirable rank of 32, which means that the share price of Capstone Copper is on the higher side compared with typical size in indicators such as revenues, profits, and invested capital. This means the stock price is higher than for 68% of alternative stocks in the same industry. Finally, the consolidated Safety Rank has a riskier rank of 40, which means that the company has a financing structure that is riskier than those of 60% comparable companies when looking at the amount of its debt, its refinancing requirements, and its ability to service debt. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated 360° View of 39, Capstone Copper is worse than 61% of all alternative stock investment opportunities based on the Obermatt Method. Only half of the consolidated Obermatt Ranks exhibit excellent performance, so one needs to take a close look. Growth is above-average (Growth Rank of 71), and professional market sentiment is positive (Sentiment Rank of 56), but value and safety are below average. The Safety Rank is the least significant of the four consolidated ranks, because it only reflects financing practices. In the case of high growth, aggressive financing is a good thing. So the question is: How to assess below-average value against above-average growth and sentiment? Growth may be the strongest driver of the investment rationale in this case, which is reflected in institutional investors' opinions. It is typical for growth companies to have low value, as is the case here. Investors are willing to pay more for companies that outperform their competitors. So the question is, how much do you sacrifice value for growth? You can use the following rule of thumb: If you take 100 minus the growth rank, you arrive at a possibly minimum level for the value rank. For example, if the growth rank is at 75, and the value rank is at 5, you should tread carefully. If the value rank is at 40, it still might be a good value if the growth rank is above 60. Sometimes market sentiment just extrapolates the past, but sometimes it reflects reality. You pay more than the market average for this stock, but it may be worth it. ...read more
Sentiment Strategy: Professional Market Sentiment for Capstone Copper positive
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 56 (better than 56% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock Capstone Copper is above average. The Sentiment Rank is based on consolidating four sentiment indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Capstone Copper. Analyst Opinions are at a rank of 97 (better than 97% of alternative investments), which means that currently, stock research analysts tend to recommend a stock investment in the company. Market Pulse is also positive with a rank of 72, which means that the current professional news and professional social networks are positive when discussing this company (more positive news than for 72% of competitors). But Analyst Opinions Change is negative with a below 50 rank of 16, which means that stock research experts are changing their opinions for the worse in recommending the company. In other words, they are getting more critical of investments in Capstone Copper. There are also only so many institutional investors holding company stock with a Professional Investors rank of 19, which means that, currently, professional investors hold less stock in this company than in 81% of alternative investment opportunities. Pros tend to invest in other companies. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Sentiment Rank of 56 (more positive than 56% compared with investment alternatives), Capstone Copper has a reputation among professional investors that is above-average compared with that of its competitors. The signals are ambivalent. The positive news in the market contradicts the negative change in analyst recommendations. Since the overall analyst recommendations are still above average, the stock may be safer for investing, especially if it is not an extra-large company where Pros tend to be less present. In such a case, the Pro Investor rank is not a problem. ...read more
Value Strategy: Capstone Copper Stock Price Value below-average critical
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 32 (worse than 68% compared with alternatives), Capstone Copper shares are more expensive than the average comparable stock. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Capstone Copper. Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price-earnings, P/E) is 52 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is lower than for 52% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning Capstone Copper's profit levels. The same is valid for Price-to-Book Capital (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Book Rank of 55, which means that the stock price is lower as regards to invested capital than for 55% of comparable investments. On the other hand, Price-to-Sales is less favorable than for 53% of alternatives (only 47% of peers have an even less favorable ratio). The same is valid for dividend yield, which is lower than for 99% of comparable companies, making the stock more expensive compared with the company's expected dividend payouts. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 32, is a hold recommendation based on Capstone Copper's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. This is a puzzling picture, because it means that profits are high while dividends are low. Since the stock price is low compared with invested capital but high concerning expected revenues, the company has more invested capital than peers for generating the same amount of revenue. Since profits are higher, it could be a "cash cow" situation (using the classic Boston Consulting Group or BCG matrix naming convention) where the company is on a downward trend, still living from the profits of past products. As the company pays low dividends, it may harbor the opinion that a turnaround is possible, and it rather invests the cash than distribute it to shareholders through dividends, thus sealing the company's fate early. Any investment optimism should only be a buy trigger once thorough research is completed. ...read more
Growth Strategy: Capstone Copper Growth Momentum good
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 71 (better than 71% compared with alternatives), Capstone Copper shows an above-average growth dynamic in its industry. Investors also speak of positive momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Capstone Copper. Sales Growth has a rank of 100 which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow more than 100% of its competitors. Stock Returns are also above average with a rank of 99. But Capital Growth has only a rank of 18, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its invested capital less than 82% of its competitors. Profit Growth is also low, with a rank of only 24, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow its profits below average. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 71, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. This is a surprising picture, as the messages from the operating growth indicators of revenues, profits, and invested capital are mixed, while stock returns are above average. It may indicate new intellectual properties, such as brand improvement or a strong market position that shows in revenues but not in the capital. The low profit-growth rate may indicate an early phase where costs are still high, and revenues don't fully cover upfront investments or fixed costs. The positive investor outlook with a 99% peer outperformance is reaffirmed in this case which may be a good sign for an investment into a well-protected high-growth company. This fact needs to be confirmed by researching the company website and press. ...read more
Safety Strategy: Capstone Copper Debt Financing Safety below-average
| SAFETY METRICS | August 17, 2023 | |||||||
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| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 50 |
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| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 25 |
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| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 58 |
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| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 40 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 40 (better than 40% compared with alternatives), the company Capstone Copper has financing practices on the riskier side, which means that their overall debt burden is above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of Capstone Copper is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with two out of three indicators above average for Capstone Copper. Leverage is at a rank of 50, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 50% of its competitors. Liquidity is also good at a rank of 58, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 58% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the safer side when it comes to debt service. But Refinancing is lower at a rank of 25, which means that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is above-average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 75% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 40 (worse than 60% compared with alternatives), Capstone Copper has a financing structure that is riskier than that of its competitors. The refinancing issues could be a short-term problem, especially if the company has reputation issues. Banks and investors don't like to refinance debt if there are clouds on the horizon. For this reason, investors should look at the refinancing environment for Capstone Copper. Does it look safe that debt that is coming due can be covered with new debt? If that is the case, then the financing situation of the company is on the safer side. If not, it may be better to wait until refinancing has been completed and the Refinancing rank is good again. ...read more
Combined financial peformance: Capstone Copper Below-Average Financial Performance
| COMBINED PERFORMANCE | August 17, 2023 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 32 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 71 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 58 |
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| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 41 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 41 (worse than 59% compared with investment alternatives), Capstone Copper (Copper, Canada) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Capstone Copper are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 32 (worse than 68% of alternatives), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 40, which means above-average debt burdens) but show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 71). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 41, is a hold recommendation based on Capstone Copper's financial characteristics. As the company Capstone Copper shows low value with an Obermatt Value Rank of 32 (68% of comparable investments are less expensive), investors should look at the other ranks. In this case, growth is expected to be above-average, better than 71% of comparable companies (Obermatt Growth Rank is 71). This is a typical case. Companies with above average growth tend to cost more than stocks with slower growth expectations. If this is a high-growth company, the low Obermatt Safety Rank of 40 is a good sign. The more debt a well-performing company has, the higher the returns to shareholders. However, if growth turns negative or interest rates increase, high debt may become a burden. If you believe the future is bright for Capstone Copper, even a low-value company (in terms of its key financial indicators) can be a good investment. ...read more
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